MikeC
Admin
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Posts: 4566
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Hey all, I'm back, lots to catch up on, but I am fixing some of the things that broke while I was gone, and the new hardware should be in later this week.
More to come, but will be slow for a bit.
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rickonboat
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 90
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The destruction in Mobile is more a nuisance than anything. My boat completely survived, but the Marina sustained some moderate damage to the roof, and had about 4 huge trees fall over. Amazing that at around 2:00 AM, we figured we were toast, and it dogged right and hit Gulf Shores. Destruction there and in Pensacola was phenomenal. Probably as close to cat 4 type destruction as you can get, without calling it a cat 4 cane.
We are still without power, probably still more than half of the city. Pensacola is another story, as is Gulf Shores, and all the coast along that area. Lots of condos, the older ones...are toast. and some new ones are leaning, and will be condemned. With all the damage, the resolve is to build back better and stronger. Which means, inevitably, there will only be huge towering conrete edifices all along the coast. The quaint single residence just can't survive the long haul....
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
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Glad you made it through ok rick.
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Clark, JB said the last 3 superensemble runs bring Jeanne into the Gulf. I don't buy the scenario (don't think he does either). But out of curiosity, how far west does it bring her?
Steve
-------------------- MF'n Super Bowl Champions
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1299
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Rick, welcome back, I agree with your assessment as well, and I would also point out that brought with him at least a Cat 4 storm surge... the surge and waves were incredible... and did trememdous damage... reminds me somewhat of the damage associated with Camille's surge.... just didn't cause the wind damage that Camille had, but its surge was very impressive to say the least
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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master
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Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
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I think that estimates of storm damage will have to change according to the surface areas and angles which may change the classifications of storm intensities down the line. Estimating effects on land masses according to old standards of measurements do not seem to tell the tale anymore. I noticed this year that no matter what the level of the hurricane has been declared, the damage seemed to imply a higher classification. I don't know if this is the conservatism of the officials or if it is the interaction with the storm and the land structures that are causing this. I have yet to hear that " there was not that much damage" compared to the storm classification. It has been the other way around continuously. Not a conspiracy suggestion, a weather phenomenon I am questioning.
-------------------- God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.
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Kent
Weather Guru
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Posts: 106
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale
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Southeast coast is back in "cone" for Jeanne... although to my untrained eye it looks like one big circle to me.
Thoughts anyone?
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leetdan
Weather Guru
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Posts: 136
Loc: Osceola County
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Great to hear... Sorry to lean offtopic, but might I ask, what direction was that marina exposed to in relation to the wind? And did you secure your boat in a marina slip, or did you anchor out?
I ask because my family runs a marina north of Palm Beach, and we lost use of all 3 docks from moored boats in the area getting blown in (otherwise there was only a foot or two of surge, no structural wind damage). All the boats usually at our marina were taken to safe harbor, but five sail and power boats were blown in and sunk around (under and on top of) our docks. Only one boat in the nearby (unregulated) anchorage stayed secure, even some boats with 6 or more anchor lines broke free (they estimate 150 moored boats in the immediate area are aground or sunken). Most in other marina slips left, but those that remained took heavy damage or sank in the slips, or in some cases had the docks disintegrate around them leaving the boat moored to pilings surrounded by water.
We're on the east side of the ICW, so we were constantly exposed to the west wind as the storm passed north of us. How'd you fare in relation?
-------------------- [witty phrase here]
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Storm Cooper
User
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Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
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Yo rick(still)onboat.... glad to hear you came out of that OK.
-------------------- Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
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I was gonna drop a ten or fifteen spot donation, but I couldn't find the link to a paypal payment option. Do you have one or do you guys just want checks?
Thanks,
Steve
-------------------- MF'n Super Bowl Champions
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MikeC
Admin
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Posts: 4566
Loc: Orlando, FL
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It's at the bottom of the main page now, not emphasizing it as much but will still be there. I did get the new hardware today, but it probably won't be until the weekend til I get time to set it up... It's nice.
Thanks all. Once that is up the thankyou page will go up as well.
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June from Port Orange
Registered User
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Posts: 1
Loc: Port Orange, FL
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Interesting reading...and it's free
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leetdan
Weather Guru
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Posts: 136
Loc: Osceola County
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How do you get to it? THe only one I saw was archived from last year.
-------------------- [witty phrase here]
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Clark
Meteorologist
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Posts: 1710
Loc:
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The Superensemble doesn't take the storm into the Gulf. For one, it doesn't go out that far -- it only goes as far as they run it and no more -- which is usually 5 days. The last few runs I saw were much like the other models...confused, lacking definitive movement any which way.
-------------------- Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)
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CarolinaGurl
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 36
Loc: Wilmington/Kure Beach, NC
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go here for the free column of JB today only Joe's Free Column
-------------------- My Storms - Hugo, Bertha, Bonnie, Fran, Dennis, Floyd, Ophelia, Ernesto, Irene. Arthur
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leetdan
Weather Guru
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Posts: 136
Loc: Osceola County
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Cool stuff. Not really worth $.50 a day to me yet, and I still disagree with Accuweather's stance on the , but I quite like it.
-------------------- [witty phrase here]
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Terry Johnson
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 11
Loc: Tarpon Springs, FL
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In Joe's discussion, suppose the low pressure area that is the remnant of were to develop as it moves westward and becomes a tropical depression, storm, what would its name be?? Anyone?
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tpratch
Moderator
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Posts: 341
Loc: Maryland
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Either or Matthew
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DMFischer
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 70
Loc: Palm Bay
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Welcome Back Mike. We missed you for sure!
-------------------- Survived: Mitch '98-Charley's crossing'04-Frances '04-Jeanne'04 Survived near fatal fear from Floyd's threat.
Nearly grew gills with Fay'08
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BeachBum
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 29
Loc: The Space Coast
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Quote:
Only thing I do know is that I heard in a phone interview that the said if the remnants of become a system, it would be renamed becuase it is not the full system that was .
It also would not be a completely new system. I think ignoring in the name would be a mistake. Why not 2 or ov/Ivanova?
-------------------- From Brevard's Barrier Island
28°08'56"N; 80°35'11"W
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Domino
Weather Guru
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Posts: 191
Loc: Makati City, Philippines
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Been looking over things just west of Florida this morning and it appears is making an attempt at a comeback. Looks like it is making an attempt at a LLC at around 25.72N 83.88W. Convection is also starting to crank up a bit. So...any thoughts on TD in 24 hours or so?
*note: I am as amature as they come and I'm just enjoying a moment of looking at something else while we have 3 real storms to watch.
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