Above: True Color Visible of Lowell (left) and Karina (right) on August 31, 2026 at 1910UTC
Two powerful tropical cyclones presently in the Eastern Pacific, both heading generally west, may draw close enough to each other to help tug one or both closer to the Hawaiian islands in the extended range. Several models keep picking up on this signal, with the bulk of those that do place Hawaii at risk pointing towards Lowell as having the greater risk of being pulled up towards or over the islands - also benefiting from response to steering that may already be in place. Even if a direct hit does not occur from one or both of these tropical cyclones, passage may come close enough to once again bring inclement weather to the great state of Hawaii, and so we are starting a Forecast Lounge at this time for both cyclones, Lowell and Karina, until such a time, if there is one, that one of these two becomes a clear threat.
The most recent FNV3 has backed off potential for significant interaction between Karina and Lowell, taking Karina on a more northerly course. Lowell, however, could pose a direct threat to the islands, based on this high quality model's recent run.
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