Colleen A.
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Loc: Florida
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I think they would want your to turn off your electricity in case your area gets flooded and the water gets in the walls, etc. Don't want to go to the trouble of evacuating to save your life and then come home and turn the light on and get zapped.
I might have missed this before, but what type of winds could we expect in Lakeland (Polk County) with a CAT 3?
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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DroopGB31
Weather Guru
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Loc: Pensacola
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I think I may have just changed my mind. Look at the Long Range Key West radar. Look how great the eye and eyewall is looking now. I also cant help but notice how small the eye and the hurricane is in general. We all know that while some hurricanes may be small in size, they can pack quite a punch. There is numerous of storms in the years past but Im not gonna name any as you all already know what im talking about. I'd be worried now about maybe some rapid intensification once Charely gets into the gulf. Latest forecast says landfall near Sarasota/Tampa area with sustained winds of 120mph, with gust to 150? if im converting 130knots correctly.
I dont really know how to feel right now...Im full of excitement because this will probably be the first major hurricane I track that makes landfall. I only got intrested in weather when I was about 10 or so (Im now 17). So Im thrilled, but at the same time I feel horrible for the folks in SW and C Flordia. I just hope everyone has taken all necessary precautions by now and have hunkered down. Hopefully the storm can hold of any landfall till after 6pm tomorrow as I have more football practice!!  But please everyone just stay safe and use common sense. G/Night
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Lake Toho - Kissimmee
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 317
Loc: Kissimmee, Florida on Lake Toh...
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Believe you will be getting hurricane force winds.. Not sure the exact speed.. Your my neighbor to the west so I think you will see more winds than me.. I am hoping my 50-100 year old oaks surrounding my house will hold up. I am glad they drained Lake Toho and were just beginning to fill her up.. I would have had water in my house.
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Dream like you will live forever.. Live like there is no tommorow.. Darwin Rules !!
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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Loc: South Florida
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maybe you should have been on tv today instead of the very descriptive nonstatements we all got
so like there is this massive band with about 2/3 of the rain coming into the upper keys/miami area in about 2 hours.. i mean strong weather
ill look to the SE..thats where my kids are because they went out to the boardwalk to see friends from out of town because winds are only 11mph and there was no tropical storm watch when they left. Im sure they are fine.. its the old neighborhood, we rode out andew on miami beach there..they are fine...
so i put on ... the bit on the olympic sailing ended and they show the local weather
that nice friendly high sort of voice they have come on over soft music
there has been a tropical storm watch issued for your area
there has been a tornado watch issued for your area
there has been a flood watch issued for your area
well how bout that
guess ill go out into the back yard and throw another shrimp on the barbie and look SE for that band of tornadoes
thank you Steven lol rofl
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http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/
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Colleen A.
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Loc: Florida
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You got it, Londovir! It seems like it was just yesterday...  ..uh, it was! 
Did you nail the plywood over your windows? Why wouldn't the apartment managers NOT want you to do that? Stupid people are everywhere, aren't they?
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Londovir
Weather Guru
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Loc: Lakeland, FL
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Colleen, they're saying around now, depending on where eye enters, that we could expect 70-80 mph winds for about 3 hours tomorrow. Hard to say. Of course if it comes in around Sarasota and angles over us, it'll prolly be a little less due to weakening over land.
Worst part (seems like always to me) is it's looking to be yet another darkness hurricane hit. Seems like every cane I've weathered in my life has always rolled in under darkness. Makes it much more frightening.
Londovir
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Lisa NC
Weather Guru
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Loc: North Carolina
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It appears that the eye is just now making landfall in Cuba, based on lastest radar.
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<img src="/hahn/images/graemlins/wink.gif" alt="" />
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danielw
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Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Don't laugh at the name here. It's called MEOW. Maximum Envelope Of Winds. I'll put the link here and let you be the judge.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutmeow.shtml
This link would apply to the last advisory, somewhat.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gifs/GC10512.GIF
BTW: the next recon flight just became airborne.
Edited by danielw (Fri Aug 13 2004 04:27 AM)
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joepub1
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 240
Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
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Bonnie sent several tornados through JAX today. 4 people hurt, cars tossed around, an old hotel not in use leveled. says everyone from SW FL to the FL/GA line, (over 6 million people in path) needs to be ready. Local stores did have a run put on them here today, mostly for the basics. Nobody's boarding up on the E coast, but Mayor said most of us could lose power (expected). JEA will turn it off when trees begin to break down the power grid. Could take several days to clean up that mess. Most of this is worse case stuff, but better than 50% chance of it happening. Local mets are on board with , none went out of their way to make it sound worse than it is, nobody playing the hero. Kinda proud of them for that, overall they've done a good job. I'll give the an A so far, but the final exams are tomorrow. Tonights call was the last one most people will hear, hope they got it right. I will say I think they have. I think I heard tonight it was 1906 the last time Florida took two storms this close to each other, most of us will hope it's another 98 years before this happens again.
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andy1tom
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 309
Loc: Callaway, Florida
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wish you the best.. stayed up late last nite (most of it) and got lucky bonnie stayed south and to the east of me.. the only bear on wishing it goes somewhere else is you are wishing misfortune on someone else.. anyway good luck.. gotta get some z's
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scottsvb1
Unregistered
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And the phone rings and emails keep on coming. Sorry i havnt posted today for I worked and had to respond to alot of people while keeping up with .
Still straight on schedule from my posts a few days back and yesterday on the track of . Bonnie was pretty easy on threatning looks at wanting to jump to hurricane strength but just didnt get the right factors into play. I forcasted her to stay a TS but would have the slightest chance of making a hurricane,. well everything came on schedule (like Alex).
Charley behaving the same way,, path near Jamaica then Cayman Islands then up alittle west of key west and threaten Ft Myers thru about New Port Riche as of a couple days back. Wind speeds are on schedule. I only see 1 thing that the also noted that alitte more of a N wobble at times has been taking place over the last 6 hours. If this continues and starts a wobble or 2 to the NNE by every .1 per 3 hours over the next 6-9 then landfall should be closer to Venice on NNE track late Friday afternoon or by evening. This will be due to the trough to its NW really digging in slightly quicker then what is forcasted (note the ENE jogs that Bonnie took). IF holds his own or strengthns more after 3am in a more major drop in pressure (say down to 962mb) by 8am this might cause more of a lifting factor and keep the path more N into the morning hours on Friday before the wobbles NNE during that late morning hours and into the afternoon and evening. This would take the center near Sarasota - Clearwater landfall around 9pm- 12am. ( note the big swath in timing and area coverage there is due to the coastline in a NNW-SSE direction in corrilation to the N to NNE direction of . Had to tell even now the exact spot due the trough to its west and the better northern outflow of a possible by sunrise. Time will tell but staying on a Sarasota area with impacts all the way up to coastal Hernado. Nothing is set. scottsvb
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
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>>I think lightning is very common in the bands far removed from the center, but very uncommon near or in the eyewall.
That's pretty much right, but not necessarily inland. I went and looked at some high-tech radars after you posted about the 4200 strikes. That was a big fat clump of clouds (with embedded squall line - saw severe tstorm warning for southern Dade Co.). I've personally heard thunder in about 3 of the 8 or 9 storms that I've seen outer bands from (rotating outer bands, not the ones that build in overhead). I don't recall ever seeing any in any of the depressions I've gone through FWIW. (Edit in: As noted in the third article, it's due to the ice crystals over the colder parts of the system {= inner-storm}).
Londovir,
That's pretty scary when you think of it. BIggest gust I've ever seen was probably in the 60's. Even at only Cat II, if you get 70mph+ for 2-3 hours, that's pretty nerve wracking/hair raising. And once it starts...
Steve
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MF'n Super Bowl Champions
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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Yes, the front is still there...as far as doing what it's supposed to do, it all comes down to timing -- what else is new?  What I'm hearing from the mets here is that if the front comes down sooner, will make landfall south of Tampa Bay. That's the scenario they want because then the water in Tampa Bay will be pushed OUT into the GOM. If it is slower coming down, we get it north of Tampa Bay and then we have a huge problem because the water will be push into the bay and it doesn't have anywhere to go.
The track is pretty much set, it just the timing of the front and where Charlie is when they meet.
p.s. The Batphone just went off again...scared the living daylights out of me. It was for a "HIGH WIND WARNING...FROM FRIDAY AT 8:AM TO SATURDAY AT 8:00AM INLAND COUNTIES CAN EXPECT MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL WIND DAMAGE..."
Couldn't get the whole thing because I was using the defibrillators on myself.
I guess they just answered my question. 
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Hardcore
Unregistered
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Alarming Public Info Statement Tampa
...structural Damage...
The Majority Of Mobile Homes Will Be Severely Damaged Near Where The
Storm Makes Landfall. Houses Of Poor To Average Construction Will
Have Significant Damage...including Partial Wall Collapse And Roofs
Being Lifted Off. Many Will Be Uninhabitable. Well Constructed Houses
Will Incur Minor Damage To Shingles...siding...gutters...as Well As
Blown Out Windows.
Partial Roof Failure Is Expected At Industrial Parks...especially To
Those Buildings With Light Weight Steel And Aluminum Coverings. Older
Low Rising Apartment Roofs May Also Be Torn Off...as Well As
Receiving Siding And Shingle Damage. Much Of The Glass In High Rise
Office Buildings Will Be Blown Out. Airborne Debris Will Cause
Damage...injury...and Possible Fatalities.
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http://www.hardcoreweather.com
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danielw
Moderator
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Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Warm Water ahead. Checked the temeratures of the GOM directly ahead of .
Here's the results:
Dry Tortugas hi water temp today was 86.9
......................lo water temp as of 10pm was 86.2
Sand Key......hi water temp 86.9
......................lo water temp 85.8
Long Key......hi water temp 89.6
......................lo water temp 87.6
*these are inconclusive, but has to pass over the Gulf Stream, unless he turns towards the west.*
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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The eye has become even better organized over Cuba. I think once it makes it out over water again this may become a cat4?
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danielw
Moderator
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Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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What happened to CAT 3?
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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
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i was hoping that massive band of dark color on ir about to slam into miami was an outflow boundary
watching... why does this storm have no weather to the south or west all to ne? and eye
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http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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This storm is getting stronger over Cuba in is holding a very small eye! It is very possible with the waters of the Gulf of Mexico in the upper 80s! 
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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That is scary...I've never even seen 70mph winds, never mind be in the middle of them. Tomorrow's going to be a long long day, I do believe. I don't like not being able to see what's going on.
*here's another one for the weather books: the anchorman on BayNews9 just said, "If for SOME REASON YOU LOSE POWER TOMORROW, YOU CAN LISTEN TO US ON 104.7"
What does he mean, If for SOME REASON? Doesn't he realize that a major hurricane MIGHT be THE reason for losing power?
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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