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Area off the Southeast US Coast has a 10% to develop, either way will be wet in parts of the Southeast/NC this weekend. Beryl gone but not forgotten in Houston area where power outages still are widespread.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 4 (Beryl) , Major: 317 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 317 (Idalia) Major: 317 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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James88
Weather Master


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Posts: 576
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK
Re: think td3 is near TS [Re: Unregistered User]
      #18472 - Tue Aug 10 2004 01:55 AM

It is looking better. Looks like a CDO is forming.

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joepub1
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 240
Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
Re: think td3 is near TS [Re: James88]
      #18473 - Tue Aug 10 2004 01:57 AM

Yep, I do think it's there. Waiting to see the T-numbers in a few.

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joepub1
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 240
Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
Re: think td3 is near TS [Re: joepub1]
      #18474 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:00 AM

By the way, TD3 is now a noname on NRL

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Anonymous
Unregistered




recon [Re: Unregistered User]
      #18475 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:06 AM

URNT12 KNHC 100539
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 10/0539Z
B. 23 DEG 24 MIN N
89 DEG 42 MIN W
C. 850 MB 1491 M
D. NA
E. NA
F. 052 DEG 30 KT
G. 324 DEG 14 NM
H. 1007 MB
I. 18 C/ 1543 M
J. 21 C/ 1547 M
K. 16 C/ NA
L. OPEN NW
M. C10
N. 1235/8
O. 0.5/1.0 NM
P. AF963 0402A BONNIE OB 04
MAX FL WIND 30 KT NW QUAD 0535Z.


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


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Posts: 3526
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: think td3 is near TS [Re: James88]
      #18476 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:08 AM

TD3 sure is well defined on the WV. Appears to be following nearly the same track as Bonnie did. Looks much more well defined at this Lat/Long though.
http://antares.csi.lsu.edu/webpics/goes/Storm/Tropics/latest_wv.jpg


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 3526
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Bonnie Fix 06Z [Re: danielw]
      #18477 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:08 AM

URNT12 KNHC 100539
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 10/0539Z
B. 23 DEG 24 MIN N
89 DEG 42 MIN W
C. 850 MB 1491 M
D. NA
E. NA
F. 052 DEG 30 KT
G. 324 DEG 14 NM
H. 1007 MB
I. 18 C/ 1543 M
J. 21 C/ 1547 M
K. 16 C/ NA
L. OPEN NW
M. C10
N. 1235/8
O. 0.5/1.0 NM
P. AF963 0402A BONNIE OB 04
MAX FL WIND 30 KT NW QUAD 0535Z.


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BugsBunny
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 42
Loc: Florida
Re: think td3 is near TS [Re: danielw]
      #18478 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:10 AM

Outflow looking very well defined and circular, and CDO developing over the center, we will likely have Charley in the Caribbean by afternoon

--------------------
forecast: 17/14/9/5
to date: 3/3/2/1


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joepub1
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 240
Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
Re: Bonnie Fix 06Z [Re: danielw]
      #18479 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:11 AM

Bonnie rates a 2.5 on the T-numbers.....waiting on "C"

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Anonymous
Unregistered




recon [Re: joepub1]
      #18480 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:14 AM

on OB 6.... data coming soon

poor bonnie....she's fighting to stay alive...


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Anonymous
Unregistered




Re: recon [Re: Anonymous]
      #18481 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:15 AM

see the word eyewall in recon data.....

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joepub1
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 240
Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
Re: Bonnie Fix 06Z [Re: joepub1]
      #18482 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:16 AM

TD3, soon to named at 5 am, gets a pair of 2.5's also from the judges. I do believe we are 3 for 3 in TD's moving on up.

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Anonymous
Unregistered




Re: recon [Re: Anonymous]
      #18483 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:18 AM

2333N 08958W northin "eyewall"....???

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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


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Posts: 3526
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re:TD3 CDO? Temps [Re: danielw]
      #18484 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:19 AM

TD3 has a small round area in the center with minus75C to minus80C temps. Here's a loop link. Notice the switch in the convective areas. From W edge to center, yes, just like bonnie.
http://antares.csi.lsu.edu/AOI/AOI4_ir_loop.html


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BugsBunny
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 42
Loc: Florida
Re: Bonnie Fix 06Z *DELETED* [Re: joepub1]
      #18485 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:21 AM

Post deleted by BugsBunny


Votes accepted from (Sat Jul 13 2024 04:10 AM) to (No end specified)
View the results of this poll



--------------------
forecast: 17/14/9/5
to date: 3/3/2/1


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Anonymous
Unregistered




Re: recon [Re: danielw]
      #18486 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:21 AM

URNT11 KNHC 100612
97779 06124 30222 88400 15600 15013 1715/ /2552
RMK AF963 0402A BONNIE OB 07


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BugsBunny
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 42
Loc: Florida
Re: Bonnie Fix 06Z [Re: BugsBunny]
      #18487 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:23 AM



Votes accepted from (Sat Jul 13 2024 04:10 AM) to (No end specified)
View the results of this poll



--------------------
forecast: 17/14/9/5
to date: 3/3/2/1


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Anonymous
Unregistered




Re: recon [Re: Anonymous]
      #18488 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:23 AM

URNT14 KNHC 100613
SUPPLEMENTARY VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
01249 10908 12556 11816 99005
02247 20906 22557 21815 06016
03245 30904 32554 31815 07020
04242 40903 42553 41814 07019
05240 50901 52548 51714 08024
06238 60900 62543 61716 06020
07236 70899 72530 71817 05028
MF236 M0898 MF030
OBS 01 AT 0506Z
OBS 07 AT 0534Z
OBS 01 SFC WND /////
01232 10895 12528 11817 21025
02230 20893 22542 21716 19025
03229 30891 32547 31615 19023
04227 40889 42552 41812 19020
05225 50887 52554 51714 18015
06223 60886 62553 61813 17013
07222 70884 72552 71715 15014
MF233 M0896 MF037
OBS 01 AT 0543Z
OBS 07 AT 0612Z
OBS 07 SFC WND /////
RMK AF963 0402A BONNIE OB 08


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joepub1
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 240
Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
Re:TD3 CDO? Temps [Re: danielw]
      #18489 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:25 AM

12.7N 65.1W is the place that was pegged at 0545. That's your cold spot. That's Chuckie as a baby

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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


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Posts: 3526
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: recon [Re: Anonymous]
      #18490 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:27 AM

MF233 M0896 MF037
the max wind for this pass was at 23.3N / 89.6W wind was 037kts. Still barely hangin on. She must have 10 lives. Isn't this her 10th day off Africa?


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Anonymous
Unregistered




Re:TD3 CDO? Temps [Re: joepub1]
      #18492 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:40 AM

nrl data puts "TD3" due south of panama city around the 15/00z near 24n 86w 86kts

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