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Rafael continues to decouple over the Gulf. Meanwhile we are keeping a watch on Invest 98L around the Bahamas and potentially a new low forming in the Caribbean.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 31 (Milton) , Major: 31 (Milton) Florida - Any: 31 (Milton) Major: 31 (Milton)
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Nnw at 3 mph
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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

Pages: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | >> (show all)
teal61
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 61
Loc: Spring, TX (30.1N 95.5W)
Re: Ivan and 94L [Re: Bloodstar]
      #29819 - Wed Sep 22 2004 06:08 PM

94L not there now.

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ShanaTX
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 226
Loc: Texas
Weird observation re Ivan [Re: MikeC]
      #29820 - Wed Sep 22 2004 06:09 PM

Ivan goes inland for Rosh Hashanah last week.

This week, Yom Yippur starts Friday night...

What are the odds???

'shana

Edited to add:

Local news in Austin TX leadoff story ... the return of Ivan...

sigh.

Edited by ShanaTX (Wed Sep 22 2004 06:13 PM)


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Rabbit
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 511
Loc: Central Florida
Re: Ivan and 94L [Re: teal61]
      #29821 - Wed Sep 22 2004 06:10 PM

My hope is that Jeanne will weaken to a TS, head toward my area, and stall out offshore as a depression or storm with a stalled cold front to the north

The more likely scenario is that it will strengthen, head toward my area, and more north to hit between Savannah and Cape Fear (i agree with the NHC forecast to 96 hours, but do not think it will turn northeast after that)


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Redbird
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 90
Loc: Central Florida
Re: Ivan and 94L [Re: Rabbit]
      #29822 - Wed Sep 22 2004 06:12 PM

Rabbit do you think late sat afternoon is when we can expect this gal to be sitting off our coast? I live in northern brevard county.

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Rabbit
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 511
Loc: Central Florida
Re: Ivan and 94L [Re: Redbird]
      #29823 - Wed Sep 22 2004 06:18 PM

I live in Titusville (also in N Brevard)
I think Sunday morning between 8am and Noon will be the closest point


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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: Ivan and 94L [Re: Rabbit]
      #29824 - Wed Sep 22 2004 06:27 PM

recon found pressure of 1009?

winds around 35kts?

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



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COgal
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 32
Loc: Lake County FL
Re: July 31, 2004 [Re: LI Phil]
      #29825 - Wed Sep 22 2004 06:27 PM

LI Phil.....
I would have guessed Toby Keith. Oh wait, Bob Seger, Toby Keith, both sing a song with "some" of the same lyrics. Kind of like Ivan and Ivan2, similar but very different?


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 3527
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Ivan and 94L [Re: Rabbit]
      #29826 - Wed Sep 22 2004 06:28 PM

COASTAL FLOOD WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
430 PM CDT WED SEP 22 2004
...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL HANCOCK COUNTY...
AND COASTAL AREAS OF ST. BERNARD AND ORLEANS PARISH...AND GRAND
ISLE...
...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LAKES MAUREPAS AND
PONTCHARTRAIN...AND THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
COAST WESTWARD THROUGH TERREBONNE PARISH...

STRONG EASTERLY WINDS ARE RESULTING FROM INTERACTION OF HIGH PRESSURE
SITUATED OVER THE EASTERN U.S. AND A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING
ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. TIDES ARE 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
IN THE WATCH AND WARNING AREA WITH ASTRONOMICAL LOW TIDES OCCURRING
DURING THE EARLY EVENING....
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=LIXCFWNEW

Edited by danielw (Wed Sep 22 2004 06:30 PM)


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LI Phil
User


Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: July 31, 2004 [Re: COgal]
      #29827 - Wed Sep 22 2004 06:33 PM

>>> LI Phil.....
I would have guessed Toby Keith. Oh wait, Bob Seger, Toby Keith, both sing a song with "some" of the same lyrics. Kind of like Ivan and Ivan2, similar but very different?


It's funny you say that because Daniel just PMed me with Toby Keith lyrics, which either intentionally or not, have the identical line. Right now I'm trying to ascertain who wrote them first...it's gotta be Seger.

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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DMFischer
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 70
Loc: Palm Bay
Re: Central Florida Hit..Holy Molly! [Re: Rabbit]
      #29828 - Wed Sep 22 2004 06:36 PM

*@#%*#
It's funny (not really) but I told my son last night that I was getting that feeling again in the pit of my stomach....like with Charley and Frances. Anyway I do not know enough YET to do all the projections ya'll can do, but I have that internal barometer that says this is a very very hinky situation!
To make things even worse, my daughter has girl scout camping this weekend, leaving friday. Fort Wilderness. (banging head on the desk) Going to be a tense few days while we watch this thing. Trust me, I do NOT want to tell this child her yearly camping trip is being pulled because of another hurricane.
Someone pay alms to mother nature, please!

--------------------
Survived: Mitch '98-Charley's crossing'04-Frances '04-Jeanne'04 Survived near fatal fear from Floyd's threat.
Nearly grew gills with Fay'08


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Redbird
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 90
Loc: Central Florida
Re: July 31, 2004 [Re: LI Phil]
      #29829 - Wed Sep 22 2004 06:36 PM

Country music does sing to our basic fears and desires right? Although I see you more as a Neil Diamond fan.

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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re recon [Re: Redbird]
      #29830 - Wed Sep 22 2004 06:37 PM

URNT12 KNHC 222202
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 22/2202Z
B. 26 DEG 56 MIN N
89 DEG 20 MIN W
C. NA
D. 30 KT
E. 318 DEG 029 NM
F. 038 DEG 35 KT
G. 314 DEG 036 NM
H. EXTRAP 1008 MB
I. 23 C/ 271 M
J. 24 C/ 302 M
K. 22 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/1
O. .1/10 NM
P. AF963 4409A INVEST OB 11
MAX FL WIND 35 KT NW QUAD 2153Z. SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500FT.
SFC CNTR 144/007NM FROM FL CNTR. MAX FL TEMP 25C 097/13NM
FROM FL CNTR.

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



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LI Phil
User


Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Neil Diamond??? [Re: Redbird]
      #29831 - Wed Sep 22 2004 06:40 PM

>>> Country music does sing to our basic fears and desires right? Although I see you more as a Neil Diamond fan.

Puh-lease. How old do you think I am anyway? I like almost all types of music, including good old country & western, cried when Johnny Cash died...and how schweet is it that Hank does the MNF intro?

Now, if you had said Perry Como, Neil Sedaka, Engelburt Humperdink...you might have had a point

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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wxman007
Meteorologist


Reged:
Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
He's BACK! [Re: LI Phil]
      #29832 - Wed Sep 22 2004 06:42 PM

WTNT24 KNHC 222234
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION Ivan SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 67
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092004
2300Z WED SEP 22 2004

AT 6 PM CDT...2300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO SARGENT TEXAS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 89.3W AT 22/2300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 89.3W AT 22/2300Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 88.8W

--------------------
Jason Kelley


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MO Stormspotter
Unregistered




Re: He's BACK! [Re: wxman007]
      #29833 - Wed Sep 22 2004 06:43 PM

So it is official now?

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mbfly
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 119
Loc: Mobile, Alabama
Re: 2 Thoughts/Points [Re: Kimberley Clark]
      #29839 - Wed Sep 22 2004 07:04 PM

My office and home are soooo tired of me and my weather. They think I'm a "weather freak" and my boss tells me it's worse than cocaine. PLEASE Ivan GO AWAY AND STAY AWAY!!!!!




ROFL !! I resemble that remark ! I have gotten VERY good at hitting the alt/tab key in the blink of an eye to make it look like I'm working while spending most of my time here !!!


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LI Phil
User


Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
NEW THREAD [Re: mbfly]
      #29840 - Wed Sep 22 2004 07:05 PM

Mike just posted a new thread.

BTW, I'm forwarding your last post to your employer!

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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Kent
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 106
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale
Re: Weird observation re Ivan [Re: ShanaTX]
      #29844 - Wed Sep 22 2004 07:08 PM

The Jewish holidays a good theory....hmmm

Or maybe its a political thing. Any other Floridians happen to notice the absence of campaiging down here? I just heard on the news that Hurricanes have put a serious damper on the campaign trail in Florida. And boy we are a wanted state right? With the voting fiasco of 2000 can you imagine what it would be like for us right now? We'd be bombarded with some very animated people telling us why we should vote for THEIR candidate. Everyday it would be Watch out!

REPUBLICAN on your RIGHT & a DEMOCRAT on your LEFT

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT

RIGHT Left
Right Left

Anyone seeing a pattern here?

Ivan on your Left Jeanne on your right

Ivan Jeanne
Ivan Jeanne

Coincidence?


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troy
Unregistered




Re: He's BACK! [Re: wxman007]
      #29859 - Wed Sep 22 2004 07:25 PM

weird...yesterday on Fox 35 in Orlando during one of the morning weather updates a person from NHC was on the phone with Jim Van Fleet and that person mentioned it woudlnt be named Ivan if what was then over Florida formed into a storm regardless if it was a piece of him or not.

He said since it wasnt the actual core of Ivan it would get a new name...


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52255225
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 166
Loc: Parrish Fl
Re: Weird observation re Ivan [Re: Kent]
      #29862 - Wed Sep 22 2004 07:32 PM

no but I vote for jeanne.

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