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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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LI Phil
User


Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
TDAT... [Re: Redbird]
      #29921 - Wed Sep 22 2004 09:12 PM

Anyone see The Day After Tomorrow?

Think the 2004 season is a lot scarier!

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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Ricreig
User


Reged:
Posts: 431
Loc: Orlando, Fl
Re: Ivan Is Reborn [Re: SkeetoBite]
      #29922 - Wed Sep 22 2004 09:12 PM

Quote:


Waiting for Jeanne to commit to her forecast track and will update the map.

... providing meaningful information. When the forecast path is in question, folks can be startled very easily when you start showing them street names.

Once (if) Jeanne decides to turn due west or NNW, we'll crank up the map programs and update with each advisory.


Ok, only 30 more degrees. Last I read it was going 240 deg While your maps *could* startle some folks, I suspect it wouldn't and your maps have always provided meaningful information even when ithey had to be revised from showing Ivan from hitting Orlando to hitting Alabama, it was still valid at the time and quite meaningful.

Keep up the good work. I know the word WORK is the operative word here, but it iss valuable work, indeed.

--------------------
Richard
A forecast is NOT a promise!

Edited by Ricreig (Wed Sep 22 2004 09:13 PM)


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SoonerShawn
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 55
Loc: Pearland,Tx
Allison in Katy [Re: Allison]
      #29923 - Wed Sep 22 2004 09:14 PM

The way it stands at this moment, you and I would not see much rain from Ivan because I would be on the south side of him and you would be on the west side. The bad part of that is the people who got the 30+ inches of rain from Allison would see alot of rain.

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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1237
Loc: South Florida
Re: Latest Model Runs....Not Again, Florida! [Re: Ricreig]
      #29924 - Wed Sep 22 2004 09:22 PM

What a day. Unreal day. Unreal season.

Seems to be the season that us trackers have wished for .. forever. Not withstanding wishing killer storms hadn't recurved just off shore and only seen their waves...

Truth is its a bigger year for Haiti than many realize because if you put together the deaths from the storm that wasn't named and Jeanne... they have had untold horrors and a massive death toll.

Lastly.. annoys me that the new wave was never designated but was obviously the stronger entity in the Lisa battle and yet it didnt have a name.

Like the early Hispanola disaster. No name but really strong... won't complain too much because am happy about NHC being honest and moving on with the reality of a once in a century or two storm.

Now what with Jeanne...still hangs in the balance.

as for Phil...well you are a good man Charlie Brown!

--------------------
http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/


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BabyCat
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 150
Loc: New Orleans, La.
Re: Allison in Katy [Re: SoonerShawn]
      #29925 - Wed Sep 22 2004 09:23 PM

This just figures...
I have to drive to Houston this Friday.
And Jeanne...what's up with that?


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SkeetoBiteAdministrator
Master of Maps


Reged:
Posts: 298
Loc: Lakeland, FL
Re: Ivan Is Reborn [Re: Ricreig]
      #29926 - Wed Sep 22 2004 09:24 PM

Right when I was going to press the sheets early tonight! Now I have to wait for the 11pm advisory to see if the path shifts significantly to follow the models, which have had a "right bias" for at least the last 4 storms.

Crap- If the secret lab gets hit again, I'm going to sacrifice a beannie baby at sunset in Melbourne. Maybe that would do it...

Maybe we will have new maps, tonight.


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Redbird
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 90
Loc: Central Florida
Re: Ivan Is Reborn [Re: SkeetoBite]
      #29927 - Wed Sep 22 2004 09:25 PM

I may watch it too..........................hard to not wait up and look

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Rasvar
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
Re: Ivan Is Reborn [Re: SkeetoBite]
      #29928 - Wed Sep 22 2004 09:27 PM

Oh boy. It is the Tivo pattern!!! Except Jeanne will miss the day by a couple. At least I can Tivo the wall to wall hurricane coverage if she does come.

All I can do is laugh about it. Only way to keep my sanity right now.

--------------------
Jim


Edited by Rasvar (Wed Sep 22 2004 09:38 PM)


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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
It never ends!!! [Re: LoisCane]
      #29929 - Wed Sep 22 2004 09:29 PM Attachment (310 downloads)

Hurricanes are now in an Atlantic holding pattern awaiting clearance for Florida. It almost does look like this. See attachment.

--------------------
Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.

Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4


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rule
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 132
Loc: Ocala, Florida
Re: Latest Model Runs....Not Again, Florida! [Re: LoisCane]
      #29930 - Wed Sep 22 2004 09:29 PM

I was planning to wax my generator this weekend, but maybe I'll wait...

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Allison
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 134
Loc: Laredo, Texas
Re: Allison in Katy [Re: SoonerShawn]
      #29931 - Wed Sep 22 2004 09:31 PM

Quote:

The way it stands at this moment, you and I would not see much rain from Ivan because I would be on the south side of him and you would be on the west side. The bad part of that is the people who got the 30+ inches of rain from Allison would see alot of rain.




Yup.... especially if he creeps along on Friday and Saturday... He's forecast to move only 30-40 miles in 24 hours!

Fortunately, I got only 2" of rain during TS Allison... that would be just about perfect with Ivan...


Allison (...a name much vilified since June 01... )
29.81 N
95.72 W


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Ricreig
User


Reged:
Posts: 431
Loc: Orlando, Fl
Jeanne better turn ... [Re: SkeetoBite]
      #29932 - Wed Sep 22 2004 09:36 PM

Quote:



Crap- If the secret lab gets hit again, I'm going to sacrifice a beannie baby at sunset in Melbourne. Maybe that would do it...

Maybe we will have new maps, tonight.


Dunno about the beannie baby, but between you and rabbits voodoo hex, maybe we could conviince Jeanne to go back out fisshing. I do hope, in the meantime, you do decide to update a map for her current (or 11pm) forecast. Shoot, if the track doesn't change, it is a 'commitment' and if it gets closer, it is a threat. Right? To quote a friend who makes great hurricane maps "Crap - now I have to wait up till 11 to see who is going to blow on me and how hard will it be?".... Hmmmm, somehow that didn't sound quite right....but you know what I mean.

--------------------
Richard
A forecast is NOT a promise!


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Daytonaman
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 28
Loc: Port Orange, FL
Re: It never ends!!! [Re: WXMAN RICHIE]
      #29933 - Wed Sep 22 2004 09:37 PM

Here is a link for some great editoral cartoons on Florida and her unwelcome guests.... Hurricane Cartoons
Waiting impatiently for Jeanne's decision on visiting us here...

Bruce
Port Orange, FL

--------------------
Bruce
Port Orange, FL
29.14 80.99
Thanks to all who work so hard to teach those of us without the knowledge but the thirst to know.


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StormHound
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 187
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Latest Model Runs....Not Again, Florida! [Re: rule]
      #29934 - Wed Sep 22 2004 09:38 PM

Quote:

I was planning to wax my generator this weekend, but maybe I'll wait...




I was hoping to find a slightly used generator at a garage sale this weekend. I guess I'll have to wait a couple more weeks.

Looking for some more consistent model trends by morning. I don't think I have enough energy to stay up until 11pm. Not surprised that she's coming back our way, though I was hopeful of a fish-spinner for a day or so.

--------------------
Storm Hound
Computer Geek


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SkeetoBiteAdministrator
Master of Maps


Reged:
Posts: 298
Loc: Lakeland, FL
Re: Jeanne better turn ... [Re: Ricreig]
      #29935 - Wed Sep 22 2004 09:40 PM

LOL

It would be a "collectable" beannie baby. Limited production and "retired" beannies have the greatest affect on the hurricane gods.


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LI Phil
User


Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: Jeanne better turn ... [Re: Ricreig]
      #29936 - Wed Sep 22 2004 09:40 PM

>>> was planning to wax my generator this weekend

That's going straight to the GEMS future column....

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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52255225
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 166
Loc: Parrish Fl
Re: Latest Model Runs....Not Again, Florida! [Re: StormHound]
      #29937 - Wed Sep 22 2004 09:44 PM

ok!!! too funny! :?:

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rule
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 132
Loc: Ocala, Florida
Re: It never ends!!! [Re: Daytonaman]
      #29938 - Wed Sep 22 2004 09:45 PM

This may be old news, but some video of Charley eyewall taking out a gas station.

http://www.mthurricane.com/Hurricane_Charley.htm


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Allison
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 134
Loc: Laredo, Texas
Re: Latest Model Runs....Not Again, Florida! [Re: StormHound]
      #29939 - Wed Sep 22 2004 09:46 PM



The buoys off of Louisiana are showing 30kt+ winds...

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=burl1
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=spll1

--------------------
Allison


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LI Phil
User


Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
You guys rock! [Re: LI Phil]
      #29940 - Wed Sep 22 2004 09:46 PM

>>> Crap - now I have to wait up till 11 to see who is going to blow on me and how hard will it be?"....

Think this one will make the GEMS?

I'll slowly drag myself out of the gutter...sorry, we got some serious s--- to deal with right now...

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"

Edited by LI Phil (Wed Sep 22 2004 09:48 PM)


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