hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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already has a nice swirl
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Jamiewx
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 371
Loc: Orlando, Florida
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NHC Discussion segment on 98L
"CENTRAL ATLC TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 36W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT WITH A 1013 MB LOW ON THE WAVE NEAR 10.5N. THIS LOW HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER-ORGANIZED THAN YESTERDAY WITH BANDING FEATURES COMING ON THE N SIDE AND QUIKSCAT INDICATING A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION. HOWEVER CONVECTION REMAINS MEAGER AS THE SYSTEM IS
ENTANGLED WITH A LOT OF MID/UPPER DRY AIR. "
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MikeC
Admin
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Loc: Orlando, FL
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http://flhurricane.com/modelanimator.php?storm=5&Year=2005
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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thanks
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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
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NOT ALREADY!!!!!!
-------------------- "Haven't thought of a witty one lately"
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Big Red Machine
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 223
Loc: Polk City, FL
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Yikes! Can't Mother Nature at least wait until has made landfall? Reminds me of last year a bit. I lived in Orlando then, we would just get our power back and schools would resume from one hurricane, when the next one was on its way.
Is it a possibility that the remnants of could help push this area away from the continental US?
Thanks for the map also. I know the forecast will greatly change over the next week, as when the first models on came out, it appeared he was on a much different path than he actually took.
I guess we have to brace ourselves. It's a long season. No sense in getting worked up about a storm until we have to. I really enjoy tracking the storms... I just wish I could track them from Iowa or Kansas, our somewhere where my own home wasn't in danger.
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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not nuch convection with it but has a well defined axis. long as it keeps this for now watch out. lack of convection maybe due to the SAL (saharan air layer) here some images of the SAL
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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sorry the site is down i'll try to get somewhere else
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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there is some convection firing now. and look at the wave currently comming off the coast of africa in this shot
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Big Red Machine
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 223
Loc: Polk City, FL
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What's a good site to get the latest updates on waves, such as 98L?
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Jamiewx
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 371
Loc: Orlando, Florida
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Here are some links for invest info
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html
If the above does not work this is an alternative
http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi
PCBeach Weather-Tropics
CIMSS Tropical Cyclones
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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those are the site i would have suggested oh well lol
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Big Red Machine
Storm Tracker
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Loc: Polk City, FL
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Wow, thanks! Much appreciated.
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Girlnascar
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 25
Loc: Orlando Florida USA
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Did anyone just hear Fox weather local Orlando affiliate just now talk about the 2 waves coming off Africa. They said that no need to worry about those that the water is too cool right now to develop? When I heard Dr Lyons earlier mention them both and seemed to infer something there to be watching?
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Jamiewx
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 371
Loc: Orlando, Florida
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May have to wait until the waves get to about 45 to 50 West before anything significant occurs with them.
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Big Red Machine
Storm Tracker
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Loc: Polk City, FL
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At least with these two, it appears (now) that the Gulf of Mexico will be spared.
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BillD
User
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Loc: Miami
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If you look at the models, the high backs off way to the east and it is likely the first one will be a fish spinner. Not sure about the second one, but it is so close behind the first that it, too, will likely be a fish spinner.
Bill
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Big Red Machine
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 223
Loc: Polk City, FL
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Quote:
If you look at the models, the high backs off way to the east and it is likely the first one will be a fish spinner. Not sure about the second one, but it is so close behind the first that it, too, will likely be a fish spinner.
Bill
As close as they are, they also may interfere with each other's development.
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yecatsjg
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 26
Loc: Bradenton, FL
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I have wondered about that -- being that close together what effect do they have on each other?
Stacey
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Clark
Meteorologist
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Posts: 1710
Loc:
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One would usually take hold over the other and cause it to weaken, whether through shear (from outflow) or assimilation of the weaker system. However, these two "systems" are 20 degrees longitude apart from each other at this time, making any impacts on each somewhat unlikely at this time. The biggest impact down the line could come if the first wave develops into a significant entity and churns up the waters behind it for the other system -- really, if we get two systems out there now, I don't think the waters would be able to support much more for awhile, but then again...this is the 2005 hurricane season.
-------------------- Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)
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