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Rafael continues to decouple over the Gulf. Meanwhile we are keeping a watch on Invest 98L around the Bahamas and potentially a new low forming in the Caribbean.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 31 (Milton) , Major: 31 (Milton) Florida - Any: 31 (Milton) Major: 31 (Milton)
26.3N 91.9W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1003mb
Moving:
Nnw at 3 mph
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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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Clark
Meteorologist


Reged:
Posts: 1710
Loc:
Dennis Update [Re: MikeC]
      #39463 - Thu Jul 07 2005 10:32 PM

New forecast update on the blog...not much to change from the previous thinking, but some added physical insight into the current conditions may be found on the post.

--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)


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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1299
Re: Update: [Re: Unregistered User]
      #39464 - Thu Jul 07 2005 10:33 PM

I think a better idea would be to strap down the house, and cars, and trees, and fence, and then get the heck out of town.. Cat 4.. amazing and its only July.. .... seems like late September...

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nl
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 207
Loc: nsb,fl
Re: Update: [Re: Unregistered User]
      #39465 - Thu Jul 07 2005 10:33 PM

u better tie down more than that.

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Steve Hirschb.
Unregistered




Re: Update: [Re: FireAng85]
      #39468 - Thu Jul 07 2005 10:34 PM

If it stays 180 miles off the west coast we'll all be in good shape here on the peninsula, where'd you here that??

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Heather
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 91
Loc: Sebring, FL
Re: Update: [Re: Steve Hirschb.]
      #39469 - Thu Jul 07 2005 10:37 PM

I'm not able to find how far out the hurricane and tropical force winds extend. Anyone else?

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When it rains, it pours...


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ShanaTX
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 226
Loc: Texas
Re: Update: [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #39470 - Thu Jul 07 2005 10:37 PM

Quote:

Check the 10:05 post from wxman007




It's prob'ly better to mention the post number ie #39422 instead of the timestamp because the board shows the user's local time...;) Which may or may not be the same as your local time


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Terra
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
Re: Update: [Re: Heather]
      #39471 - Thu Jul 07 2005 10:38 PM

Quote:

I'm not able to find how far out the hurricane and tropical force winds extend. Anyone else?




http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/084938.shtml?swath

--------------------
Terra Dassau Cahill


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Heather
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 91
Loc: Sebring, FL
Re: Update: [Re: Terra]
      #39472 - Thu Jul 07 2005 10:39 PM

Thanks, also found it on Skeetobite's map. Hurricane force winds extend 45 miles from the center and tropical storm force winds 140 miles from the center.

--------------------
When it rains, it pours...


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XLM
Unregistered




Re: Update: [Re: Heather]
      #39473 - Thu Jul 07 2005 10:41 PM

Mods, can you send me a manual for "political correct" words allowed on this site?
I see you have deleted some of my posts, I know is your website, but I dont think im offending anyone here


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mwgfdn
Unregistered




Re: Update: [Re: Heather]
      #39474 - Thu Jul 07 2005 10:42 PM

where are skeeto's maps ? they were great last year ...

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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
Re: Update: [Re: ShanaTX]
      #39475 - Thu Jul 07 2005 10:42 PM

Your right, thanks. Blanked for a sec too many screens and blinks and pops LOL

--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 829
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
Re: Update: [Re: Heather]
      #39476 - Thu Jul 07 2005 10:42 PM

I have gotten alot of pm's,and I think this is the fastest way to answer them all at once.I made my predition earlier today,I am sticking to that.At this point it does appear that my prediction MAY come true.I am not happy about this,although I do thank you for the compliments.Let's just pray that everyone who is in the path of this very powerfull storm will be safe.And let's listen to the experts!!!!

--------------------

Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .


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Terra
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
Re: Update: [Re: mwgfdn]
      #39477 - Thu Jul 07 2005 10:43 PM

According to 11p coordinates, still complete NW motion in last 3 hours... 0.5 lat, 0.5 long.

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Terra Dassau Cahill


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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
Re: Update: [Re: mwgfdn]
      #39478 - Thu Jul 07 2005 10:44 PM

Main page, bottom, top of this page is a link, or http://www.skeetobite.com/weather/

--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 3527
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
11 PM Update [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #39479 - Thu Jul 07 2005 10:44 PM

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS
NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO
LONGBOAT KEY


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kapSt.Cloud
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 50
Loc: Long Beach, MS
Re: Eye in perfect view... [Re: tpratch]
      #39480 - Thu Jul 07 2005 10:44 PM

I'm a Newbie. Never posted...I keep learning from you guys. Ya'll are so informative, but I've just about had it with tpratch! Nothing to offer but snide remarks! Do what I do, if you can't contribute, don't post! And when I write "contribute" I don't mean insults! Geez!!

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WeatherNLUAway
Unregistered




Good ol' Bob [Re: mwgfdn]
      #39482 - Thu Jul 07 2005 10:45 PM

LOL! Bob feels better tonight, with the lead story and said many times on Fox 8 News tonight "Dennis not coming here."

It's pretty funny really, last night his gut told him to be very worried about it coming here and now we seem to be out of the woods. I don't wish this on anyone and especially not New Orleans but I hope just for grins that tomorrow night the models shift back west a little bit, just to see him squirm again.......it's too funny.

He likes to make fun of the cone of error used by the NHC and the other stations in the market, but his on again off again nervousness is cool. Classic.


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mwgfdn
Unregistered




Re: Update: [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #39483 - Thu Jul 07 2005 10:45 PM

thanks alot ...go bucs and seminoles

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cjzydeco
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 120
Loc: Sebastian, FL
Storm Surge Maps [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #39484 - Thu Jul 07 2005 10:47 PM

Well, I was going to suggest to folks who are debating whether to stay or evacuate early (i.e. before official orders) to check the storm surge/evacuation zone for their location on the Florida Emergency Management website (www.floridadisaster.org). However, it seems this information is currently being updated and even the old data is not posted. If anyone can find a working link to current Florida storm surge/evacuation maps, I am sure there are some here who would be interested.

--------------------
Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Wilma '05, Ernesto '06, Faye '08, Hermine '16, Irma '17, Michael '18, Idalia '23, Helene '24


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palmetto
Verified CFHC User


Reged:
Posts: 23
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
Re: Eye in perfect view... [Re: kapSt.Cloud]
      #39485 - Thu Jul 07 2005 10:47 PM

Does anyone know where to find storm surge maps for the panhandle? (Specifically, the Apalachee Bay.) The EOC link is broken.

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