F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 233 (Idalia) , Major: 233 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 233 (Idalia) Major: 233 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Jump to first unread post. Pages: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | >> (show all)
Droop31
Weather Watcher


Reged: Wed
Posts: 32
Loc: Pensacola
Re: death [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #36808 - Fri Jun 10 2005 12:55 PM

That dry air should be modifying some soon. Im not concerned with the dry air. Im worried about shear. So far in her life, the shear hasnt let her develop storms over her center. If all of a sudden before landfall she decides to flare-up, which Im thinking she will, we may a minimal cat 1 on our hands. I say minimal, not WEAK because I dont believe any hurricane is weak.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
rmbjoe1954
Weather Master


Reged: Tue
Posts: 427
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
Re: death [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #36809 - Fri Jun 10 2005 12:58 PM

From that view Arlene does appear to be moving N-NW afterall.

--------------------
________2024 Forecast: 28/14/8________

There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: possibilities [Re: jth]
      #36810 - Fri Jun 10 2005 01:02 PM

just saw that at 1600 a ship
WAAH S 1600 24.90n -84.80w distance from Arlene 54nm hdg 6 wind dir. 100 wnd sped. 31.1 kts pressure 29.44 ptdy in-0.22 air temp 79.7 water temp 86.0 - visb. 6.2 -


heres link heres link

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



Edited by Storm Hunter (Fri Jun 10 2005 01:07 PM)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
huh?? [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #36811 - Fri Jun 10 2005 01:03 PM

Ugggg.... Hey what's all this fuss about... is there something in the GOM this morning? hehe

First Hurricane watch of the season and I'm in it.... hopefully this will be our swan song this year..

Predicted a couple of days ago between Ocean Spring and Pascagoula.... still looks right to me give or take a few miles... min Cat 1 certainly NOT out of the question, but FL panhandle will get the worst of it...


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Tazmanian93
Weather Master


Reged: Sun
Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
Re: possibilities [Re: jth]
      #36812 - Fri Jun 10 2005 01:04 PM

Looks to be developing a tad bit to the WSW of (the center?)

--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: could it be? [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #36813 - Fri Jun 10 2005 01:11 PM

i think she is getting some storms to fire now on nw side!

new storms?

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



Edited by Storm Hunter (Fri Jun 10 2005 01:14 PM)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Droop31
Weather Watcher


Reged: Wed
Posts: 32
Loc: Pensacola
Re: could it be? [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #36814 - Fri Jun 10 2005 01:23 PM

Storm Hunter, I checked out that ship report and I guess its true. The center is just about on top of it. 996/997mb is what its reporting. Very interesting!

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
Re: could it be? [Re: Droop31]
      #36815 - Fri Jun 10 2005 01:26 PM

sounds reasonable to me too... as Arlene's overall signature improves you'd think there would be a corresponding drop in pressure.... guess well find out for sure from recon

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
jth
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 275
Re: could it be? [Re: Frank P]
      #36817 - Fri Jun 10 2005 01:33 PM

I'm interested to see this next advisory...I have lost the center again.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
lar
Unregistered




TS winds [Re: Frank P]
      #36818 - Fri Jun 10 2005 01:34 PM

Gainesville received 'only' TS storm force winds during Frances and Jeanne, but that was enough to create 25 years worth of yard waste in one month. We lost a LOT of trees and many people went without power for up to a week or even longer. Unless it's a weak TS, I wouldn't take it too lightly. I'm assuming that if the storm heads nearly straight N, as some models have predicted, that Gainesville could see more winds of at least 30 mph with stronger gusts. I guess that also depends on how much the storm strengthens/expands in the next several hours (lots of IFs.)

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: could it be? [Re: Frank P]
      #36819 - Fri Jun 10 2005 01:37 PM

that ship is the best recon in the storm, maybe someone requested that they head right through it to their next destination, not a good choice, but hey thankz for the reports! I am trying to find out what kind of ship it is. Will post if i find out.

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Re: could it be? [Re: jth]
      #36820 - Fri Jun 10 2005 01:38 PM

If I am looking at the visibles correctly, it appears to me that the LLC is right on the 85 line.
I, too, am anxious to see the next advisory. It may be moving more NNW now.
The skies are getting darker and heavier and so is the air.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
Re: could it be? [Re: Droop31]
      #36821 - Fri Jun 10 2005 01:45 PM

If that ship is right near the center, the water temperature is listed as a very healthy 86 degrees.

--------------------
Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.

Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Re: could it be? [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #36822 - Fri Jun 10 2005 01:46 PM

Hope it's a big ship, that's for sure! Looking at the last visibles on TV, the met pointed to the center and moved his finger in almost a due N movement. Who the heck knows what it's gonna do? ACK. C'mon already with the 2pm!

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: could it be? [Re: Colleen A.]
      #36823 - Fri Jun 10 2005 01:47 PM

think center is now just north of 25n and close to 85w......between thunderstorms that are now on both sides of center. some storms fired up in last two hours on nnw side and are starting to wrap around center.
take a look at sat see the storms?

will not be long until storm passes very close to the bouy just nw of her!

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



Edited by Storm Hunter (Fri Jun 10 2005 01:51 PM)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
Re: could it be? [Re: Colleen A.]
      #36824 - Fri Jun 10 2005 01:49 PM

I agree Colleen, also notice there is convection starting to fire up on the west side of the center... which is a first... best I can determine is the center is around 25.2 and 85.1.... but the main feature is the convection starting up on the nw and west side of the center... albeit not much, there had been none throughout the history of storm... NNW looks about right for motion...

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
jth
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 275
Re: could it be? [Re: Frank P]
      #36825 - Fri Jun 10 2005 01:51 PM

Agree completely. Looks to be a Pensacola hit now unless there is a NW turn. NNW looks good to me.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged: Tue
Posts: 828
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
Tornados? [Re: Frank P]
      #36826 - Fri Jun 10 2005 01:52 PM

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 450
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
145 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2005

TORNADO WATCH 450 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

FLC011-015-021-043-051-071-086-087-099-110300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0450.050610T1745Z-050611T0300Z/

FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BROWARD CHARLOTTE COLLIER
GLADES HENDRY LEE
MIAMI-DADE MONROE PALM BEACH

--------------------

Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
Re: could it be? [Re: jth]
      #36827 - Fri Jun 10 2005 01:56 PM

all depends on degees of NNW it takes, a true NNW would put it around 87.5 or so... wobble here or there, new center refomation, either could make the difference in a MS/AL line hit or a AL/FL hit... regardless Pensacola will probably get the brunt of it...

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
jth
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 275
Re: could it be? [Re: Frank P]
      #36828 - Fri Jun 10 2005 01:59 PM

25.0 and 85.0........Are we missing something here. Sure looks a lot farther north to me.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | >> (show all)



Extra information
0 registered and 607 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: *****
Topic views: 43023

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center