Pam in Vero
Unregistered
|
|
Sorry should have looked closer at your screen name
|
Rasvar
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
|
|
Now are these not the runs that were mentioned in the 11:00am discussion for running with the ridge in the wrong initial position?
--------------------
Jim
|
Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
|
|
This was interesting: Tom Terry (Channel 9 in Orlando) had a 2pm update and said he's throwing out the /GFDL model because it moves the storm too slowly. UKMET shifted a little to the NE but I don't know where is at right this second.
Then, on , they showed an interesting graphic which was displayed at "JEANNE'S IMPACTS" and the OCM moved it all the way up through the state of Florida and had it making the turn to the NW in GEORGIA. Don't know what they know, but there wasn't any "hugging the coastline" look there at all.
Kent....Polk County schools (as of right now) have not made a decision as to whether schools will be closed on Monday. I find this somewhat odd as the HS across the street from me is a SHELTER. I guess they are waiting until the 5pm update. It's just odd because people have to evacuate tomorrow and for the past 3 hurricanes, they closed the schools almost 72 hours in advance. Just my wandering mind pondering this's and that'is'. 
--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
|
Vladimirr
Unregistered
|
|
Quote:
Thanks for the SWFMD graphic. Could you please post the link?
I have searched and searched for a link, all I have for now is the URL to that picture which is updated every time they get their data
I found the graphic on some other site (can't remember which), and followed it to its source, but no luck as to an actual page that it's located on.
|
Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
|
|
I just read a press release from the PC School Board website saying that SCHOOLS WILL BE OPEN ON MONDAY, but they will monitor the hurricane over the weekend.
Worried about losing more school days? Where the heck are people in mobile homes supposed to go? ACK.
--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
|
AmoryBl
Unregistered
|
|
The state is really after the schools to offer all 180 days even with the situation we have had this fall. I think after schools were cancelled for on Friday, they are taking a more wait and see attitude. I wouldn't be surprised if Polk didn't make a final call until sometime Saturday.
|
Rasvar
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
|
|
Polk was burned by their early cancelation with . I think they will make an announcement this weekend to close if they have too.
--------------------
Jim
|
Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
|
|
I suppose you're correct, and I thought that closing schools for was way premature, but now do they have to go the other EXTREME?
Just venting.
--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
|
Lake Toho - Kissimmee
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 317
Loc: Kissimmee, Florida on Lake Toh...
|
|
I am not sure but the Models seem to be all messed up. Too slow, they are weaking the ridge too fast, and the high continues to build west... Is it just me ? Maybe I am wishcasting.. NOT !!
--------------------
Dream like you will live forever.. Live like there is no tommorow.. Darwin Rules !!
|
LI Phil
User
Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
|
|
Here's what JB just opined:
"IN a worst case this trof split I am looking for could send the hurricane at 020 degrees from Saint Simon Island all the way to New England. How so. Well the first piece of the trof as usual is overdone, the second underdone, it phases and the storm hugs the coast." 
--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
|
ROB IN YORK PA
Unregistered
|
|
Has anybody seen last 3 or 4 frames on visable and infrared. It looks like she is starting to get her act together again. I could be wrong being just an amateur but thats what it looks like to me.
|
Kent
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 106
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale
|
|
yeah and I hope no Jewish people are in those motor homes. Many won't be listening to the news after sundown.
worrisome
|
Justin in Miami
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 269
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
|
|
LI PHil is JB calling a landfall location yet? What is his opinion at the moment...which model is he favoring?
|
lois
Unregistered
|
|
going off and going home to set things up there
wont be on much so....be nice to phil
everyone take care and be prepared
bobbi
think it hits further south btw.. my call..
|
LI Phil
User
Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
|
|
Quote:
LI PHil is JB calling a landfall location yet? What is his opinion at the moment...which model is he favoring?
He didn't update his early morning forecast...it was a "Quickie Post" about (isn't he DEAD yet) and Jeanne's future AFTER florida...
Here are his coords from this morning...you can do the math:
Tonight, 8:00 p.m. eastern, 26.2,74.0 965 mb
Tomorrow evening, 26.8, 78.0 955 mb
Sunday evening, 28.0 81.0 965 mb
Monday evening, 33.0 79.5 970 mb
Tuesday evening, 38.5, 73.0 985 mb
Wednesday evening, 42.0, 65.0 985 mb
Personally I'm not real thrilled with that Tuesday evening locale.
I'm not a mathamagician but wouldn't his coords keep her off the florida coast?
--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
|
Ocala
Weather Watcher
Reged:
Posts: 33
Loc: Ocala, FL
|
|
Quote:
LI PHil is JB calling a landfall location yet? What is his opinion at the moment...which model is he favoring?
From Accuweather Site
A more west-northwest track will occur toward the Florida coast on Saturday, then landfall may occur Sunday morning between Fort Lauderdale and Cape Canaveral, similar to where Hurricane came ashore three weeks ago. If Jeanne were to make landfall near Fort Lauderdale, it would be very early Sunday morning. If the same occurred near Cape Canaveral, it may hold off until Sunday afternoon given the slope of the central coast. Jeanne could be a major category 3 hurricane at that time causing extensive wind damage and a storm surge of 6-10 feet near or north of landfall. From there, Jeanne will turn northwest across central Florida Sunday and may be capable of producing hurricane-force wind gusts across Orlando, Jacksonville and Savannah. Jeanne will weaken Sunday night and Monday as it tracks from northern Florida into the Carolinas, but will be still be very dangerous with possible flooding rains and wind damage. East of the track, severe weather is possible, including tornadoes. The latest forecast models have come into better agreement that Jeanne will move either along the east coast of Florida and towards the Carolinas, or inland across the Florida Peninsula and into the Southeast. However, the latest model tracks Jeanne across central Florida into the Gulf of Mexico and then into the Florida Panhandle. Residents of the Florida Panhandle to the Northeast should closely monitor the progress of this potentially devastating hurricane.
|
Lake Toho - Kissimmee
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 317
Loc: Kissimmee, Florida on Lake Toh...
|
|
No she would be inland at 28 and 81.. I believe.. Thats sunday on your chart..
--------------------
Dream like you will live forever.. Live like there is no tommorow.. Darwin Rules !!
|
LI Phil
User
Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
|
|
Absolutely right...damn...now I gotta keep the chart handy...thought I could do it from memory!
I'm gonna ask Skeeter to do a map with those coords plotted!
--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
Edited by LI Phil (Fri Sep 24 2004 07:06 PM)
|
Ricreig
User
Reged:
Posts: 431
Loc: Orlando, Fl
|
|
Quote:
Absolutely right...damn...now I gotta keep the chart handy...thought I could do it from memory!
(KORL) 28-32-47N 081-20-09W 37M
--------------------
Richard
A forecast is NOT a promise!
|
ApplemaninFL
Unregistered
|
|
St Johns County schools in St Augustine are closing on Monday for the impending hurricane force winds.
We lost 5 days from power outages with .
|
Previous
Index
Next
Threaded
Edit
Reply
Quote
