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TROPICAL STORM MOKE LIKELY TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 681 (Milton), US Major: 681 (Milton), FL Any: 681 (Milton), FL Major: 681 (Milton)
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General Discussion >> The Tropics Today
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cieldumortModerator
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Loc: Austin, Tx
New East ATL Wave Invest TBD
      #116136 - Fri Aug 21 2026 03:44 PM


Image credit: Weathernerds.org

Odds are that this feature will also run into a wall of doom like the last few tropical waves before, that were not only Invest-tagged, but also given probable to likely chances of development. However, this is a stout wave and is, at least for the moment, in a marginally favorable region of lower shear and less dry air for development.

Model support is very low to non-existent.


Centered near 11.4N 36.8W
Something worth monitoring as it is heading west and not east. It may get a mention in the evening NHC Tropical Weather Update and has a low chance of becoming a brief TD or weak storm before probably encountering too much shear.



Today's 12 ECENS out to 48 Hrs. Image credit: Weathernerds.org

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cieldumortModerator
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: New East ATL Wave Invest TBD [Re: cieldumort]
      #116138 - Sat Aug 22 2026 09:05 AM

This wave has met its wall even before getting as much as an Invest tag. It may still bring some showers and gusty winds to the Antilles next week.

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