Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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Here's some good info from Southwest Florida:
Projected Path for
and this one is excellent:
Radar Loop of Southwest Florida
The eye still looks to be going N with a wobble here or there to the E. No steady movement to NE. Yet. 
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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SirCane
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 249
Loc: Pensacola, FL
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Looks to me like Dr. Lyons is right, Ft. Myers seems to be the target. Stay safe folks!! 
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Cocoa Beach
Unregistered
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Look.s FT Myers might be the new target
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C.J.inNaples
Unregistered
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BRING IT ON CHUCK!!!!!!
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LI Phil
User
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Quote:
Looks to me like Dr. Lyons is right, Ft. Myers seems to be the target. Stay safe folks!!
Scroll back to page 12, who called Ft. Myers first? Of course, I deduced that just by looking at a radar loop. Dr. Lyons. Heh
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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ShaggyDude
Weather Guru
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Posts: 112
Loc: Cocoa Beach, Florida
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Of course it's in Fort Myers - That's where Jim Cantore has been.
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SirCane
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 249
Loc: Pensacola, FL
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Here's a good satellite pic of the Gulf and Caribbean.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg
I know the BIG focus is , but once again look East of the Lesser Antillies! 
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bobbi
Unregistered
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on right side
below tampa..will see, looks like its going ne now or nne to ne ..in meetings and cant get to computer for an hour
windy here, getting gray.. nice tho
steady winds
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Floridacane
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 110
Loc: Palm Bay, Florida
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Another good weather site to download is Weatherbug. They have live cameras all over Florida. Some really good ones in Key West, Naples and Fort Meyers. They also have good weather alerts that will "chirp" to let you know any new warnings that happen.
www.weatherbug.com
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What's brewin' everyone?
Lori
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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Kennedy Space Center sent all non essential personel home at 12pm today. Durung the morning I one of the radar images that was on the cabl eout here showed the forecasted track super imposed over the radar loop. You could definitley see the trend to the right. I am sorry I couldnt post more during the morning. Had to finish up some work befor eI left...
Troy
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lonny307
Unregistered
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To top it all off a depression has formed in the far eastern atlantic and should be danielle by tonight according to the radio. I drive alot. 
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Lake Toho - Kissimmee
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 317
Loc: Kissimmee, Florida on Lake Toh...
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With Weatherbug just be careful ... Adware programs could get loaded on ur computer.
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Dream like you will live forever.. Live like there is no tommorow.. Darwin Rules !!
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LI Phil
User
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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>>> Another good weather site to download is Weatherbug
It's also spyware.
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Lake Toho - Kissimmee
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 317
Loc: Kissimmee, Florida on Lake Toh...
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Weather forecasters in Orlando are not creating their own track, they are thinking this is gonna come further east.. They believe this will be veriified by soon..
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Dream like you will live forever.. Live like there is no tommorow.. Darwin Rules !!
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
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Bastardi has chimed in with his 3rd post of the day and should prove interesting for all you south of Tampa and east of there.
He notes the pressure falling (latest recon has it at 964mb) and that the frictional effects should begin to pull it more toward the coast (with landfall POSSIBLY even south of Venice). The explanation is that a storm moving toward a coastline from the western side will weaken the front side of the storm (NE) leaving the back "abnormally strong." This results in a replacement vector that tries to bring the storm inland until it resumes its expected path. Then the storm would run north (paralleling the coast) until it feels the water on the other side. This could mean east of Jacksonville then back in near Charleston or possibly farther north. While the TPC makes it after 48 hours, he's thinking easy shot at Cat 1 or even Cat 2 for a 2nd landfall in the Carolinas. Down the line, Chesapeake Bay/DelMarVa, eastern PA (which Joe believes will have very bad effects), NYC and on up. He also gave a headsup on his tropical update video today that folks in NJ/NY are in for a show today with rainfall amounts up to 4" in places and the shot at some pretty strong sustained winds. Last check on Bonnie's remnants had her near the NC/VA Border and headnig North fast.
Steve
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MF'n Super Bowl Champions
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alan
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 95
Loc: Apopka, FL
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The eye looks like it is going further NE and turning harder to the east than expected. That would send it out over Cocoa. That's the one place in the state that has been told it would miss the hurricane.
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LI Phil
User
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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>>> Down the line, Chesapeake Bay/DelMarVa, eastern PA (which Joe believes will have very bad effects), NYC and on up. He also gave a headsup on his tropical update video today that folks in NJ/NY are in for a show today with rainfall amounts up to 4" in places and the shot at some pretty strong sustained winds. Last check on Bonnie's remnants had her near the NC/VA Border and headnig North fast.
Been holding off posting about my weather, as is just a tad more important, but since you mentioned it...
It's pouring here right now. Bonnie's remnants soak us again this evening, and then 's remnants on Sunday. Plus, might still be TS strength depending upon forward motion and track. We could be getting 10"+ in the next three days.
Now, back to ...
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 337
Loc:
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Looks like a definate track toward the central part of the state.
(Orlando Ch 6 weather guy is Wayyy to hyper fo my taste)
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hardcore
Unregistered
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HURRICANE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE
DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE
RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN
EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH
FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING
FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA
BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S.
COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM
THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA
INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD
REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS
AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE
SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A
FEW MILES FROM S CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER
TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND
SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA
COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND
SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG S PATH
ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
http://www.hardcoreweather.com
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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thats not good i live near the bay and floyd and isabel really messed us up. but the already have coastal flood watches up so i have to wait and see.
(i had some trouble get on the site did this happen to anyone else?)
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