Robin Lauriault
Unregistered
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Elvin - yours is one of the most sensible messages I have seen posted on this board over three years of watching.
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Joe
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 216
Loc: St.Petersburg,FL
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Well models maybe flipping back again. further east of original forecast track...AVN now swings Isidore west than northeast of several days though. I'am little unsure about exact track but may want to push the track east a little on update. None the less should have hurricane by tomorrow.
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ShawnS
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 226
Loc: Pearland,Tx
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I'm cool with it,NOW LOL! As Joe B. says, the method to MY madness is I most of the time disagree with the models because they never take into consideration the odd things that can happen with these storms. The problem with that is that that IS these storms..... being so unpredictable! Why go with something that is always saying the predictable thing when you are dealing with some of the most unpredictable forces of nature on earth.
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1299
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The New Orleans Saints are 2-0 (one game ahead of the Bucs I might add). The USM Golden Eagles are 3-0... If the Saints beat the Bears on Sunday, and USM beats Alabama then they will be a combined 7-0....
Based on this very unbelievable set of events the storm has to hit somewhere between New Orleans and south of Hattiesburg Ms... how could it not.... hehe....
On a more serious note.... If I was on the Fl panhandle and a little eastward I'd start getting my supplies in order.... I just can't see this system going east of MS/AL line... no really good reason other than climatological history and a gut feeling... and I hope I'm right for purely selfish reasons...
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abyrd
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 62
Loc: apopka
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Lyons said there was an eye forming, but did anyone notice that the place he said the eye was forming was west of the eastern most Cayman Island, yet the plot map had the center to the east of the island?
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wxman007
Meteorologist
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Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
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No worries mate...
My beloved Crimson Tide should prevail this weekend, keeping you safe and secure from Isidore.
LOL...
-------------------- Jason Kelley
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Southern4sure
Weather Guru
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Posts: 121
Loc: Land O Lakes, FL
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Alabama is on a roll.........gonna kick some USM butt!
Southern
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HanKFranK
User
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Loc: Graniteville, SC
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tomorrow morning. 5am or 11am advisory. thinking it might cross the island of cuba closer to havana than the official track is showing. going maybe a little faster.
some core convection going.. dont see an eye. just a 'bald spot'. maybe the center is finally getting itself a that will stay put.
HF 0200z19september
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meto
Weather Guru
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Posts: 140
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izzy is much farther north and east than 5 pm forecast. ridge over fla. i think is weak.
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Mary
Unregistered
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I would like to suggest that while thinking about the effects, direction and ultimate landfall that everyone consider, that which ever direction it ultimately goes to make landfall, that it still has to pass by Florida. Hanna was North of Central Florida but the south east side had quite a bit of rain and blow off and dumped a lot of rain on us in Central Florida along with some funnel clouds and isolated flash flooding. We got 3 inches of rain at my house in one hour out of one of those rain bands. Just remember, it does not take a direct hit from the eye of the cane in order to "experience" a hurricane. Those rain bands can really have some extreme weather in them and be a hundred miles or so from the Center. I truly don't know any one who would enjoy being in the most intense quadrant of a cat 2 or higher cane unless the person was a very careless risk taker, or started his cane party 9 hours in advance. (JMHO)
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ROB H
Weather Watcher
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Loc: Clearwater, FL.
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Maybe isidodre wants to come see the buc's kick the rams
butt on mnf, , someone needs to tell him it's sold out
Edited by ROB H (Wed Sep 18 2002 10:12 PM)
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ShawnS
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 226
Loc: Pearland,Tx
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Maybe that's why we were butting heads a bit.........I'm a BIG SOONER FAN.......LOL! I've been a sooner fan all my life because my dad lived in Norman for about 7 years while growing up and he became a huge OU fan. Actually, my grandmother did graduate from OU while my grandfather graduated from Oklahoma A&M, known now as Oklahoma State. The Tide gave us quite a run for our money a couple of weeks ago. Too bad about the probation,though. I think ya'll would have had a great shot at a good bowl game this year.
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
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Loc: Metairie, LA
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http://www.hurricanealley.net/09Ltrpmdl.html
Actually, I think Izzy wants to see the Rams and Bucs play to a scoreless tie. Maybe that's wishcasting NFL
Steve - 2 and 0 baby!
-------------------- MF'n Super Bowl Champions
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Now Jason and Southern... I think you guys are wishful gamecasting now...
My how yall are going to be really disappointed come Sunday morning after my Golden Eagles opens up a can of whoop ass on the Tide... which will be certainly quite low after the game... hehe....
Looks to me following IR loop that the overall system continue to move towards the NNW to NW as predicted by the ...
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Justin in Miami
Unregistered
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FYI, Not that this means much anymore but the Miami local stations (some of them b/c it is only 10pm) say the Keys could have some nasty weather from the storm. They still say it will slow to stall in SE Gulf.
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abyrd
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 62
Loc: apopka
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Don't I know that Hanna affected Central Florida.
I was in the stands at Florida Field for hours being pelted by Hanna's rains.
To bad the Gators and the Gatorskins aren't playing as well as the Saints. But as a life-long Central Florida Saint fan, all I have to say is Who Dat!
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1299
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Saints 2-0
Rams 0-2
Bucs.... a good second place team in the NFC south...
USM 24 Alabama 17... Jason/Southern4sure.... read it and weep...
Hey, a little football to break the ice... we still have a ton of time to track our cane...
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abyrd
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 62
Loc: apopka
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I just can't believe that Southern Mississippi is the top of the list when everyone knows that real SEC football is only played in Florida and where ever the Gators play.
I guess that would be Knoxville this weekend.
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wxman007
Meteorologist
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Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
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Great respect for the Sooners...was a good ballgame that broke my heart 2 weeks ago...and my GM is an OU grad, so I have to hear about it for the next 300 days or so...<grumble>
We won't discuss the probation...this is a family message board!
-------------------- Jason Kelley
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Joe
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 216
Loc: St.Petersburg,FL
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Well another model turning it more north ,the LBAR.
Go Bucs!
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