javlin
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 410
Loc: Biloxi,MS
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I think he goes back W some not much 88.4' hope I am wrongThe wind is really picking up I am about to lose power and maybe two trees to the W of my driveway.The trees are why my lites fade not much longer they will take the power out getting alittle anxious.just me and the frick'n dog she's a good dog.
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kelcot
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 104
Loc: Canton, Ga
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you have no idea about rivalries! Down in the south, between the SEC and the ACC.........
Anyway, I have a question about storm surge......
If you had property on the Gulf, (and I mean right on the gulf- ie. walk out the back door onto a deck, go down a ton of stairs, and you're on the beach) with a 20' storm surge and an expected wave height of 30'-40' ft, what are the chances of it still being there the day after tomarrow? (It is a new house, has hurricane windows, no shutters, but plywood up)
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Kelly
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mbfly
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 119
Loc: Mobile, Alabama
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Quote:
Highest winds on land:
Pensacola NAS sustained at 46 gusts to 55
I thought I saw something about a 61mph gust at Mobile airport ??
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LI Phil
User
Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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You stay safe, Jav.
Re: the storm surge/wave height question...
If that property is located in the northeast quadrant, right in the eyewall...unfortunately it's probably not going to be there much longer...all depends where it's located...
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Keith234
Storm Chaser
Reged:
Posts: 921
Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
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I mean they have the storm re-curving when that subtropical high is going to build back after the remmants of depart. When the remmants of are around it will create a rex block, I think that was metioned by Clark, this would slow everything down in the tropics in the area of Jeanne. Now the problem I have is that once exits there is going to be a slight re-curvature of Jeanne's track but I don't think it would go that north. Another possibility is that Mean Jean the wind and rain machine will continue it's westward course and go through Florida and not be touched by that ridge or trough in the north. It could go either way, but this year storms like Florida and don't recurve when their suppose too. I'm not one to critize the as metioned by LI phil, I'm a mere weather hobbiest, "take it as a grain of salt."
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"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe
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rule
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 132
Loc: Ocala, Florida
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My sister is in Semmes, not far away. They are sitting in the dark. Also relate wind is picking up.
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erimus
Registered User
Reged:
Posts: 2
Loc: Sarasora, FL
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Quote:
I've been wondering about the land dodging thing. was so precise around those islands. Is it possible for the hurricane to just skirt around land in the US? How long and far could that last?
I have been wondering the same thing since Cuba. How many of us has had this in the back of our minds? Could be time for a Poll?
Edited by erimus (Thu Sep 16 2004 01:50 AM)
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MrSpock
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 296
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I think my reasoning is that the ETA has always had a left of track bias with winter storms, and it was supposed to be corrected. Maybe it did go farther west than most thought, but in my opinion, it was as wrong to the left as the was to the right. The thing that disturbs me about the is, its bias was commonly left of track also, so these last couple of storms have played havoc with my mental notes on biases.
There is an easy answer to this: No more storms. Every time I turn on and see Stephanie Abrams being blown through the air (ok, a little dramatic), I think they must all be nuts. "Everyone else leave, let's set up here......"
Poor Jeff Morrow on vacation a couple of years ago on the outer banks, a storm comes, so they give him a camera and a mic.
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kelcot
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 104
Loc: Canton, Ga
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PCB, right off 30A, just west of Rosemary Beach and East of Sea Side.......
Pal, I forgot to tell you that I also have family in Mobile, P-goula, and Gulf Shores....Bettye
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Kelly
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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
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How often do you see a forecast like this:
Persons in southern Mobile and Baldwin counties can expect hurricane force winds after 10 PM this evening and increasing to near 130 mph across the southern half of the County shortly after midnight. These hurricane force winds will spread inland through the late night and into the early morning hours. Landfall of extremely powerful Hurricane can be expected around 100 am over Dauphin Island.
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Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.
Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4
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Keith234
Storm Chaser
Reged:
Posts: 921
Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
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Rainfall rates of 3 and half inches an hour from the sat, amazing and storm totals in the area of 7 inches plus. Stay safe everyone.
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"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe
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andy1tom
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 309
Loc: Callaway, Florida
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it sure looks like its moving slightly east of north to me but jason said its a jog.
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meto
Weather Guru
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Posts: 140
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what is saying about jeanne
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danielw
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Dr Steve is now showing a sat loop with grid overlay. There is a definite curve to the NNE going on. Look out Orange Beach.
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Keith234
Storm Chaser
Reged:
Posts: 921
Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
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I was reading the forecast for Mobile and can you believe that they gave the temp and said it was going to be humid. Like that isn't enough having a hurricane landfall, they have to metion that the temps are going to be in the 80's with high humidity, why don't they issue a heat index warning (LOL).
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"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe
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rule
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 132
Loc: Ocala, Florida
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TWC drives me nuts anymore. 3000 commercials an hour, and 30 minute shows about famous weather happenings. Who cares!? That's what the Discovery channel is for! Gimme my weather 24/7, even if it's not interesting. Both CNN and made it big when that's ALL they did, not like what they do now.
(gets off soapbox)
We resume your regularly scheduled hurricane...
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MrSpock
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 296
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If anyone has a link to the San Juan PR radar, it shows what I was talking about earlier-the convective tail. I didn't expect to see it right now in Jeanne, but it is there. The center of Jeanne is emerging over the Atlantic, but the convective tail is actually EAST of the island.
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lhag
Unregistered
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totally agree with you! I used to be addicted to , but now I hardly watch it at all.
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danielw
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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One hour rainfall totals from Mobile are showing a band of 1.5" to 2.5" rainfall, from Bayou La Batre eastward to Orange Beach area.
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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
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Panama City, FL
WJHC tv http://www.wjhg.com/
WMBB tv http://www.wmbb.com/
http://www.newsherald.com/index.shtml (Tornado strikes newspaper building)
Pensacola, FL
WEAR tv http://www.weartv.com/ (info links only NO NEWS)
http://www.pensacolanewsjournal.com/
Mobile, AL
WKRG tv http://www.wkrg.com/
WPMI tv http://www.wpmi.com/ (minimal coverage but promises live feed)
WPMI am http://www.newsradio710.com/main.html (also offers live streaming)
(Mobile Register): http://www.al.com/
Southern Miss. Gulf Coast (Gulfport, Biloxi, Pascagoula)
WLOX tv http://www.wlox.com/
(Biloxi): http://www.sunherald.com/mld/sunherald/
(Pascaoula): http://www.gulflive.com/
New Orleans, LA
WWL tv http://www.wwltv.com/
WDSO tv http://www.theneworleanschannel.com/index.html
(live feed available)
WNGO tv http://abc26.trb.com/
(Times Picayune): http://www.nola.com/
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Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.
Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4
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