Steve hirsch.
Unregistered
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I dunno, wave looks like its developing a decent circulation pattern. We'll see. Pretty good for a wave that many gave up on 
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Alex K
Unregistered
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I must agree with the last post in that there seems to be a circulation even to my eyes. Ive gotta think that this think has a pretty strong chance either now or when it enters the caribbean, in the area claudette formed in.
Also, has anyone seen the new wave off africa? Its convection increased when it hit water!
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LI Phil
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Here's some modeling for 97L. Most keep the wave fairly far south, although three trend it more northerly.
models 1
models 2
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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scottsvb1
Unregistered
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The tropical wave 200 miles E of the L,W inslands continues to move w near 22mph. There is no w wind evident in ship, buoy, or satillite obs. Models, drier air and shear ahead of the system will not make the wave favorible for development.
The eastern U.S trough should begin to lift out some over the next 2 days but be reinforced by friday into this weekend. Lower pressures in the Sw Gulf thru the NW Carribean could once again bring plenty of moisture up into florida emerging with this TW or most likley the 1 behind it. Some possible deveolpment might take place in this area early-mid next week. scottsvb
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Rabbit
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 511
Loc: Central Florida
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take a look at this
and this off of Africa
when it looks that organized on IR, you know its strong
could be a TD in a day or so
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