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98L is struggling with high shear while east of Bermuda

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 707 (Milton), US Major: 707 (Milton), FL Any: 707 (Milton), FL Major: 707 (Milton)

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General Discussion >> 2026 Forecast Lounge

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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst

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Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...

Late Sept/early October hurricane (major?) in the GOMEX

#116253 - Thu Sep 17 2026 11:09 AM

I keep noticing some modeling suggesting a spin up a low in the central Gulf toward the end of the month, with the last run of the AIGFS intensifying the system into a Major meandering around for days in early October. With seasonal near max Gulf water temps and weak steering currents, quite possible. An El Nino year Milton-like hurricane tracking west to east toward Florida?

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CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/

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