Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 21 (Milton) , Major: 21 (Milton) Florida - Any: 21 (Milton) Major: 21 (Milton)
 


News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

Pages: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | >> (show all)
Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 337
Loc:
Re: Canadian Shifts West too [Re: tom5r]
      #25232 - Sat Sep 11 2004 01:43 AM

Cuban Radar Link
http://www.met.inf.cu/asp/dia.asp


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Second Shift
Verified CFHC User


Reged:
Posts: 14
Loc: Iowa
Re: Canadian Shifts West too [Re: Wxwatcher2]
      #25234 - Sat Sep 11 2004 01:49 AM

FYI-the word is spelled superensemble, also, hobbyist, not hobbiest. (Don't mind me, I'm a nitpicker)

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Londovir
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 112
Loc: Lakeland, FL
Re: Canadian Shifts West too [Re: tom5r]
      #25235 - Sat Sep 11 2004 01:51 AM

You can find Cuban radar (when it's available), at Cuban Radar

I am having trouble getting in to their site, so it's probably being overwhelmed with traffic from the net.

Just one comment about the FSU model. I agree with others on this one. If it's patented, they are legally protected from people stealing their proprietary system. There's little reason to keep the data so restricted from the general public - and less reason to keep the data from college degree'd professional meteorologists without hefty $30K price tags. I can maybe understand not letting Joe Public see it, as people without knowing about models may believe in an experimental model over the official, professional NHC directives. But to keep folks like JK (great initials, by the way, same as mine, heck, same first name even), Clark, etc from having access without the big money is ludicrous. Patent it, protect it, and keep getting your money from the government. It's things like this that start conspiracy theories...

Just to have some value to my post, don't forget you can also check buoys in the Caribbean at Buoy Reports Grand Cayman is starting to get gusty winds, according to the most recent buoy reports.

--------------------
Londovir


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
john03
Unregistered




Re: recon [Re: Wxwatcher2]
      #25236 - Sat Sep 11 2004 01:53 AM

18.4n
79.1w
getting close to storm..... looks to be going down in alt now too..... think 10ft now....meaning now at outer feeder bands, on inbound from nw to cente @539z?

URNT11 KNHC 110539
97779 05394 70184 79108 30800 04049 10069 /3099
RMK AF963 1809A Ivan OB 08


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
tom5r
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 49
Loc: Islamorada, Florida
Re: Canadian Shifts West too [Re: Wxwatcher2]
      #25237 - Sat Sep 11 2004 01:53 AM

Thankyou so much for the cuban radar link. I suspect I'll be seeing Ivan appear in the not so distant future.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 3527
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Ivan Update [Re: Londovir]
      #25238 - Sat Sep 11 2004 01:55 AM

From The Weather Channel. Recon measured max winds at 187kts(215mph at flight level and 194mph at the surface!!) and pressure down to 905mb ( Same as Camille's lowest pressure)

Edited by danielw (Sat Sep 11 2004 01:59 AM)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Clark
Meteorologist


Reged:
Posts: 1710
Loc:
Re: Canadian Shifts West too [Re: Londovir]
      #25239 - Sat Sep 11 2004 01:57 AM

Just a note here: I *do* have access to the FSU Superensemble tracks. They are posted here for members of the FSU Dept. of Meteorology to look at - but not take, take pictures of, etc - and interpret. We are the only other group other than the NHC that gets the data.

Its development is a funded project, but I should clarify that it is not just the government doing so. They do receive funding from other agencies in and not in the government. It is not just a hurricane track/intensity model but also a global model used by government agencies, consulting firms who pay for access to its output, and others.

To answer SirCane's question, if I haven't done so in the above...I have access to it directly, so I've seen it with my own eyes.

--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
john03
Unregistered




Re: Ivan Update [Re: danielw]
      #25240 - Sat Sep 11 2004 01:58 AM

who read report? at TWC?

cat 5? major cat 5?


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Clark
Meteorologist


Reged:
Posts: 1710
Loc:
UKMET shifts west [Re: Clark]
      #25241 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:00 AM

The UKMET model has shifted quite a bit west with the 00Z run this morning. It now brings the storm inland near St. George Island, riding along U.S. 319 until it is almost directly over Tallahassee, then moving NNE into Georgia and South Carolina before slowing dramatically. Landfall timing is around 9-12z 9/15, or early morning Wednesday.

--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 3527
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Ivan Update [Re: john03]
      #25242 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:01 AM

Dave Schwartz read it off of a printout he had in his hand. I posted it as soon as he read it.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
scottsvb1
Unregistered




Re: UKMET shifts west [Re: Clark]
      #25243 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:01 AM

They all shifted west clark.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 337
Loc:
Re: Ivan Update [Re: john03]
      #25244 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:01 AM

905 MB's??????

Yikes...Ivan likes Jamaican waters


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 3527
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Ivan Update [Re: Wxwatcher2]
      #25245 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:03 AM

Jamaican waters aren't as warm as the Cayman waters!

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
john03
Unregistered




Re: Ivan Update [Re: danielw]
      #25246 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:04 AM

have you seen vortex?

jamaica is going to be ugly in morning......bless them all


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
BabyCat
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 150
Loc: New Orleans, La.
Re: Ivan Update [Re: danielw]
      #25247 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:04 AM

???????
905???


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
jth
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 275
Re: Ivan Update [Re: Wxwatcher2]
      #25248 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:06 AM

wasn't Gilbert's lowest around 888?

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
DroopGB31
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 122
Loc: Pensacola
Re: Ivan Update [Re: danielw]
      #25249 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:07 AM

Dude are you serious? 905mb?? Cant wait to see the vortex message. Thats freakin insane if true!!!

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 337
Loc:
Re: Ivan Update [Re: BabyCat]
      #25250 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:07 AM

Now hearing 920 mbs....makes more sense......

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
john03
Unregistered




Re: if recon found..... [Re: jth]
      #25251 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:08 AM

why is the 2am than at 155mph.....why didn't they wait on recon?

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Duncan
Unregistered




Re: Ivan Update [Re: BabyCat]
      #25252 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:08 AM

The 2AM update still has 155 MPH and pressure of 920 mb. If this vortex report came before the advisory you think they would update it.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | >> (show all)



Extra information
0 registered and 492 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: *****
Topic views: 29573

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center