LadyStorm
Weather Guru
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Posts: 154
Loc: United States
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I've got to be reading this wrong. 15 in/hr?
Quote:
[url=http://www.weatherincayman.com/currcndx.htm]
http://www.weatherincayman.com/currcndx.htm[/url]
Here's an interesting link to current wx in the Cayman's. Check out the rain rate.
J
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"The significant problems we face cannot be solved at the same level of
thinking we were at when we created them"
..........Albert Einstein
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recmod
Weather Guru
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Loc: Orlando, FL
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I dunno Bobbi....looking at that loop in the link you provided, I see nothing but SW to NE flow all across the Gulf....all the way from the Bay of Campeche through Florida. The flow directly in front of ,...up to the Cuban coast, does still flow East to West ala the ridge. However, that 2nd trough is diving down quite rapidly and is now to the Gulf around LA and Texas. I still see the first trough pushing eastward off the Carolina coast. I am starting to think that there is an increasing prospect of a NE turn once reaches the Gulf. As some ppl have mentioned, the models are even starting to show a NE hook, although they tend to turn the storm after landfall. Let's watch the future model runs. I would not be surprised to see some earlier NE turns showing up. I believe that ridge might start to relenquish its grip on .
--Lou
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jamserve
Registered User
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yeah, that and the 72" total for the day... 
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recmod
Weather Guru
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Loc: Orlando, FL
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I read a post on storm2k that the rainfall amounts being reported on Grand cayman were in tenths of an inch..thus 72 inches would actually be 7.2 inches reported thus far...a much more reasonable amount.
--Lou
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Rasvar
Weather Master
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Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
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15 in/hr is a legit reading. It is based on if the rain was still falling at the current rate. That rate is never maintained for more then a few min, though. Considering that the system appears to have been lost at that time, it looks like the eyewall was approaching. I am guessing the station lost power. Looks very similar to the pattern I had with . Granted, no where near the force in as is .
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k___g
Weather Guru
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Loc: Leesburg, FL
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that's a bunch 'o rain!!!...hard to fathom...
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CentralFlorida
Weather Watcher
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Loc: Port Richey FL
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That is unreal says rain today 72.74in
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Survived Charley, Jeanne, Frances, Ivan and my Wife
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zim01
Unregistered
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http://www.weatherincayman.com/
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Rasvar
Weather Master
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Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
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The total rain looks to be a system that does not report rain as the software expects. Rain rate is normally dynamic. Looks like the rain counts have not been reset for this system. Can't by the tenths of an inch argument. There is not a rain gage that would report down to a ten thousandths of an inch like that report would be showing.
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LadyStorm
Weather Guru
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Posts: 154
Loc: United States
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Lou,
I have been watching those loops all morning and have come to the same conclusion. I cannot see where they have it going more west with the current flow as it is.
MaryAnn
Quote:
I dunno Bobbi....looking at that loop in the link you provided, I see nothing but SW to NE flow all across the Gulf....all the way from the Bay of Campeche through Florida. The flow directly in front of ,...up to the Cuban coast, does still flow East to West ala the ridge.
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"The significant problems we face cannot be solved at the same level of
thinking we were at when we created them"
..........Albert Einstein
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LadyStorm
Weather Guru
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Posts: 154
Loc: United States
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That sounds more probable/realistic.
Quote:
I read a post on storm2k that the rainfall amounts being reported on Grand cayman were in tenths of an inch..thus 72 inches would actually be 7.2 inches reported thus far...a much more reasonable amount.
--Lou
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"The significant problems we face cannot be solved at the same level of
thinking we were at when we created them"
..........Albert Einstein
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SoonerShawn
Unregistered
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URNT12 KNHC 121439
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 12/1439Z
B. 18 DEG 57 MIN N
81 DEG 33 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2411 M
D. 080 KT
E. 323 DEG 045 NM
F. 069 DEG 131 KT
G. 326 DEG 025 NM
H. 921 MB
I. 9 C/ 3031 M
J. 17 C/ 3032 M
K. 17 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C15-50
N. 12345/07
O. 0.1/ 2 NM
P. AF866 2409A OB 06
MAX FL WIND 131 KT NW QUAD 1428Z.
;
ShawnS
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javlin
Weather Master
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Posts: 410
Loc: Biloxi,MS
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The Trof looks weak and flat .Ivan for the last few frames trending WNW again after some NW movement.Ivan has missed the last two pieces of realestate thus far not without consequences for the inhabitants though.Ivan looks to be heading for the YUC gap that will make the turn happen at 85' to 89' alot of area yea but he has had a nice steady speed thus far.It's been mention that the 500mb associated with trof is weak as it passes N of .
Edited by javlin (Sun Sep 12 2004 11:39 AM)
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andy1tom
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 309
Loc: Callaway, Florida
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does anyone have a site that i could get what the actual storm surge during Opal was? have plan a going but got to have a plan b just in case
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zim01
Unregistered
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http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/techrpts/tr9502/tr9502.pdf
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HMY
Unregistered
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I still don't think the peninsula, even southwest are in the clear yet. The clouds and breeze in my area (central inland Florida) are "different", just like before and , but not typical of a normal average day.
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SoonerShawn
Unregistered
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This turn is no sure thing by any means. I know that everything points to being effected by the trough but I would place it at a 50/50 right now. If the trof is weak I say the chances are <50 for a northerly turn.
ShawnS
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scottsvb1
Unregistered
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shawn we get it, but its not going to houston.
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SoonerShawn
Unregistered
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for those interested in all the wobbles it looks like it has made another one back to the west, again.
ShawnS
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KimB
Unregistered
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This site is amazing I have been following it for some time. I have a question if someone could be so kind as to answer. I am suppose to fly in to Orlando on Wed. Does anyone see this as a problem, is heading that way at all that anyone can see.
Thanks everyone
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