Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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Amen, Phil Amen.
-------------------- You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Rick on boat in Mobile
Weather Drama Guru
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Posts: 161
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"Rick saw every cloud over the GOM as a potential CAT V headed straight for Mobile...it was kinda the boards own inside joke...then came and it wasn't quite so funny anymore...so that's that."
only people like you made others posts and opinions an inside joke. Many were not offended at what I typed, however, for some reason, it bothers you when novices like myself make a prediction...and it comes true. As to the assertion that I predicted a cat 5 for every cloud in the GOM...it is simply a way for you to poo poo anything I do type...and for that, I wonder what your problem is....sure, I said that quite a bit...but most readers accurately realized there was humor involved...
for some reason, you were bothered by it...
your moderation has become somewhat of a big brother issue...and you ain't my big brother...so if you prefer to type that I am a joke in some eyes...see if you're big enough to post this....
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LI Phil
User
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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dude,
i'm sorry, very sorry if my post offended you...i thought after all we (the family) went thru last year we were cool...i certainly wasn't making light of you at all....
i was trying (albeit poorly obviouisly) to give some of the newbies some insight as to some of the longtimers thoughts, trends, etc...remember matthew, paloma and dynagel???
dude...please don't take offense at what i said...the last thing this board needs now is any infighting...if i wanted that, i'd post on many of the other weather boards that exist (and suck)
peace bro!
cheers...
LI Phil
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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wxman007
Meteorologist
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Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
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It appears to me that in the last few hours the outflow to the NW is beginning to improve somewhat. With the weakned center and possible reformation it is tough to tell, but we might be seeing some relaxation of the shear beginning...we will have to wait a few more hours to be sure.
-------------------- Jason Kelley
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Rick on boat in Mobile
Weather Drama Guru
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Posts: 161
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apology accepted, and sorry I was so offended...maybe cause there was a bit of truth to it...ha!...we're cool....
no problem...but I promise, I ain't predicting a cat 5....maybe a 1....
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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
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Rick I wish you the best and hope you dont get hit too hard
-------------------- "Haven't thought of a witty one lately"
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Storm Cooper
User
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Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
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Yes Rick! Now you and LI Phil give each other a big hug..... so we can get back down to business
-------------------- Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
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Southern4sure
Weather Guru
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Posts: 121
Loc: Land O Lakes, FL
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My inlaws have a couple of condos in Gulf Shores and lucked out pretty good with . Only 1 unit had substantial damage...unit #2 on the same floor had not a drop of water. The entire complex is still uninhabitable. They are loosing $ because they cant rent out as of yet. If does come close to Gulf Shores this could set them back further as well as all the others who are still trying to recover from . I feel for the ones who are likely to be effected by . I hope goes easy on them.
Teresa
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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
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Posts: 428
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
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Hi-
Having gone through Francis and Jeanne at ground zero- I've learned that every storm deserves respect. It's because of the 'derivative' effects-such as the deluge, or the strains on resources. Every storm deserves to be respected and dealt with as if it could be a disaster in the making. Just be prepared and hope for the best. The best of luck to all of us!
-------------------- ________2024 Forecast: 24/14/7________
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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wxman007
Meteorologist
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Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
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Latest Vortex Message found 46kt flight level winds (highest so far) and 40kt SFC winds (again, highest so far)...interesting.
-------------------- Jason Kelley
Edited by wxman007 (Thu Jun 09 2005 06:14 PM)
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Hurric
Weather Guru
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Posts: 116
Loc: Port St. Lucie, Fl
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I just have a feeling that the center is reforming or being drawn to the area just a bit SW of the Isle of Pines, (youth).
The circulation is broad and the center the is tracking can still be seen, butit just has a look of everything being pulled NE closer to the convection.
Who knows, its tough with these weak systems. Could be a lot of surprises with this one.
Hurric
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jth at home
Unregistered
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NW side does look much better...and that has occurred in the past hour since I left work. Looks as though there is a new batch of t-storms starting to form E, NE, and yes NW of the center. Tis could get interesting. I will go out on a limb and say we will have a minimal hurricane by landfall.
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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
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Posts: 428
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
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It seems all of Florida is going to get 'under the weather' this weekend. The sound of people mowing their lawns is permeating the air.
-------------------- ________2024 Forecast: 24/14/7________
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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Rabbit
Weather Master
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Posts: 511
Loc: Central Florida
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the center looks like it is forming north
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Rick on boat in Mobile
Weather Drama Guru
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Posts: 161
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it looks like it's trying to wrap around itself, doesn't it?....
what do you make of the potential now, anyone?
a category 1 seems a real possiblity... is a category 2 possible here?
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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
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Posts: 428
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
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With the gulf surface temperature barely over 80 degrees F and with landfall expected Saturday I wouldn't bet on becoming a hurricane at all.
Edited by rmbjoe1954 (Thu Jun 09 2005 06:34 PM)
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MapMaster
Unregistered
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latest recon had 1001 and 46 kt FL, 40 kt surface (45 mph), so it does seem to be strengthening. Does seem to be getting better organized.
80 degrees is plenty warm for a storm to intensify...what matters most is the depth of the warn layer....in this the SE Gulf has a way to go, but there is also the 'loop current' which has lots of energy for the storm.
Cat 1 is not out of the question, if the shear will let up.
MM
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LI Phil
User
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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i'm kinda with rick & mm on this one...i can see this making cane strength...not saying it willl and not saying it will landfall as such...i just got a hunch hits 75-80 mph or so...
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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MapMaster
Unregistered
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Oops, sorry, I see I duplicated part of Jason's post...agree with him!
MM
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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I concur
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