F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Low Chance (10%) area being watched near of the Turks and Caicos islands heading away from land. Unlikely to develop.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 269 (Idalia) , Major: 269 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 269 (Idalia) Major: 269 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

Pages: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | >> (show all)
rmbjoe1954
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 428
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
Ivan and the Dreaded Cone [Re: Thunder]
      #27114 - Tue Sep 14 2004 05:35 PM

The NHC has done its best with forecasting the trended path of Ivan the Terrible - based on all the variables and on the human component- but anyone within the dreaded cone should assume they are within the target- it does not matter where the eye goes- as everyone in my neck of the woods can recall Frances' trended path..

--------------------
________2023 Forecast: 20/10/5________

There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
andy1tom
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 309
Loc: Callaway, Florida
Re: Rick on the Boat [Re: Thunder]
      #27115 - Tue Sep 14 2004 05:36 PM

they are still predicting a turn to the ne but they are saying it is gonna to be later than originally thought. that is why the track is going west. be interesting at 4 to see the updated track. has the 1 come out yet? on central time here.


Edited by andy1tom (Tue Sep 14 2004 05:38 PM)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Thunder
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 29
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
Re: Rick on the Boat [Re: Rasvar]
      #27116 - Tue Sep 14 2004 05:36 PM

Right on. Better safe than sorry. I need some sunlight in the back anyway.
I hope it stays west, but feel for those who take the brunt of this bugger. Yall screw your wigs on tight and stay safe!


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
storm chaser
Unregistered




Re: Rick on the Boat [Re: andy1tom]
      #27117 - Tue Sep 14 2004 05:42 PM

Quote:

they are still predicting a turn to the ne but they are saying it is gonna to be later than originally thought. that is why the track is going west. be interesting at 4 to see the updated track. has the 1 come out yet? on central time here.





I am still waiting for 1pm too. I guess we are back to the 2pm updates LOL


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
LI Phil
User


Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: Rick on the Boat [Re: andy1tom]
      #27118 - Tue Sep 14 2004 05:43 PM

>>> has the 1 come out yet? on central time here.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Re: Rick on the Boat [Re: andy1tom]
      #27119 - Tue Sep 14 2004 05:44 PM

Interesting...they had Ed Rappaport on MSNBC showing Ivan. What I noticed was that as he was talking, he was pointing towards the center of Ivan. It may just be me, but I swear that for right now, Ivan is going due north. Especially after he put the little lines on either side of Ivan, you could see he was gaining latitude (NORTH). The 2pm and 5pm will be interesting. That being said, I wouldn't be surprised to see another track shift to the west, because everything I see seems to be the opposite of what they're saying. Go figure.

*DISCLAIMER* This is only my eyes, not an official forecast.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged:
Posts: 4545
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Rick on the Boat [Re: storm chaser]
      #27120 - Tue Sep 14 2004 05:45 PM

I turned on registered only posting for the talkbacks again. It'll be temporary, and all the other forums don't have this requirement. (I don't like having to do this because I think anyone should be able to post). But if you do register, it requires a valid email address (Which we'll keep private) and cookies enabled for this site.

- Mike

If you aren't registered here you can do so with this link The only requirement is the email address, (mainly to make it difficult for people to create multiple accounts and go crazy).

Any issue you can email me at mike@flhurricane.com (or mike.cornelius@gmaill.com )



Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 337
Loc:
Re: Rick on the Boat [Re: storm chaser]
      #27121 - Tue Sep 14 2004 05:45 PM

Ivan seems to be heading in a more NNW direction the last couple of hours. Will it continue?

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
LI Phil
User


Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
the 1:00 [Re: Colleen A.]
      #27122 - Tue Sep 14 2004 05:46 PM

Not too much change (if any) from the 11:00. Still packing 140 mph winds, pressure 931mb. Still forecasted to his just west of rick & MBF.

This is not going to be pretty...

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
MrSpock
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 296
Re: the 1:00 [Re: LI Phil]
      #27123 - Tue Sep 14 2004 05:48 PM

I was looking at the latest Vort message, saw a 1002 mb or something, and 52 kts.....and then I realized it was Jeanne.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Re: the 1:00 [Re: MrSpock]
      #27124 - Tue Sep 14 2004 05:50 PM

Yeah, my heart skipped a couple happy beats until I saw it was Jeanne, too. Drats.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Storm Cooper
User


Reged:
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
Re: Rick on the Boat [Re: Colleen A.]
      #27125 - Tue Sep 14 2004 05:54 PM

I'm pretty sure that is just some wobble but interested to see how it adds up at the 5pm adv.

--------------------
Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
okiherdu
Registered User


Reged:
Posts: 2
Loc: Florida
Re: Tampa Bay NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook [Re: Colleen A.]
      #27126 - Tue Sep 14 2004 05:57 PM

Quote:

"I have lived in Tampa my entire life, 46 years, and have seen a lot of strange things happen with these storms. With a major Hurricane entering the Gulf of Mexico that is still South of my location, the wood stays up!"

Well, I havn't lived here quite as long (only since 1967) but I have been through 4 of these things (no permanent damage with any of them, but certainly enough around me to make me sit up and take notice.......certainly enough to make me agree with the above quote. Speaking for myself, I am far from as knowlegable as most people posting here.......just trying to be practical.

Good luck and prayers for all.


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
luki
Verified CFHC User


Reged:
Posts: 17
Loc: palm beach county
Re: the 1:00 [Re: Colleen A.]
      #27127 - Tue Sep 14 2004 05:57 PM

can anyone tell me whats going on in Panama City as for evacs,expected weather and such,hubby is working over there right on the bay and im getting very concerned as he isnt telling me weather they are evacuating and what not
Thanks


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
LI Phil
User


Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: the 1:00 [Re: luki]
      #27128 - Tue Sep 14 2004 06:00 PM

>>> can anyone tell me whats going on in Panama City as for evacs,expected weather and such

Coop? JK? A1T?

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Storm Cooper
User


Reged:
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
Re: the 1:00 [Re: luki]
      #27129 - Tue Sep 14 2004 06:01 PM

Low lying areas, Evac zones 1,2 & 3 at this time.

Let me double check the Zone 3 but I think that is correct.

http://www.pcbaygis.com/

You can check your location if needed there.

--------------------
Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1

Edited by Storm Cooper (Tue Sep 14 2004 06:05 PM)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
doug
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: Rick on the Boat [Re: Wxwatcher2]
      #27130 - Tue Sep 14 2004 06:01 PM

Ivan right on its projectd path. Ivan digested the dry air pretty well and is re grouping. Unusually dry air over the Florida peninsula however around Tampa, resulting in evaporation of precip. This was not expected.

--------------------
doug


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
clueless
Verified CFHC User


Reged:
Posts: 23
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Rick on the Boat [Re: doug]
      #27131 - Tue Sep 14 2004 06:04 PM

We here in Florida never expect dry air, but are usually grateful when we see it - right now we have to be mindful of the fact that it is going to come at the gret expense of others - for now we will watch and pray and then turn our sights to Jeanne

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
luki
Verified CFHC User


Reged:
Posts: 17
Loc: palm beach county
Re: the 1:00 [Re: LI Phil]
      #27132 - Tue Sep 14 2004 06:05 PM

Quote:

>>> can anyone tell me whats going on in Panama City as for evacs,expected weather and such

Coop? JK? A1T?



nto really sure west bay? i think its hes right off rt 98


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Storm Cooper
User


Reged:
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
Re: the 1:00 [Re: luki]
      #27133 - Tue Sep 14 2004 06:07 PM

Last post I made has that info.

--------------------
Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | >> (show all)



Extra information
0 registered and 44 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: *****
Topic views: 39175

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center