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The 2024 season is officially over after a brutal number of landfals, a stunning rampup in the back-half and a record-early Cat 5.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 56 (Milton) , Major: 56 (Milton) Florida - Any: 56 (Milton) Major: 56 (Milton)
 


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cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Ian en route to a Second CONUS Landfall and Favorable Development Conditions Continue
      #114397 - Fri Sep 30 2022 12:56 AM

Now a hybrid Hurricane Ian, the cyclone is restrengthening over the very warm waters off the southeast coast along the Gulf Stream, and is now back up to 85 MPH at the time of this post, and still strengthening. Storms like Ian tend to over-perform many models and indeed official forecasts, so residents in Ian's path should prepare for a full Category higher than forecast. That is also always a good thing to do, no matter the storm.

Ian or its remnants may make landfall, move inland, and then reemerge over the the Gulf Stream in a few days, but hopefully by that time up and away. For good.

Elsewhere, conditions across the Atlantic continue generally favorable for additional development. The "it only takes one" doesn't also necessarily mean, "and done."

For in-depth model analysis and a place for more speculative discussions, join us in the Ian Forecast Lounge



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cieldumort
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Re: Ian en route to a Second CONUS Landfall and Favorable Development Conditions Continue [Re: cieldumort]
      #114398 - Fri Sep 30 2022 01:38 AM



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