LI Phil
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Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Jeanne-becomes a CAT II or III within 72 hours, head back toward the EC by midweek...
Cat 2 or 3 in 72 hours? this I gotta see. as far as movement, and location, that's anybody's guess.
Ivan: tonight, hits florida beaches with 25-40mph winds and 10-15' waves (Richisurfs, get your board ready); then, it cuts across Fl., "landfalling" near Melbourne, and getting into the GOM, where he feels it will be a 50-60kt TS and hitting Texas (SoonerShawn, get prepared) on Thursday or Friday.
Those are some ba--sy calls, I'll give him that.
He ends his update with the following quote: "More later, and of course if none of this is right, we can say it was Moron, now."
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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scottsvb
Weather Master
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Loc: fl
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Hey you mean JB actually comes to my forecast over the last 5 days????? LOL on melbourne-Daytona? I GTG, I still not completely sure if the LLC isnt w of the midlevel.
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DMFischer
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 70
Loc: Palm Bay
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I am taking a break from studying and was watching the latest ...wait let me be sure I am looking at Jeanne, not Karl....Ok Ok the islands are there...now on the last frame I see this little thing pop up. Is this the new eye?
see attached
Dawn
-------------------- Survived: Mitch '98-Charley's crossing'04-Frances '04-Jeanne'04 Survived near fatal fear from Floyd's threat.
Nearly grew gills with Fay'08
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scottsvb
Weather Master
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Loc: fl
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ahh you ment ,,oh nm,,anyways hes right but I think its Jeanne later this week.
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StormKrone
Weather Watcher
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Loc: Jacksonville, FL
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Well.... I've seen some pretty strange things in my time... some of them were hurricane tracks...guess I'll probably see a few more... time will tell..
I volunteered at the local Red Cross shelter on storm night. My roommates son and his lady lived on Okaloosa Island...(that IS past tense). He and his lady had just moved down there in August from northern Alabama.
He called yesterday when they could finally get in to check the damage and said he was standing on sand in his livingroom and touching the ceiling. He and his cousin had to use a shovel to find his bikes which were in the livingroom.
Frankly, I am tired... overwhelmed... and exhausted...
SK
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Keith234
Storm Chaser
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Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
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Thanks very interesting, maybe gobal warming is a bi-product of increased condensation nulcei? They may form more clouds and therefore trap more heat. That's my take on it. And I'm not saying take away salt from the water, just from the hurricane, have a hurricane hunter plane drop a material that cleans the air of impurities? Let's end this topic, if you want to make a reply just PM me. Thanks
-------------------- "I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe
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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Loc: South Florida
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To quote an old boyfriend here. Need help please.
Set up a trial account with Accuweather, figured if not now when. Didn't do it last year. Had one the season before.
I read it...can't figure out how to find it.
He says to check out his video of something on Betsy but cannot figure out where it is...
Please someone who is familiar with how the site or his mind works please tell me carefull here or in pm how do I find the video he mentions regarding Betsy.
Thank you.
-------------------- http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/
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LI Phil
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Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Normally he has five video selections, one of which being Tropical Update...I just checked and it's not there...it's also not in the "Streaming Video" link...
That's very surprising. At least you know you're not losing it Bobbi...right now it doesn't exist.
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Keith234
Storm Chaser
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Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
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When you look for an eye, your first area you can get it is is by doppler radar, then visible, then infared, and then water vapor. Sometimes WV loops don't depict the eyes because they have moisture in them to, especially if it's forming.
-------------------- "I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe
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Keith234
Storm Chaser
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Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
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You know LI phil that they take the old viedos away, and over the weekend if there's no landfalling hurricanes JB doesn't do streaming viedos only on the weekdays. He has to have some time off.
-------------------- "I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe
Edited by Keith234 (Sun Sep 19 2004 03:33 PM)
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LI Phil
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Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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NRL has 13L NONAME up and lookie here, 92L as well.
No rest for the weary...
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Kent
Weather Guru
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Loc: Ft. Lauderdale
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Hey whats that disturbance way down there in the lower portion of the Carribean?
see attached
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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master
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Loc: Polk County, Florida
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With everyone quoting his forecasts without paying for it, would not surprise me if he had two. One for the people who quote without permission and one that is real. Just my 2 cents worth.
-------------------- God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.
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LI Phil
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Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Jeanne
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Angie
Unregistered
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I'm interested! His forecast track will affect me directly, so I'm very interested!!
Angie Robertson
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Keith234
Storm Chaser
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I feel that sometimes JB's calls are radical but he is no moron. He is very intelligent and looks into things deeply. I think that he want's it to hit that area because it will give him points in his forecast. Right now he feel's it's a game and sometimes allows humor into his work. That's all I'm ever going to say about this topic, don't usually tell people how to make their forecasts, as I am not one to.
-------------------- "I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe
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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master
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Loc: Polk County, Florida
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Here is an article from the Sun Sentinel on Betsy 1965
http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/weather/hurricane/sfl-1965-hurricane.story
-------------------- God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.
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LI Phil
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Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Keith,
I'm not sure I understand what you are saying...are you saying I'm calling him a moron?
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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ShaggyDude
Weather Guru
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Posts: 112
Loc: Cocoa Beach, Florida
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333
URNT12 KNHC 191850
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 19/1835Z
B. 24 DEG 14 MIN N
72 DEG 21 MIN W
C. 925 MB 648 M
D. 50 KT
E. 299 DEG 51 NM
F. 033 DEG 44 KT
G. 299 DEG 39 NM
H. EXTRAP 996 MB
I. 23 C/ 481 M
J. 24 C/ 549 M
K. 23 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345/1
0. 1/3 NM
P. NOAA2 1011A JEANNE OB 04
MAX FLT WND 44KTS NW QUAD 1823Z
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Keith234
Storm Chaser
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Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
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Well yes and no. Yes because of the remark, and no because you subsribed to Accuweather and you wanted to hear JB's forecasts.
-------------------- "I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe
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