LI Phil
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Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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NOTE: Mike...if this image will blow out your main page, i'll gladly post this as a link instead...
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Clark
Meteorologist
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MikeG -- that's our , and by our, I mean my lab's . I don't doubt it for a second, but the development there is still a bit of time ahead in the future. It's been persistent on this feature, though, so we'll see what comes of it. As a heads-up, starting tomorrow, we'll likely be doing 00Z *and* 12Z runs of the , with output from the latter available late in the afternoon.
As for your other post - yes, that sort of thing is what I'm getting at. Look not just at one level, though, but at a series of levels and at the differences between those levels (the vertical wind shear). We don't have all of that output to the web for the , but you can see it with the , , or any other model.
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Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)
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MikeG
Unregistered
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yeah, looking at i am thinking al/ms landfall..if she gets going....last vis look pretty nice....but bouy data shows slow pressure drops nearby....so seems to be the model right now?.....as far as SST's , there doesn't appear to be much hurricane heat potential HHC
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LI Phil
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Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Attention all...Coop is far too modest, but he has put together a really super spaghetti model plot for 90L...he's running some of the new data as we speak...
check it out! 
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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mysticalmooons
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 30
Loc: rockledge, fl
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Latest Danger Zone from .
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/danger_atl_latestBW.gif
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Jamiewx
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 371
Loc: Orlando, Florida
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Excellent work Coop, but the only thing is Phil, your link returns a message saying "You do not have access to this download"
Does anyone have a link to site that produces graphical images for reconaissance flights like hurricanealley used to, before it went subscriber only, images that show the area and time of the invest.
Our little Invest 90L is now listed under the Special Features heading of the 8:05pm TWD.
Edited by Jamiewx (Wed Jun 08 2005 12:26 AM)
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LI Phil
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Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/download.php?Number=36195
can you "access this"?
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Storm Cooper
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This is the 18Z model runs for our action down below... click above to download and when the new runs come out I'll try to get them up as well.
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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Loc: Florida
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That worked! Nice work!
It'll be interesting to see what the models come up with in the next 48 hours.
I can't believe we're talking about this already! 
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Keith234
Storm Chaser
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Posts: 921
Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
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That we would have a relatively good prospect for a tropical landfalling system this early into the season? As Clark pointed out, the trof appears to be narrowing and lifting out. This would allow for a ridge to form, conducive to better development conditions. With Supertyphoon Nestat (sp) recurving it would make sense for there to be some form of tropical activity in the atlantic basin.
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"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe
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Colleen A.
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Loc: Florida
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Phil...was that an earlier run than StormCoop's? It appears to me that the models have shifted a bit to the east on his than on the run you had posted. I was just curious as to what time each model plot was run.
I'll tell you something: I do NOT like June storms beginning with the letter "A" in the GOM. I have no luck with them whatsoever. Allison nearly killed me 2 years ago; the "A" storm in '94 nearly killed my parents on their way home from Jacksonville to Atlanta (they we're stuck in Valdosta for 2 days because I-75 was flooded in Macon). It seems that no matter where I am, these pesky "A" storms find me. Speaking of which, my Mom, sister and 2 neices are driving down Friday. Whatcha wanna bet? $100? 
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Clark
Meteorologist
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Posts: 1710
Loc:
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MikeG - isn't necessarily the model of choice -- in fact, it's one of the worst when it comes to devleopment/intensity -- but it's the most widely known and does a fair job with the midlatitude weather pattern.
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Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)
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Storm Cooper
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Loc: Panama City , FL
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The latest run has the 12Z runs removed so there are less of them, now only 18Z. Nothing shifted as of yet.
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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
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LI Phil
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Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Quote:
Phil...was that an earlier run than StormCoop's? It appears to me that the models have shifted a bit to the east on his than on the run you had posted.
pay no attention to the model run i posted...stick with storm cooper's models...
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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schmee
Unregistered
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Hi All,
Do you have to login to downlaod? I'm having probs with my pwd and can't seem to get it to mail me a new one so I can't login.
i still get access denied on the models link.
Thanks!
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LI Phil
User
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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if you are trying to access the link i posted earlier, NO ONE except mods & admin can access it...that was my fault...if you click on the "ATTACHMENT" storm cooper posted several posts back, you should be able to view it no problem
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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schmee
Unregistered
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got it thanks!
didnt see tha attachment
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RedingtonBeachGuy
Moderator
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Posts: 342
Loc: St. Cloud, FL
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where is ?
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Rabbit
Weather Master
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Posts: 511
Loc: Central Florida
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based on satellite appearance, would i be correct in guessing that anything that develops would be lopsided to the east, like Allison in 1995 or Gordon in 2000?
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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Okay, thanks guys. I'll check it again in the morning! Thanks to both for all your hard work getting us what we need! As they say, "Ask and thou shalt receive."
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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