danielw
Moderator
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Posts: 3527
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Early morning recon has finished their first leg of Matthew.
0538Z Vortex came in with a minimum pressure of 1001mb.
And max flight level winds of 49kts in the NE quadrant.
0545Z Satellite estimates have dropped Matthew to a T1.0/2.0 status.
0745Z satellite imagery showing an area of Thunderstorms from Alexandria to Baton Rouge La. Three other clusters of thunderstorms are visible from the Mouth of the Mississippi River southeastward toward 25N/ 85W.
0804 New Orleans radar indicating the circulation center just south of South Marsh Island and Vermillion Bay.
New Orleans wind profiler data:
1000ft-SE at 25kts
2000ft-SE at 40kts.
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40,000ft SW at 63kts-shear!
0800Z Buoy observations:
Buras, LA C-MAN Station reporting wind of 120deg at 35kt gusting to 39kts, with a peak gust of 42kts. Pressure 1005.1mb
Late Update: The 5 AM advisory has the 1800Z (1PM CDT-Sunday) position forecast is located between Garyville,LA and the southern most point of Lake Marepas.
Edited by danielw (Sun Oct 10 2004 04:48 AM)
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danielw
Moderator
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Posts: 3527
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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0900Z Subtropical Storm Nicole has formed from a Low pressure area in the Western North Atlantic.
At 09Z Nicole was centered near latitude 31.8N and longitude 66.0W. or about 80 miles WSW of Bermuda.
Nicole is moving toward the NNW near 15mph and a mostly northward motion is expected for the next 24hrs.
Max sustained winds are near 45mph with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24hrs.
Winds of 40mph extend outward up to 345 miles from the center!
Estimated min. pressure is 1000mb.
This is an edited version of the Official TPC/NHC Advisory. Link for Official statement follows.Additional information is located on in the "Forum" section on the left side of the page. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Edited by danielw (Sun Oct 10 2004 04:51 AM)
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danielw
Moderator
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Posts: 3527
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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From and the NewOrleans NWS office.
Matthew has generated 2 tornado warnings as of 0523 CDT.
Law enforcement in Golden Meadow, LA ;Lafourche Parish;(just northof Grand Isle) reported a tornado at 0445CDT moving N at 15mph.
Second tornado warning for Lafourche and Terrebonne Parishes. This area is just west of the first tornado warning at Golden Meadow.
New Orleans wind profiler now showing winds at 40,000ft from the SW at 99kts. Surface winds from the SE at 35kts.
*Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion saying plenty of spin, 0-1km helicity of 200m2/s2/, "potential for Brief Tornado will exist with most intense surface-based storms".
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2309.html
Edited by danielw (Sun Oct 10 2004 07:01 AM)
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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If you think that your post may have been removed, check for it in the Storm Forum first - I salvaged a few posts there when others were moved to the proper forum. Please make an attempt to put your post in the proper Forum.
Thanks,
ED
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Sean2
Unregistered
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10am cdt adv.....matthew has made landfall se la and has been downgraded to TD est. pres.....1001mb....winds 35mph
located 40 miles west of New Orleans.....movement north at 10mph..... 29.9n...90.8w
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Storm Cooper
User
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Loc: Panama City , FL
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New thread for STS Nicole...head over 
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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
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