javlin
Weather Master
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Posts: 410
Loc: Biloxi,MS
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You can start to see the circulation @ 9'N and 97'W on the visible
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/epac-vis-loop.html
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MapMaster
Unregistered
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MM
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javlin
Weather Master
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Posts: 410
Loc: Biloxi,MS
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Yanked this morning .The EPAC system on the last run still moving the system quickly 144hrs S of Cuba.The UKMET.NOGAPS and are slower now with an increase of intensity.CMC seems to be working up a new model maybe only out to 72hrs.
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ftlaudbob
Unregistered
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Well, the offical forcast was just came out.12-15 named storms 7-9 hurricanes 3-5 intense hurricanes.Fasten your seatbelts!!!!!
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javlin
Weather Master
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Posts: 410
Loc: Biloxi,MS
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Yea I saw that
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2005/s2438.htm
Edited by javlin (Mon May 16 2005 01:25 PM)
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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looks like the epac system is getting picked on now.... the has invest up now
East Pacific 90E Invest
i see somewhat of a swirl now
lets see what happens.....and how well the models do with it. Will it make it across the cntr america mountains?
Edited by Storm Hunter (Mon May 16 2005 02:16 PM)
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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the circulation is now visible
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ftlaudbob
Unregistered
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Interesting that the 2005 forcast is slightly higher than the 2004 forcast one year ago.Looks like all bad news.I live 1.5 miles from the beach in Ft.Lauderdale,so I am following things very intently.The forcast came over as a speical report on the local tv here.Not many happy people here. 
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B.C.Francis
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 331
Loc: Indiatlantic Florida
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Same here. My neighbors and I live with in a stones throw of the beach. That forcast has got things rolling around here when it comes to readiness. Most of us are not waiting for mid summer to see what happens and get caught with are pants down. We`re stocking up just in case we have a repeat of last year which I pray doesn`t happen.........Weatherchef
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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
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I have to agree with all of you on getting ready...i live near Tampa and last seasons hurricanes literally scared me sh** less...of course it was my first season...im already getting prepared...wish you all the best of luck this season and be safe...becky
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"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"
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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
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Posts: 428
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
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It will be interesting to see if Dr. Gray's revised forecast on May 31st will equal or exceed NOAA's forecasted 15 storms.
:?:
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________2024 Forecast: 24/14/7________
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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strong storms are forming around 90E
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Bloodstar
Moderator
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Loc: Tucson, AZ
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Random Thought/question, if 90E does form, then cross over to the atlantic, I presume it would keep it's E. Pac name (if it retains enough of it's identity to be considered the same storm). And would laypersons get a little confused if there were 2 'A' storms? Just curious how it would be handled...
-Mark
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M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020
NOAA MADIS/HADS Programmer
U. Arizona PhD Student
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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
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Posts: 428
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
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I would think it would get the Atlantic name once it crossed the 'line' and the secondary storm will become the B storm.
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________2024 Forecast: 24/14/7________
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
Edited by rmbjoe1954 (Mon May 16 2005 04:18 PM)
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Lysis
User
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Posts: 451
Loc: Hong Kong
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That double basin scenario is pretty cool.
.... they just finished this big "hurricane awareness" conference here in Charlotte County. Wayne Sallade said he was upset that only old people came to participate. 
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cheers
Edited by Lysis (Mon May 16 2005 04:22 PM)
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Steve-unplugged
Unregistered
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>>Thanks for the kind words...you aren't really the one I was pointing at with my comments...and good people can certainly disagree with out being disagreeable.
I was one of the main advocates against the public information going through private portals before becoming public again (not that I hated everything in the bill). So if it was to me, I think I already answered the questions. In any event, I don't trust Accuweather's motives.
Steve
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wxman007
Meteorologist
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Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
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Nor was it you Steve, or any particular person on this board. Just got my ire up a bit, that's all.
Back to the tropics....
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Jason Kelley
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wxman007
Meteorologist
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Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
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If 90E forms in the Pacific Basin, it will get the Pacific name...if it then moves into the Atlantic Basin, it will be renamed with the next available Atlantic name.
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Jason Kelley
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LI Phil
User
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Thanks Jason...Yes it would be named (assuming nothing else pops up here first) but at this time of year, i wouldn't give it too much chance of developing on this side of the pond...
Actually they changed the policy on that a couple years ago... if they don't deem the storm to have 'dissipated' it will retain it's original name. The first run they had with the new policy was Iris in 2001, but for some reason they did deem the system dissipated and renamed the remnants Manuel on the Pacific side.
--HF
Edited by HanKFranK (Tue May 17 2005 12:49 AM)
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Rich B
British Meteorologist
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Posts: 498
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK
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000
WHXX01 KWBC 162005
CHGHUR
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....
National Hurricane Center NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
TROPICAL STORM NONAME (AL892005) ON 20050516 1200 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050516 1200 050517 0000 050517 1200 050518 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 23.0N 75.0W 23.5N 68.6W 22.9N 62.4W 21.0N 57.2W
BAMM 23.0N 75.0W 23.8N 72.7W 24.1N 70.6W 24.5N 68.5W
A98E 23.0N 75.0W 24.0N 76.0W 25.3N 75.2W 27.1N 72.5W
LBAR 23.0N 75.0W 24.5N 73.5W 25.9N 71.6W 26.7N 69.0W
SHIP 35KTS 31KTS 24KTS 0KTS
DSHP 35KTS 31KTS 24KTS 0KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050518 1200 050519 1200 050520 1200 050521 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.5N 53.2W 14.5N 49.6W 13.5N 48.8W 13.0N 49.7W
BAMM 24.7N 66.0W 25.1N 59.7W 25.9N 54.5W 26.3N 51.3W
A98E 28.5N 67.9W 28.8N 58.2W 29.1N 49.4W 29.2N 45.6W
LBAR 27.1N 66.6W 27.8N 62.3W 29.6N 57.0W 33.4N 51.3W
SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 23.0N LONCUR = 75.0W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 22.0N LONM12 = 73.1W DIRM12 = 301DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 21.0N LONM24 = 71.2W
WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 50NM RD34SE = 50NM RD34SW = 50NM RD34NW = 50NM
.....THE ABOVE HAS BEEN A TEST MESSAGE.....
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Rich B
SkyWarn UK
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