F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 301 (Idalia) , Major: 301 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 301 (Idalia) Major: 301 (Idalia)
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

General Discussion >> 2024 Forecast Lounge
Previous topic Previous   View all topics Index   Next topic Next   Threaded Mode Threaded  

Pages: 1 | 2 | (show all)
cieldumort
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 2322
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Area East of Bahamas Lounge (92L) [Re: MikeC]
      #114916 - Fri Jun 21 2024 01:49 PM

92L's LLC has stopped tracking W to WSW and instead has zagged WNW, into the shear.

The truth about Tropical Cyclone classification is that it is ultimately subjective. On one hand, there will be many who believe it is now a classic sheared TC. In my opinion, they are probably correct. There are others who would say that it has been too free of organized deep convection. I understand this. Given that 92L was probably already a tropical cyclone overnight with organized deep convection better aligned with the LLC, I personally lean to the take that it is a sheared tropical cyclone.

The odds of NHC classifying it in real time may be coming down, but the impacts will resemble that of a sheared tropical depression or sheared weak tropical storm, and it could in fact come together a bit more while approaching and/or coming ashore with the friction, despite the shear. Also, it may yet resume tracking more westward again, lessening the shear.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1 | 2 | (show all)


Previous topic Previous   View all topics Index   Next topic Next   Threaded Mode Threaded  

Extra information
0 registered and 7 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Topic views: 1645

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center