cyclone_head
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 74
Loc: Florida
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Welcome aboard ShaggyDude....
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joepub1
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 240
Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
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I think it may resume a nnw motion for a bit once it gets over Cuba.
Thinking the same thing. Moving at like 11:30, 20 till 12 on your watch dial, and nothing to really turn him to the right at the moment. He just doing what canes do, going polar because he can, because he's on the edge of what kept him going west. See him going NNW/N for awhile.
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cyclone_head
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 74
Loc: Florida
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If what you say is true...and the is "worried about it"...then why wouldn't they update there discussion. We are running out of time...and need notification of changes ASAP.
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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Hello
i work at Kennedy Space Center. I will try and get the latest updates tht may not be public yet and post em here as the day goes by tomorrow. As of tonight we are still at Hurcon 3. By tomorrow we may be at Hurcon 2 which means all non essential personel go home. But, until then, I will do what I can to keep some updates flowing. We have excellent radar/satellite on the cable tv out here
Troy
cocoa beach
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LI Phil
User
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Somehow, the folks on this board seem to be able to get updates et. al. before they are made public. Anything you can do to help on that end will be greatly appreciated.
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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ANy input would be appreciated Troy. Some of the models are clustered further east again.....storm2k has a plot of what I believe is the 0z. This is a nail biter. But really the cloud tops have warmed but pressures dropped at last reading. After he gets past Cuba lets see if he bombs.
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
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You guys play it cool tomorrow. I've usually got more to say than almost anyone but I don't have a clue what's going to happen. My best guess that whoever wants the action gets some (and whether you want it or not, you're probably going to get it anyway). Obviously most people have all their rations setup, hurricane kits, party provisions and what not. Make sure your pets are accounted for if you have to evacuate. I can't imagine a 13' storm surge in Tampa, so I really hope the storm goes in south of you guys (with no offense to anyone). To me, the doomsday track is a parallel to the coast where all of the peninsula sees at least gale force and all of the west coast gets hurricane conditions from inside of the right front quadrant (and a push of water that would rival the greatest pushes of water).
Looking forward to the visuals, writeups and photos during the action. I have to admit that I'm a tad bit jealous that I can't get in on some of it myself, but I'll live to fight again another day. Stay safe and hit it hard.
Steve
-------------------- MF'n Super Bowl Champions
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John C
Unregistered
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Remember Floyd! We all evacuated the entire east coast and it turned un-expectably at the last minute. I am not saying this is going to happen with , but it has in the past many times. Oh the wonders of these storms
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joepub1
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 240
Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
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I will bow my head and concede that for the last 40 minutes he has moved due north. I agree that a three-hour loop is a better way to go.
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WeatherNLU
Meteorologist
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Posts: 212
Loc: New Orleans, LA
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Charley seemed to make a move more W (like NW) and now surely back to the N (due N). It's been mentioned, but this may be starting to interact with Cuba. I still think well north of the Sarasota area, and that Tampa is in deep trouble. Then again, I've been giving the storm more play towards making further west than the is, so we shall see. I do like the 's latest track (5PM) it's very close to what I am thinking.
-------------------- I survived Hurricane Katrina, but nothing I owned did!
Edited by WeatherNLU (Thu Aug 12 2004 09:43 PM)
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ShaggyDude
Weather Guru
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Posts: 112
Loc: Cocoa Beach, Florida
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As will I concede, that on the Key West Radar, it has been wobbling NW for a decent number of images, but I'll let you all decide.
Such is the nature of hurricanes.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p20-r/si.kbyx.shtml
Edited by ShaggyDude (Thu Aug 12 2004 09:47 PM)
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LI Phil
User
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Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Steve,
You've been through a CAT III. and more power to you. But I think that is the LAST thing a lot of these folks under the (current) bullseye are looking for. Perhaps, you might advise those who are going to go thru it in the next 24-36 hours what to expect, if they stay, and how best to cope...
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Jeanine
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 36
Loc: Hollywood, FL
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Hi everyone, haven't posted since last year! Just lurking. Anyway just thought you might enjoy for tommorow or later tonight the web cam looking down Duval Street outside of Sloppy Joe's in Key West . Its lighted and you can see at night but better in the day. Also if you scroll down the page there are other web cams for the island. Everyone be safe!
www.liveduvalstreet.com
Jeanine AKA Peanuts
Hollywood, FL
Edited by Jeanine (Thu Aug 12 2004 09:54 PM)
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BillD
User
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Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
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I guess I shoud stop posting anything. Everything I am saying is being misunderstood. I was referring to a previous post about the "quandry" the is in about the actual track vs. the models, and their decision to stick more to their previous forecast than the models. To me they seemed concerned ("worried") that this was happening, but stuck with their forecast rather than adjust it based on the models.
Bill
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WeatherNLU
Meteorologist
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Posts: 212
Loc: New Orleans, LA
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Without a doubt trending more north right now. I have at 8:15PM CDT at 22.0N and 82.4W.
-------------------- I survived Hurricane Katrina, but nothing I owned did!
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nickd
Registered User
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Posts: 8
Loc: Florida
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I live 2 miles south of Clearwater Beach. Leaving beach tomorrow morning...6am. what can I expect. someone who has experience in a major hurricane near the coast please tell us what to expect.
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danielw
Moderator
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Posts: 3526
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Just logged in and reading. I take it is doing the mambo number 3.
For those that might need a list on Hurricane Preparations and supplies I put a few on the Disaster Board last night.
If you live in a evacuation area please Don't Stay and tell your neighbors to leave also.
Remember Camille.
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Rasvar
Weather Master
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Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
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The quandry that was talked about was not further east but actually further west. That is why it is not critical time wise. If it was an eastern quandry, it would have been. The models were trending further west at 6:00 PM
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troy2
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 227
Loc: cocoa beach
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The weather office out at is in the building I work in. Mayeb I can get somd personal insight if I can get into vist that office in the morning.
be safe everyone
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ILoveJoe
Unregistered
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Will it also hit NewJersey or will we just get bad weather???
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