hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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ts wind radii may have increased
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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 43
Loc: St Petersburg, FL (Jungle Terr...
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probably since is strengthening
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damejune2
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 237
Loc: Torrington, CT
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I was up at 5am and they forecasted 40-50 mph winds then too...it was on the local stations like FOX 13 and News Channel 8. The said it was 25-35 but that was not updated for some time.
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Gloria 1985 (Eye passed over my house in...get this...northwestern CT!)
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Sadie
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 44
Loc: Arcadia, FL
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Quote:
Someone posted a link yesterday to a color satellite (IR or WV, not sure) loop that showed the whole atlantic and GOM. My computer crashed last night before I could add it to bookmarks. Anybody know what I'm talking about?
Is this what you're looking for?
http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html
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"...Grandmother the Earth. That power is here all the time. It is continuous, and nobody controls it." Wallace Black Elk, Lakota
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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
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east of panama city, I mean
Where do you live that you confuse Pascagoula with Panama City?
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Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp
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cjzydeco
Weather Guru
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Posts: 120
Loc: Sebastian, FL
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Quote:
Is this what you're looking for?http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html
Yes! Thank you!
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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 43
Loc: St Petersburg, FL (Jungle Terr...
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does anyone know the track of the trop. wave in the atlantic? so we can maybe get an idea if we can relax a little 
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KimmieL
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 26
Loc: Baton Rouge, La
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Afternoon everybody! Looking at the radar long range loop out of Key West shows a most impressive eye! It actually looks like the spin is tightening! The spoke about it being over cooler water earlier. It sure seems to be heating up now though! We may see a wind increase in the next advisory or there abouts! Stay safe those of you who are experiencing the feeder bands.
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Rick on boat in Mobile
Weather Drama Guru
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Posts: 161
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could go to cat 4...probably come in as a 3-4...and weaken to a 2-3.. before landfall....
my guess stands as a strike on the Mississippi/Alabama as a major hurricane....
My boat will be toast.
(sure hope I'm wrong)
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AndyG
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 35
Loc: Bradenton, FL
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We had one big gust earlier when that band came through that is almost to Tampa. Other than that, not too bad here.
Weatherbug at the Sarasota/Bradenton Airport shows the highest gust at 41 MPH.
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dolfinatic
Weather Guru
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Posts: 129
Loc: St. Petersburg, Fl
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Mr. Dunham, when are you going to give us your synopsis of what will do?Waiting to hear your thoughts. In fact havent heard from Mr. Evans either. Just curious what the pros are thinking.
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lagetawaay
Registered User
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good afternoon folks newbie here real interesting chat sitting here about 40 miles from gulf shores waiting on it to come whats a realistic sustainted wind at land fall
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cjzydeco
Weather Guru
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Posts: 120
Loc: Sebastian, FL
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Quote:
My point, perhaps semantics, was NE GOM. would you label Mobile or Biloxi the NE GOM??
I see what you're saying, but the doesn't really talk in semantics. If you look at the whole GOM, 90 degrees west longitude, which runs through Lake Ponchetrain, is about the midline (I am apporximating of course). If you agree with this, then everything to the right of the 90W (including Biloxi anf Mobile) is in the eastern half of the GOM. And since I think we are all still expecting a northern gulf landfall, I think forecaster Stewart was simply making a blanket statement, saying that landfall would be somewhere in the eastern half of the GOM on the northern shore. If Stewart thought that a big bend landfall was a becoming a possibility, Stewart would have said so and explained the reasoning. Stewart does a great job of explaining why the kept the same track, despite model runs pulling more to the left. I enjoy reading Stewart's stuff. Arguably one of the best at .
Edited by cjzydeco (Sat Jul 09 2005 06:39 PM)
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Nate
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 40
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http://weather.unisys.com/eta/loop/eta_500_loop.html
Unysis 500 MB ETA model still has it going wetward hitting Mississippi.
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pcola
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 344
Loc: pensacola/gulf breeze
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Accuweather has moved their track slightly west at 3PM...having landfall near Orange Beach AL,,,the exact same spot as
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Erin 95 , Opal 95, Ivan 04, Dennis 05, and that's enough!!!!
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teal61
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 61
Loc: Spring, TX (30.1N 95.5W)
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It is possible that the trough continues to dig south and by tommorow is southwest of . At that point could be begin to turn back to the northwest around the north side of it as high pressure builds in.
I'm not saying this will happen, but is another possibility.
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drcrazibob
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 30
Loc: Daytona Beach, Fl
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I thought everyone discovered 's Stewart was a "she" and not a "he" last year?
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cjzydeco
Weather Guru
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Posts: 120
Loc: Sebastian, FL
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Yes, I forgot.
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Lat/Lon: 27.8, -80.5
Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Wilma '05, Ernesto '06, Faye '08
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Lysis
User
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Posts: 451
Loc: Hong Kong
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good afternoon folks newbie here real interesting chat sitting here about 40 miles from gulf shores waiting on it to come whats a realistic sustainted wind at land fall
While this statement could be rendered utterly erroneous, I would *at least* expect a landfall at an intensity a little stronger than what he is right now. I am thinking strong cat 2/weak 3. This is after a round of further intensification and then some weakening as he treks further up the Gulf of Mexico. 40 miles inland belies the strongest winds... but if he landfalls near your location, I would expect to see winds over the 100 mph mark.
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cheers
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teal61
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 61
Loc: Spring, TX (30.1N 95.5W)
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Quote:
I thought everyone discovered 's Stewart was a "she" and not a "he" last year?
Stewart is a he, I've seen him on tv.
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