Katie
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 167
Loc: Winter Haven, FL
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I just called Colleen but I will share with you guys,
City of Winter Haven has their debris pickup guys out there again today. Tuesday was pickup and they are back out again. Maybe just in case? Either way, they aren't leaving anything behind.
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abc123
Unregistered
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I have notice that they did mention will not effect Florida. Why did they say this????????....This is my first post and just wanted to say It's been great reading everyone's posts and I,m learning a lot from everybody. Keep up the good work.
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
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Posts: 829
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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Quote:
Pressure is dropping at Santiago De Cuba, Oriente, Cuba
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MUCU.html
Looking at the loop:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float2-vis-loop.html
Looks like may try to come ashore abit West Santiago.
Are you jumping on my bandwagon????lol just kidding.I got many pm's today pointing out that yesterday some were razing me about the more eastern turn,and that today that seems to be happening..So I am cool.Thanks to all the pm's.Let's keep are heads straight and just be prepared.
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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CDMOrlando
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 57
Loc: seminole cnty florida
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Just when you think that there is a clear tread the models try to keep it interesting.
The new 12Z MM% from has the storm farther to the west as it is passing Tampa see http://moe.met.fsu.edu/mm5/DENNIS.track.png
Than the 00Z run http://moe.met.fsu.edu/mm5/archive/2005070700/DENNIS.track.png
In the 00Z run the path does not go west of 85 degrees the new one it does.
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Cocoa Beach
Unregistered
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Yeah,
it's dropping in Cocoa Beach as well.
http://home.cfl.rr.com/h2ocean/weather/livewx.html
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FlaRebel
Weather Hobbyist
Reged:
Posts: 59
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
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Looking at this link with the project plots, it looks like will go slightly north of the next projected plot. That is NOT good. 
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float2-vis-loop.html
Edited by FlaRebel (Thu Jul 07 2005 03:15 PM)
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Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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I believe there are some t-storms of the EC of Florida...could this be the reason for the drop in pressures?
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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palmetto
Verified CFHC User
Reged:
Posts: 23
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
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FlaRebel, I know. I keep looking outside my office window and seeing all of these trees. I don't think I'm gutsy enough to try and ride out a major hurricane here. 
I grew up near St. Marks and remember what it was like for us with Kate. If it was as weakened as Clark says it was by that point, I don't think I want to know what a real punch feels like.
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sullynole
Verified CFHC User
Reged:
Posts: 21
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
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Quote:
Just when you think that there is a clear tread the models try to keep it interesting.
The new 12Z MM% from has the storm farther to the west as it is passing Tampa see http://moe.met.fsu.edu/mm5/DENNIS.track.png
Than the 00Z run http://moe.met.fsu.edu/mm5/archive/2005070700/DENNIS.track.png
In the 00Z run the path does not go west of 85 degrees the new one it does.
i'm not sure if you are noticing that the lat/long lines are not plotted the same and the images are of different scale.
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John
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Terra
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
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Quote:
Are you jumping on my bandwagon????lol just kidding.I got many pm's today pointing out that yesterday some were razing me about the more eastern turn,and that today that seems to be happening..So I am cool.Thanks to all the pm's.Let's keep are heads straight and just be prepared.
Definitely... let's keep 'our' heads straight and not get too overly impressed with 'ourselves' when things seem to be looking like 'our' predictions... Concentrate on the storm, not your ego!
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Terra Dassau Cahill
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doug
Weather Analyst
Reged:
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
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Re: -- yes and both thos are dependent upon a significan move to the WNW immediately after it clears the coast of Cuba. If all remains consistent the floww off the coast in the area where he may exit is almost due NNW...food for thought
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doug
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old man
Unregistered
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Look again it's 84 degrees not 85.
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Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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I just watched the visible floater, this is what I see:
It appears to *my eyes* that it may just clip the part of Cuba where the 2nd "2"  is, then move more NNW towards the skinner (middle part of Cuba). Unfortunately, that gives it less mountainous areas to go through and more open water before it actually crosses over Cuba. From there, it *could* move straight through the middle of the Keys.
Just my own observation..might be wrong, might be right. We'll find out soon enough, I guess.
On another note: has anyone seen a close-up of this storm??? It's HUGE! Very scary... 
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Doombot!
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 160
Loc: Lakeland, Fl.
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Upon request (PM not working properly  )
Land O Lakes 28.24 N 82.46 W
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nccathy
Registered User
Reged:
Posts: 8
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where did you see the close-up?
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stormchazer
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 315
Loc: Central Florida
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Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Tampa, I believe, if wrong please correct me, is 28.5 N and 83.0 W or thereabouts.
Thank you for those!
PM me if you'd like a set for your city.
Key West: 24.57 N, 81.68 W
Miami: 25.8 N 80.23W
Ft. Lauderdale 26 11 N 80.18W
WPB 26.75 N 80.05W
Naples 26.15 N 81.80W
Punta Gorda 26.94 N 82.05 W
Sarasota 27.30 N 82.52 W
Lakeland 28 09 N 81 95 W
Tampa 27.95 N 82.49 W
Westernmost Pinellas County 27.88 N 82.87 W
Cedar Key 29.15 N 83.03 W
Central Coast of Appalachee Bay 30.1 N 84.00 W
Tallahassee 30.47 N 84.28 W
Panama City 30.17 N 35.67 W
Pensacola 30.45 N 87.21 W
Mobile 30.68 N 88.05 W
Biloxi 30.4 N 88.88 W
Thanks for the info!!!!
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Jara
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Clark
Meteorologist
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Posts: 1710
Loc:
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Thanks for that clarification, Sully.
12z is almost on top of the 12Z and runs and similar to the 00Z .
The Experimental Model Output page only allows you to see one model at a time; there is no option for spaghetti-style maps. Thus, you aren't missing anything by only seeing them one at a time -- just watch the animations for each and you'll be good to go.
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Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)
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Bloodstar
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 467
Loc: Tucson, AZ
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Ok, I'm now counting myself as officially worried. I'm not too worried, but I sure hope I won't be coming back to a ruined apt sunday
I'm sticking with the 'powerful hurricanes tend to go straight' theory, and that you'll see more of a shift once hits cuba, and heads closer to North and NNW....
I'll peek in from atlanta, bu it's time for me to start driving and avoid rush hour, take care and prepare if you're anywhere near the line of fire....
-Mark
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M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020
NOAA MADIS/HADS Programmer
U. Arizona PhD Student
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Katie
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 167
Loc: Winter Haven, FL
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Wow, I almost had a heart attack!! I couldn't get on to website. Seriously, having a panic attack. But, you're back. whew.
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Tazmanian93
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
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My apologies if this has been posted already, just got back from Home Depot buying a bigger gas can LOL. is @ 5.5
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Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.
Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!
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Ed
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