Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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Tropical Depressio number 1 has formed southwest of the Cayman Islands and is moving slowly northward. The center of TD#1 is poorly defined with most of the convection to the north and east of the center. SSTs are warm - near 30C and wind shear is light, but it will take another day for this system to get better organized. Models take the cyclone to the north and north northwest into the east central Gulf of Mexico. Intensification is probable - but it will be a slow process.
This is the place to post your thoughts on the future track and intensity of TD1 - and the reasons for those thoughts.
Cheers,
ED
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
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Posts: 829
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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I really thought that she would look a little bit better tonight.But 8 days into the season,and we have a TD.There will be alot of late nights and early mornings this season for sure. 
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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St. David
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 74
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it looks like its starting to try to rap around I say by morning it will be TS .
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
Reged:
Posts: 829
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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I really don't see any wrap around yet,thought I did earlier.I will take time.
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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St. David
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 74
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yea the rap around is gone now but look at the showers firing up below the storm that tells me its streghtening a little. I say by 1 tomorrow we will have a Tropical Storm .
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