LI Phil
User
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Since has taken 97L down, if the remnant low that was once 97L somehow, magically fires up in the GOM in a day or so, would that still be considered 97L, or would it be assigned a new invest #? I think this question was asked and answered a year or two ago on these boards, but I've forgotten the answer.
Also, I've PMed Mike C. about starting a new thread. Anyone have any thoughts on what to call it?
BTW Sea Turtles have an intimate knowledge of tropical storm surge. They're experts. Almost as good at predicting the tropics as Ribbit. I mean Rabbit. 
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Robert
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 366
Loc: Southeast, FL
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Circualtion center at 29.8 72.8 looks like the mass north of hispanola is taking over be interesting to see if the models from this past weekend were right in having a storm off the carolinas this weekend.
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bobbi
Unregistered
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ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZzzzsnoreZZZZZZZZZZZzz
Calm Before the Storm
Someone stole my storm
Where oh where can our little storm be?
Two free passes to the Neil Frank Home for the Tropically Insane
Feng Shui for Tropical Trackers
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Cocoa Beach
Unregistered
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Tropical Trickle
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bobbi
Unregistered
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I've looked there, a few times and wondered "what if" but honestly..think the area has so many shearing winds and has not settled yet into a pattern that it is basically moisture caught in the flow and between boundaries.
unstable yes..but dont think its stable enough to get anything really going
thanks for cords
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James88
Weather Master
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Posts: 576
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK
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You mentioned the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Notice that the strong northward movement is not usually seen during the progression of the , but instead reflects more on its retreat later in the year (normally around September - October). What could this mean?
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Steve hirsch.
Unregistered
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From the Melb AFD WX PATTERN REMAINS ON TRACK FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CUTOFF LOW ALONG THE MID ATLC COAST BY 12Z SAT. STRONG H25 JET BRANCH OVER THE UPPER MID WEST WILL PUSH EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND. THIS JET WILL TIGHTEN THE WIND/PRESSURE FIELD ON THE WEST SIDE OF A HI AMPLITUDE
H50-H25 TROF JUST OFF THE ERN SEABOARD. THE RESULTING INCREASE IN UPR LVL DIVERGENCE OVER THE EAST COAST WILL SPIN UP A WEAK CLOSED
LOW OUT OF A THE SRN EXTENSION OF A DEPARTINGSTORM SYSTEM OVER ERN
CANADA AND THE GREAT LAKES.
THE NEW LOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN TRAPPED OVER THE SE U.S. THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE ATLC RIDGE WILL BLOCK THE LOW FROM MOVING E...
WHILE A STRONG CONTINENTAL RIDGE OVER WRN CANADA WILL PUSH ACROSS THE NRN TIER STATES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG H85-H30 ZONAL
FLOW. THE CONTINENTAL RIDGE WILL BLOCK THE LOW FROM ESCAPING TO THE NORTH...AND MAY EVEN CAUSE IT TO RETROGRADE INTO THE GULF STATES.
Anything to brew right now will be home grown, and is always a possibility when troughs are hung up.
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Rich B
British Meteorologist
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Posts: 498
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK
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looks like we have a new circulation to watch for a while, but dont expect nothing much to happen yet! Visible imagery shows a well defined low-level circulation located at around 29.3'N 73.0'W, and the latest surface analysis shows this as a 1014mb low. Upper level conditions arent that great over this feature at present, as evidenced by the fact that the convective activity is located east of the circulation. Whether this has any chance i cant say, but given the season thus far i would say not just yet 
Any thoughts on this one?
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Rich B
SkyWarn UK
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