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A coastal storm could acquire tropical characteristics near the Mid Atlanitc later this week. Out near Hawaii, xTD15 forecast to redevelop. Lounges up on both.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 712 (Milton), US Major: 712 (Milton), FL Any: 712 (Milton), FL Major: 712 (Milton)
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General Discussion >> 2026 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumortModerator
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Loc: Austin, Tx
TD 15 Reformation: Potential Hawaii Impacts
      #116260 - Mon Sep 21 2026 10:41 PM



Remnants of Eastern Pacific TD FIFTEEN are in the process of redeveloping and a tropical storm is likely to form while the system is still south-southeast of the Big Island. NHC is now up to 90% odds and the models are generally advertising a track that puts at least the Big Island at risk of very heavy rain and more flash flooding, at a minimum. As such, we are starting a Lounge on this system.

More to come

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cieldumortModerator
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: TD 15 Reformation: Potential Hawaii Impacts [Re: cieldumort]
      #116262 - Tue Sep 22 2026 12:25 PM

Most recent 1000 member FNv3 ensemble run (06z today) nudged closer to Hawaii with direct impacts on the islands implied to be likely.
Credits to TC-ATLAS

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