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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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Bloodstar
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91l [Re: scottsvb]
      #36494 - Thu Jun 09 2005 03:57 PM

91l might have a chance... but the shear has to relax.... if anyone has any idea what level the shear will be over there, I'd be most interested in finding out Thanks a lot!
-Mark

--------------------
M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020
Brookhaven National Laboratory
U. Arizona PhD Student


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FlaMommy
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Re: 91l [Re: Bloodstar]
      #36495 - Thu Jun 09 2005 03:59 PM

hey bloodstar...where is this 91 at?...what area?

--------------------
"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"


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rmbjoe1954
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Re: Knocked Off [Re: scottsvb]
      #36496 - Thu Jun 09 2005 04:08 PM

I looked at the infrared sat and the center seems to be pulling North-NW. That should help keep Florida drier-or minimize the rainfall.

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________2023 Forecast: 20/10/5________

There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard


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Bloodstar
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Re: 91l [Re: FlaMommy]
      #36497 - Thu Jun 09 2005 04:11 PM

26.9N 57.1W you can see it over at
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

-Mark

--------------------
M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020
Brookhaven National Laboratory
U. Arizona PhD Student


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Tazmanian93
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Re: 91l [Re: FlaMommy]
      #36498 - Thu Jun 09 2005 04:11 PM

The 91I is E of PR

--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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LI Phil
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Re: 91l [Re: FlaMommy]
      #36499 - Thu Jun 09 2005 04:20 PM

Quote:

hey bloodstar...where is this 91 at?...what area?




here is a link to 91L. Near as I can tell, it's roughly at 27N/56W or thereabouts...that's pretty far out in the atlantic...roughly the latitude of Palm Beach and about 500 miles east of the Antilles (but about 1,000 north)...

i suppose it bears watching, but right now Arlene is of present concern

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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FlaMommy
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Re: 91l [Re: LI Phil]
      #36500 - Thu Jun 09 2005 04:22 PM

thank you all so much

--------------------
"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"


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Tazmanian93
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Re: Knocked Off [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #36501 - Thu Jun 09 2005 04:28 PM

Quote:

I looked at the infrared sat and the center seems to be pulling North-NW.

It also appears that the drier air may be beginning to move more west.

--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed

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B.C.Francis
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Re: Knocked Off [Re: scottsvb]
      #36502 - Thu Jun 09 2005 04:29 PM

11:00 o`clock models are still sticking together and are basicly in agreement. Busy tracking day here on CFHC. Being a newer member than some of you vets from last year. I can`t imagine whats going to happen when we have two or more storms brewing when it comes to this forum. Lot of great posters out there that really know what their talking about......Get the raincoats and umbrellas out Florida, its time for another rainer.......Great job all of you.....Weatherchef

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Terra
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Re: Knocked Off [Re: HCW]
      #36503 - Thu Jun 09 2005 04:30 PM

Quote:

Does anyone think that we may be seeing center trying to get under the convection and more east shift in the forecast track ?




I was thinking the same thing when looking at the VIS and IR.... looks east (with perhaps a slight northern jog in the last frame or two), so much east that Cuba may have more of an effect that originally thought. However, it could just be the lack of great circulation...

By, east... I didn't mean due east, just more eastern.... that's all!

Edited by Terra (Thu Jun 09 2005 04:40 PM)


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LI Phil
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arlene [Re: Terra]
      #36504 - Thu Jun 09 2005 04:38 PM

don't know if anyone noticed, but Dvorak's are now 2.0/2.0. here's a sat loop of Arlene and here's a wv loop. hard to discern any eastward movement...all i can say is that grand cayman is getting drenched...i'll see if i can dig up some reports on conditions there

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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miss becky
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Re: arlene [Re: LI Phil]
      #36505 - Thu Jun 09 2005 04:45 PM

Let's hope Arlene stays away from the west coast of Florida. We do not need more rain here.

Right now the Fort Myers NBC affiliate is calling for rain all day Friday and Saturday with winds of 25 mph. The rain I expect, but what about the winds? Does this sound like an accurate forecast?


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Cocoa Beach
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Link to Cayman Islands [Re: LI Phil]
      #36506 - Thu Jun 09 2005 04:47 PM

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MWCR.html

Wind from the SE (140 degrees) at 21 MPH (18 KT)
Visibility 4 mile(s)
Sky conditions overcast
Weather Light rain
Cumulonimbus clouds observed
Temperature 77 F (25 C)
Dew Point 77 F (25 C)
Relative Humidity 100%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.74 in. Hg (1007 hPa)
ob MWCR 091500Z 14018KT 8000 -RA BKN012CB OVC070 25/25 Q1007 NOSIG


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AdvAutoBob
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Re: arlene [Re: miss becky]
      #36508 - Thu Jun 09 2005 04:57 PM

Quote:

Let's hope Arlene stays away from the west coast of Florida. We do not need more rain here.

Right now the Fort Myers NBC affiliate is calling for rain all day Friday and Saturday with winds of 25 mph. The rain I expect, but what about the winds? Does this sound like an accurate forecast?




coming out of lurk mode for the season again.. Hi all

Of course this sounds like an accurate forecast..after all, I was planning for some quality time with my motorcycle this weekend and anybody who rides can tell you bikes are rain magnets

--------------------
"Chance favors the prepared mind"


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AgentB
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Re: arlene [Re: miss becky]
      #36510 - Thu Jun 09 2005 05:08 PM

Quote:

Right now the Fort Myers NBC affiliate is calling for rain all day Friday and Saturday with winds of 25 mph. The rain I expect, but what about the winds? Does this sound like an accurate forecast?




It's very possible that the winds will get up to 25mph. Depends on how strong Arlene is when she enters the gulf, and how close she gets to Florida. There's a tightening pressure gradient between her and the high pressure out to the NE of Florida. This will be increasing the SE/E flow over the weekend.

And to those of you who want to see where 91L is, use Colleen's link to the Sun Sentinel page and put the coordinates in the quick plot.

--------------------
Check the Surf

Edited by AgentB (Thu Jun 09 2005 05:11 PM)


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Colleen A.
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Re: arlene [Re: LI Phil]
      #36511 - Thu Jun 09 2005 05:11 PM

The visible is making it a little easier to see the center of Arlene; it appears that it's right where the NHC has it located. For a second, it did appear to be to the east of that location, but when you look at it long enough, you can see where the LLC is located. I still see a N movement, can't see any NW/NE movement yet.
Then again, it took me 20 minutes to see the center correctly.

Oh and by the way.......Polk County is getting drenched, it's thundering, lightning and windy here. It will rain, then the sun comes out, rain, the sun comes out...you know the drill.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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Katie
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Re: Tropical Storm Arlene Forms in the Western Caribbean [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #36512 - Thu Jun 09 2005 05:13 PM

Thanks everyone for the advise on Saturday.

Ed - happy early b-day to your son!

We are getting hammered here in Winter Haven right now. I mean, the sky is so odd looking for this time of day. It isn't like anything I have seen in a long time. Actually watching the dark clouds as they are building upwards and drawing closer.


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wxman007
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New Blog Entry [Re: AgentB]
      #36513 - Thu Jun 09 2005 05:14 PM

Just posted a quick update in the blog area...you can get to it thru the forums, or on the main page.

--------------------
Jason Kelley


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Colleen A.
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Re: arlene [Re: AdvAutoBob]
      #36514 - Thu Jun 09 2005 05:15 PM

ROFLOL about the motorcycle comment...my hubby is going bezerk.

If this rain is just from the Atlantic, I am not looking forward to what Arlene will bring us. Ugh.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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Katie
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Re: arlene [Re: Colleen A.]
      #36515 - Thu Jun 09 2005 05:21 PM

Colleen - I agree, I don't want to know what is to come if we do get something from her. I feel like I need a boat instead of a truck to get around here lately. These pm storms are killing me!! Great sleeping weather but not at 6 in the evening!

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