Dave
Unregistered
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So you are saying you think it will landfall in Melbourne?
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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Not even close - look at the movement that I posted for the 12Z position. Its way too early to say where this one is heading.
ED
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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master
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Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
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I'll place it at 26.2 N 75.2 W with winds at 115 kts.
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Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.
Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4
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Steve H.
Unregistered
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No Ed is Offshore Melbourne by a couple of degrees, probably heading to the Carolinas. All of these are too close for comfort though as we're at 28N/80.1W.. that's not my guess. I'll say 26.2N/74W, moving NW at 10 knts; 95knots.
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Allison
Weather Guru
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Posts: 134
Loc: Laredo, Texas
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Why not....
31.7N 80.5W ... just off the GA/SC border.
120MPH
Allison
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Allison
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Bill B
Unregistered
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Gee, thanks Alison.
Bill here at 32N 80W 
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HanKFranK
User
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
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ah, don't worry bill. SSTs around 80F in georgia coastal waters.. so anything strong would probably be on the slide when it comes in...? unless bastardi's perpendicular coast-strike gradient tightening comes into play...
well, i used to live in hinesville.. savannah hasn't taken a good hard lick since the 1800s, with an odd 1 or 2 every 20-30 years in the 20th century. sorry to say you guys are long overdue.
HF 1748z12september
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HanKFranK
User
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
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around 500 views, and less than 20 guesses? come on, thought you guys were braver than that.
HF 1750z12september
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Allison
Weather Guru
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Posts: 134
Loc: Laredo, Texas
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Sorry Bill B... but it should encourage you to know that I have no meteorological training whatsoever, and my guess is based almost entirely on the similar-tracked hurricane of 1893...
The phrase "grain of salt" comes to mind... 
Allison
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Allison
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Steeldrum
Unregistered
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33.0
78.2
95knts
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BabyCat
Weather Guru
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Posts: 150
Loc: New Orleans, La.
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28/76 115k
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Storm Cooper
User
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Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
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Major error on my part I just noticed running new software and imputing...... I should have said 27.3 NOT 23.7. My mistake so you can discount me from the running if you wish. I just kept looking a 23.7 then at my map w/ my plot and I said to myself this does not add up  Anyway 27.3 / 71.6 @ 100kts. for the record.
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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
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HanKFranK
User
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
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storm cooper, for attempting to cheat i hereby banish you from the competition. do not pass go, do not collect $200.
nah, considering you nearly nailed the last one, and played it conservative.. i saw your post and wondered what the hell you were doing. anyhow, this is just for fun.. not like you can be 'disqualified' or anything. to be honest, you need not be anything more than lucky to win at this, if you know just a little about how hurricanes behave.. of course if you get things right all the time or go through and explain your forecast philosophy and it checks out.. well, then you might start turning heads. that's what this is all about, getting better at our hobby.
HF 0517z14september
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prideman
Verified CFHC User
Reged:
Posts: 11
Loc: Darlington, SC
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78.8
31.5
125knts
I know I am late, but I am a newbie in here to so figure I would throw in a free shot to get warmed up. I just don't see it turning north with the models. This thing is gonna have a mind of its own.
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prideman
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Storm Cooper
User
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Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
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Well I think I am as close as I will get at this point right now 
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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
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Storm Cooper
User
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Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
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OK..landfall. I am thinking more like about 60hrs out from now...34.6 / 76.8, 100 knots, 990mb
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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
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Domino
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 191
Loc: Makati City, Philippines
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Well if she sits still for another day I'll pretty much have her pegged  She is only a few degrees off my guess and only 5 knots too much...and they keep saying they are being generous. *does the how did I guess this dance*
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HanKFranK
User
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
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safe to say you've gotten closest.. you will be a little southwest of the 8pm position, but within 2 degrees. your forecast intensity is on the money unless something big happens today. nice job, domino.
HF 1356z17september
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Steeldrum
Unregistered
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Out of 22 who threw out prognostications, 5 were within range on latitude, and 7 were within range on longitude.
5 had the intensity pegged.
4 had two of three of the parameters.
But only Domino had all three.
Off by a degree and a half of latitude, 0.4 degrees of long and dead on on intensity.
Good job, Domino!
Tell us your secret! 
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Domino
Weather Guru
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Posts: 191
Loc: Makati City, Philippines
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My secret is so deep that not even I know it I've been dining off crow for a year or two on here now...about time I got to have some prime rib.
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