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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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LI Phil
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Re: Scott, I'm confused... [Re: ShanaTX]
      #33691 - Fri Oct 08 2004 01:53 AM

Quote:

Quote:

And, the percentage you're paying is too high priced
While you're living beyond all your means
And the man in the suit has just bought a new car
From the profit he's made on your dreams





Traffic?

Correct...and the song...

'shana




--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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Hurric
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Re: Scott, I'm confused... [Re: LI Phil]
      #33692 - Fri Oct 08 2004 01:59 AM

the low spark of high heeled boys

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ShanaTX
Storm Tracker


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Re: Scott, I'm confused... [Re: LI Phil]
      #33693 - Fri Oct 08 2004 02:04 AM


Low Spark of High Heeled Boys

'shana


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LI Phil
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Re: Scott, I'm confused... [Re: ShanaTX]
      #33694 - Fri Oct 08 2004 02:17 AM

Two winners, of many bonus points!

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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Hurric
Weather Guru


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Re: Scott, I'm confused... [Re: LI Phil]
      #33695 - Fri Oct 08 2004 02:33 AM

Hey Phil, unless those points can help ward off storms give them to Shana. I knew the words but couldn't think of song till she posted the artist.
I had two women, one about 20 and one about 50, tell me that when they awoke this morning to grey skies and gusty winds that they felt feelings of dread and stormy thoughts. Several school kids mentioned they dont like it when it's windy. It will be a while before people around here can put this season to rest.
Me, I was thinking about the last time a storm with the "M" named passed near here. Double bonus points for the one who can name that one
Hurric


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DMFischer
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RE:Tropical Weather Discussion [Re: Hurric]
      #33696 - Fri Oct 08 2004 03:14 AM

The last discussion was at 8:05pm this evening. Is there suppose to be one at 11pm from the NHC?

--------------------
Survived: Mitch '98-Charley's crossing'04-Frances '04-Jeanne'04 Survived near fatal fear from Floyd's threat.
Nearly grew gills with Fay'08


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GuppieGrouper
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Re: Scott, I'm confused... [Re: Hurric]
      #33697 - Fri Oct 08 2004 03:14 AM

Mitch

--------------------
God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.


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scottsvb1
Unregistered




Re: Scott, I'm confused... [Re: GuppieGrouper]
      #33698 - Fri Oct 08 2004 05:47 AM

no was saying that it had a pressure in the area of 1007 but doesnt mean there is a TD there. Yes earlier what could of been called a TD went inland with the midlevel low east of there which the recon found with 1007mb pressure but since its not totally at the surface and lacking TS near the center and winds werent at least 30mph then there is no TD now. But by Friday,,who knows

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Storm Cooper
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Re: Scott, I'm confused... [Re: scottsvb1]
      #33699 - Fri Oct 08 2004 07:32 AM

I know you want to see it, can't wait...right AFD from Tally 2:30am EST....

.CURRENTLY...LOW PRESSURE IN THE WESTERN GOMEX CONTINUES TO BRING
RAINS TO TX AND THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WHILE SPREADING HIGH
CIRRUS OVER THE LOCAL AREA. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS SYSTEM AND THE
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EAST COAST HAS HELD WINDS UP OVER
INLAND AREAS THIS MORNING. MARINE CONDITIONS CONTINUE AT SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS WITH WINDS 20-25 KTS AND SEAS 8 TO 10 FEET AT
THE OFFSHORE BUOYS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...THE LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF WILL SLOWLY MOVE TOWARDS
THE REGION THIS WEEKEND INCREASING RAIN CHANCES FIRST IN THE FL
PANHANDLE AND SE ALABAMA ZONES STARTING SATURDAY. EAST WINDS SHOULD
CONTINUE AT A GOOD CLIP...ESPECIALLY OVER THE MARINE ZONES. LIKELY
RAIN CHANCES THROUGHOUT THE CWA ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY WITH THIS
SYSTEM...SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. TEMPS SHOULD
REMAIN MODERATED WITH THE INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND RAIN...WITH MINS IN
THE 60S AND HIGHS RIGHT AROUND 80.

.LONG TERM...NO CHANGES MADE. AS THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED...AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...UNSETTLED CONDITIONS MAY LAST
INTO TUESDAY. DEPENDING ON ITS FINAL TRACK...THIS SYSTEM MAY PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THIS SITUATION AS THERE IS A STRONG DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN GFS AND
ETA. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS ALSO EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE CWA BY
LATE NEXT WEEK...AND IT COULD USHER IN MUCH DRIER AND COOLER AIR FOR
NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS CONTINUE TODAY AS GUSTY
EAST WINDS CONTINUE OVER THE GULF. RAIN CHANCES WILL ALSO INCREASE
THIS EVENING AND SHOULD REMAIN HIGH THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

--------------------
Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1


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Hurric
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Re: Scott, I'm confused... [Re: GuppieGrouper]
      #33700 - Fri Oct 08 2004 11:13 AM

Yes, It was the reborn Mitch that raced across Florida bringing heavy rains and squally winds.
I hope the GOM system will just stay weak and away from Florida.
Hurric


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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master


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Re: Scott, I'm confused... [Re: Hurric]
      #33701 - Fri Oct 08 2004 11:41 AM

This morning is very cool for Central Florida. This is a chilling reminder of the way it felt before Frances, Charley and Jeanne. I know that this storm is no big deal -yet. But neither was Opal and she was forecast to go to Mexico and of course did not. The gulf will spring nasty surprises. I hope this is not one of them.

--------------------
God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.


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doug
Weather Analyst


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Re: Scott, I'm confused... [Re: GuppieGrouper]
      #33702 - Fri Oct 08 2004 01:21 PM

Brief reply: yes it seems similar here today and there are other "old wives" signs that have preceded each of the other systems by about 48hours...'mares tails' and mackereld cirrus....lets face it we are going to get wet!

--------------------
doug


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Redbird
Weather Hobbyist


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Re: Scott, I'm confused... [Re: Hurric]
      #33703 - Fri Oct 08 2004 01:49 PM

Even hearing rain at night sets me on edge..............add wind and I am going to be lying awake for awhile at night till it stops.

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DMFischer
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Re: Scott, I'm confused... [Re: Redbird]
      #33704 - Fri Oct 08 2004 02:15 PM

The other day I was dropping one of the kids off at school, waiting in that slow creeping line of cars and I heard a sound that put my teeth on edge and goose to my flesh. I looked for it and pinpointed it as coming from the palms. The wind had gusted and it was that sound of the fronts in the wind, so much like they sounded during Charley, Frances and Jeanne. The ants are rising and moving in to the house again, finding them trailing along the walls in search of places ot hide. All I can say is "oh no".
This is "hurricane shock" a type of post traumatic stress thing, right?????????????

--------------------
Survived: Mitch '98-Charley's crossing'04-Frances '04-Jeanne'04 Survived near fatal fear from Floyd's threat.
Nearly grew gills with Fay'08


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Katie
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Re: Scott, I'm confused... [Re: GuppieGrouper]
      #33706 - Fri Oct 08 2004 02:50 PM

Guppie Grouper -
I live in Polk County too and I had a question for you - did you have hail during Jeanne?? A lot of people I know had hail damage to their cars which seems not at all normal for tropical weather. Just wondering if that is what it really was or something else??? I was in Chicago so I missed the whole thing but maybe you saw the hail or know more about it??

katie


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LI Phil
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Not for nothin', but... [Re: Katie]
      #33708 - Fri Oct 08 2004 03:28 PM

Ma-on is about to whomp the everliving 5#!+ out of Japan...

Teleconnections for the US????

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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James88
Weather Master


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Re: Not for nothin', but... [Re: LI Phil]
      #33709 - Fri Oct 08 2004 03:47 PM

Whoa, the 4th CAT 5 typhoon in the W. Pacific this year. Only a couple of days ago they were expecting a CAT 2 at most.

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anony
Unregistered




Re: Not for nothin', but... [Re: LI Phil]
      #33710 - Fri Oct 08 2004 04:07 PM

Same thing I just said in a phone call---re: teleconnections

sc


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doug
Weather Analyst


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Re: lets wake up [Re: anony]
      #33712 - Fri Oct 08 2004 04:18 PM

Ok lets wake up on this gulf system...yesterday Scott and I disagreed that the broad LLC remained off shore...he argued I was focusing on the midlevel...I still disagree...the visible is what I used yesterday, and today again...the WV shows a midlevel disconncted from the circulation visible on the west side...mostly exposed...it is my opinion then that a low is over water in poor ogrganization...it is not stacked up; may never be stacked up, but then neither was the reformed Ivan which was open on the south and west...All the weather on this is north and east...the winds are higher than expected due to gradient features...it will never(oops should not say that) be hurricane, but should it be classified as tropical?
I think much of the delay is political...think of the implications of a 6th land falling tropical storm in Florida...
Any way I've seen less than this be classified, and it does bear watching for development, and is closer than we think...if as I think a 1007 low is out there it should be.

--------------------
doug


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LI Phil
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Re: lets wake up [Re: doug]
      #33713 - Fri Oct 08 2004 04:25 PM

Doug,

I agree totally. JB feels the same way. NHC may NEVER classify this, but I'm of the mind that it IS Tropical, and it IS already a TD...remember the Haiti system in May...

Well, even if it never gets a name, it is potential trouble, and sooner rather than later...

Until NRL removes it as 95L, I'm still of the mind they may classify it.

Gulf Coasters need to watch this VERY carefully!

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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