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Area off the Southeast US Coast has a 10% to develop, either way will be wet in parts of the Southeast/NC this weekend. Beryl gone but not forgotten in Houston area where power outages still are widespread.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 4 (Beryl) , Major: 317 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 317 (Idalia) Major: 317 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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LI Phil
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Re: If only... [Re: Kal]
      #18378 - Mon Aug 09 2004 07:58 PM

(hmmm)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Aug 09 2004 08:32 PM)


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LoisCane
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lyons [Re: BugsBunny]
      #18379 - Mon Aug 09 2004 08:10 PM

(hmmm)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Aug 09 2004 08:30 PM)


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danielwAdministrator
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Re: Bourbon Street Low [Re: LI Phil]
      #18380 - Mon Aug 09 2004 08:12 PM

Fairly nice convection being thrown off from a small low centered over Lake Ponchatrain, just N of New Orleans Airport. Radar appearance is nice too.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS.p19r0/si.klix.shtml
And the NRLSSC latest visible shot.
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/displ...RENT=LATEST.jpg


Edited by danielw (Mon Aug 09 2004 08:14 PM)


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carl
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Re: Sticking my neck out.... [Re: danielw]
      #18382 - Mon Aug 09 2004 08:15 PM

latest visible shot seems to show the beginnings of an eye--hard to believe! Maybe its just a shadow caused by the low sun angle, but either way Bonnie looks pretty healthy to me

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BabyCat
Weather Guru


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Re: Sticking my neck out.... [Re: carl]
      #18385 - Mon Aug 09 2004 08:27 PM

It doesn't look good for#3, that close behind, even if it is a few days behind.
Bonnie will get all the heat...
If I remember right, Opal started as a TD the night before Yom Kippur over by Mexico. The next morning, we all woke up (I was in New Orleans) to a Cat 3. Talk about some quick-stepping getting ready for that. Good thing it kept moving, for New Orleans at least.


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DroopGB31
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Re: Sticking my neck out.... [Re: carl]
      #18386 - Mon Aug 09 2004 08:27 PM

Hey Guys, thanks for surprising me. I check in early this morning and theres nothing come home and I got a tropical storm south of me. So whats goin on with her? From what I gather, the farther west she goes, the better chance of a NC Gulf Landfall? Looking forward to hearing ya'lls input. I wont be able to get on all day tomorrow again due to school and football!!!

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


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Re: Tropical Storm Bonnie Forms in the southeast Gulf of Mexico [Re: MikeC]
      #18387 - Mon Aug 09 2004 08:27 PM

Part of a post from the previous thread - just in case some of you might have missed it.

Folks:
Its time to stay on topic. The site is going to get very busy - and you know what that means. I've already got a full time job (I don't need another) and the next week is going to keep ME very busy. I'd like to be able to spend at least a little time on the site sharing my thoughts - but I'll need your help in order to do that. I love this stuff too, but the boss often has other ideas, so please try to make it easy on the Admins and Mods this week and with luck I'll be able to make a post or two. Please give LI Phil and HF your support - I think that they would like to enjoy these storms too.
Thanks,
ED

(Thanks bobbi for the indirect reminder - I had placed it on the wrong thread.)


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andy1tom
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Re: lyons [Re: LoisCane]
      #18388 - Mon Aug 09 2004 08:31 PM

unless bonnie grows in size it will be pint sized and only effect areas close to land fall... but the future charlie is a big ole thing

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LI Phil
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It's CHARLEY... [Re: andy1tom]
      #18389 - Mon Aug 09 2004 08:32 PM

...not Charlie

And it's not even 2-for-tuesday!

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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Anonymous
Unregistered




decode recon data? [Re: LI Phil]
      #18390 - Mon Aug 09 2004 08:38 PM

URNT11 KNHC 100020
97779 00204 30259 88000 73600 99005 66742 /5763
RMK AF963 0302A INVEST OB 24


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andy1tom
Storm Tracker


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Re: It's CHARLEY... [Re: LI Phil]
      #18391 - Mon Aug 09 2004 08:38 PM

i know that... bonnie and Charley are my neighbors. whats your take on all this? will bonnie take all the steam outta of the gulf and leave Charley punchless. i don't think she is big enough to use up all the energy. thats why Charley (TD3) is what really worries me if it gets in the gulf. of course its still a long way off.

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danielwAdministrator
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Re: Strengthening??? [Re: Clark]
      #18392 - Mon Aug 09 2004 08:39 PM

000
URNT12 KNHC 092321
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 09/2321Z
B. 23 DEG 11 MIN N
88 DEG 53 MIN W
C. NA
D. 45 KT
E. 063 DEG 007 NM
F. 325 DEG 31 KT
G. 248 DEG 007 NM
H. EXTRAP 1006 MB
I. 24 C/ 339 M
J. 26 C/ 336 M
K. 23 C/ NA
L. OPEN NE
M. C20
N. 12345/1
O. 1/1 NM
P. AF963 0302A INVEST OB 21
MAX FL WIND 53 KT SE QUAD 2149Z. SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500FT.


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LI Phil
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Re: It's CHARLEY... [Re: andy1tom]
      #18394 - Mon Aug 09 2004 08:42 PM

Check the storm forum for my ideas on Bonnie...CAT V headed for Mobile...

Seriously, though, I don't think Bonnie will have too much of an affect on Sir Charles...which might not be a good thing. I see Charley as more of a w GOM storm, while Bonnie looks to be taking aim at the Large Bend

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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BillD
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Re: decode recon data? [Re: Anonymous]
      #18395 - Mon Aug 09 2004 08:43 PM

On their way home.

Bill


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danielwAdministrator
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Re: decode recon data? [Re: Anonymous]
      #18396 - Mon Aug 09 2004 08:45 PM

97779-header; 00204-0204Z; 30259-25.9N; 88000-88.0W 73600-flying at 736mb level; 99005- winds variable at 5kts; 66742- air temp minus16C, dewpoint minus24C, /5763- has to do with pressure altitude-I'll check on it.
temperatures below 0C have 50 added to them. eg 66-50=16, 74-50=24


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Anonymous
Unregistered




YeP! decode recon data? [Re: BillD]
      #18397 - Mon Aug 09 2004 08:45 PM

URNT11 KNHC 100036
97779 00364 30273 88300 73800 99005 67742 /5763
RMK AF963 0302A INVEST OB 25. LAST REPORT


recon heading home.... thanx bill!


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SirCane
Storm Tracker


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Re: Sticking my neck out.... [Re: BabyCat]
      #18399 - Mon Aug 09 2004 08:50 PM

Things are getting interesting around here-that's for sure. I just get nightmares from Opal that I'm going to wake up and Bonnie's going to be this big monster.

--------------------
Direct Hits:
Hurricane Erin (1995) 100 mph
Hurricane Opal (1995) 115 mph
Hurricane Ivan (2004) 130 mph
Hurricane Dennis (2005) 120 mph
http://www.hardcoreweather.com


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Frank P
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Re: Strengthening??? [Re: danielw]
      #18400 - Mon Aug 09 2004 08:52 PM

Vortez message just a couple of hours prior to this one had basically the same information - pressure at 1006, except it report a closed eye wall on the earlier report...actually open up on this latest report (NE)....both had max flight winds at 53k.... this thing is awfully tight and small, not sure in the final analysis if this will be a good or bad thing... being this small.... still looks to be heading off somewhere between WNW and NW at about 8-12 mph.... certainly holding its own and that does not bode well as it moves northwestward toward a more favorable environment... its not getting any weaker that's for sure...

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Old Sailor
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Re: decode recon data? [Re: danielw]
      #18401 - Mon Aug 09 2004 08:54 PM

What is strange eye wall not closed on last readings. L. OPEN NE............ L. is for the strom center on Recon data, was I the only one that seen that? maybe just a temp thing.

Dave


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Old Sailor
Storm Tracker


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Re: Strengthening??? [Re: Frank P]
      #18402 - Mon Aug 09 2004 08:57 PM

Sorry Frank guess I was typing my post while you did the same just before me.

Dave


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