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93C in the Central Pacific is now PTC ONE. NHC Advisories for Hawaii are being created. Elsewhere, Atlantic Invest 93L is now Tropical Storm Cristobal, out at sea.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 671 (Milton), US Major: 671 (Milton), FL Any: 671 (Milton), FL Major: 671 (Milton)
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cieldumortModerator
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Potential Tropical Cyclone One-C
      #116100 - Mon Aug 10 2026 04:22 PM

We are now starting a Forecast Lounge on Invest 93C in the Central Pacific as this system is likely to impact the Hawaiian islands.

Base satellite image credit: Weathernerds.org




FNV3 1000 member ensembles for 93C. Credits: TC-ATLAS


8/10/26/9PM HST Title updated to Likely Hawaiian Impact
Ciel

8/12/26 5AM HST. NHC has designated 93C Potential Tropical Cyclone One-C and the title has been updated.
Ciel

Edited by cieldumort (Wed Aug 12 2026 11:34 AM)


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cieldumortModerator
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Re: Invest 93C - Ptnl Hawaiian Impact [Re: cieldumort]
      #116101 - Mon Aug 10 2026 06:49 PM



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cieldumortModerator
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Re: Invest 93C - Likely Hawaiian Impact [Re: cieldumort]
      #116103 - Tue Aug 11 2026 03:35 AM

The most recent run of the high-quality Google DeepMind ensembles for Invest 93C paint an increasingly ominous picture for the Hawaiian islands.

Of these runs, most of those that even take the center fairly south of the islands, still are close enough to place Hawaii under the right-front quadrant, where the strongest winds
and heaviest rains would be favored to occur. Several drive 93C directly over the Big Island as a potentially devastating hurricane.

Credit: Weathernerds.org


Invest 93C FNV3 1000-member suite cr: TC-ATLAS


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cieldumortModerator
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Re: Invest 93C - Likely Hawaiian Impact [Re: cieldumort]
      #116104 - Tue Aug 11 2026 03:59 AM

8/11/26/0z Global+Hurricane Models

Credit: Tropical Tidbits


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cieldumortModerator
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Re: Potential Tropical Cyclone One-C [Re: cieldumort]
      #116112 - Wed Aug 12 2026 11:36 AM



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