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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 241 (Idalia) , Major: 241 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 241 (Idalia) Major: 241 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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Clark
Meteorologist


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Posts: 1710
Loc:
Re: Reasoning behind more northerly movement [Re: Ron Basso]
      #41140 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:01 AM

I don't see any large deviation in movement from here on out. No one from Mississippi eastward to Apalachicola is out of the woods yet despite the movement -- this storm has surprised us before. Kudos should go to WeatherNLU (Shawn) for his analysis of the storm yesterday and into today...he nailed the NW movement.

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Clark
Meteorologist


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Posts: 1710
Loc:
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: CitadelPilot]
      #41141 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:02 AM

Depends on where it comes ashore -- probably tropical storm force winds with heavy rainfall and locally strong wind gusts. Not going to be a pleasant Sunday throughout much of the southeast, I'm afraid.

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lunkerhunter
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 248
Loc: Saint Augustine, FL
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: CitadelPilot]
      #41142 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:02 AM

Quote:

I am also in the Enterprise, AL area...stationed at Ft. Rucker. Just curious what kind of effects would we feel from this storm 70 miles inland?





Forecast valid 11/0600z 32.3n 88.4w...inland
Max wind 75 kt...gusts 90 kt.


Forecast valid 11/1800z 34.2n 89.3w...inland
Max wind 35 kt...gusts 45 kt.


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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


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Posts: 1299
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: Bamagal]
      #41143 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:02 AM

the last three hours Dennis' trend as been ~.45 degrees to the NORTH and ~.22 degrees WEST... solid NNW motion to me....

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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master


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Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: CitadelPilot]
      #41144 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:03 AM

When Charley came through South Florida, it tore up places with tornados and hurricane force winds that were more than 70 miles inland. It will depend on how far out the hurricane force winds extend by the time it makes the shore. But you can expect driving rains and constant wind.

--------------------
God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.


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KimmieL
Weather Watcher


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Posts: 26
Loc: Baton Rouge, La
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: lunkerhunter]
      #41145 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:03 AM

2 degrees north and 2 degrees west--still heading NW

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Bamagal
Registered User


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Posts: 2
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: CitadelPilot]
      #41146 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:04 AM

Not entirely sure yet- have been watching and wondering all day but looks like i will have to do that for a while longer. I do kow that if landfall is further east than pensacola it would be worse for us but a lot will depend on all the other factors( intensity, direction, etc) .Glad to know someone else from area is on here though- kinda feel like the lone ranger sometimes.

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lunkerhunter
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 248
Loc: Saint Augustine, FL
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: Bamagal]
      #41147 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:05 AM

they're slow on the NHC "Discussion"

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Terra
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: lunkerhunter]
      #41148 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:06 AM

Only discussions at 5s and 11s.

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Terra Dassau Cahill


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CitadelPilot
Registered User


Reged:
Posts: 4
Loc: Ft. Rucker, AL
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: Bamagal]
      #41149 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:07 AM

Ya, I have been watching it for the last couple of days. I know they were packing up a lot of the aircraft when I left post yesterday. I know that a few of my friends who are in the naval pilot training program down in Pensacola were evacuated yesterday.

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lunkerhunter
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 248
Loc: Saint Augustine, FL
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: Terra]
      #41150 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:07 AM

they did a special discussion at 7PM. thought they might do another.

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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 944
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: lunkerhunter]
      #41151 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:09 AM

Quote:

they're slow on the NHC "Discussion"


The NHC web site is low to update. They're really busy.

--------------------
Michael

PWS


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wxman007
Meteorologist


Reged:
Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
See you soon... [Re: MichaelA]
      #41152 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:11 AM

Folks, this will likely be my last post for a while...thing are starting to really get tense here in PC, and we are looking more and more under the gun.

If you are a religious person, pray for all the residents of coastal FL, AL, and MS tonght...it looks more and more dangerous with each passing hour. I'll post as soon as I get a chance, but it's almost go-time here.

--------------------
Jason Kelley


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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
Re: See you soon... [Re: wxman007]
      #41153 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:13 AM

Good Luck

--------------------
Pam in Volusia County

According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6


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BLTizzle
Verified CFHC User


Reged:
Posts: 13
Loc: Eufaula, AL
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #41154 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:13 AM

first post on here but been keeping up on thie site for about 2 years....

The State of Alabama Tourism Association said at 7:00pm CDT that 90% of hotel rooms between Mobile and Birmingham were full. So pass this info along to anyone who might need it


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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
Re: See you soon... [Re: wxman007]
      #41155 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:13 AM

GOOD LUCK, GOD SPEED, BE CAREFUL!!!!!!!!!!!

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Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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LanceW-Home
Registered User


Reged:
Posts: 4
Re: See you soon... [Re: wxman007]
      #41156 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:13 AM

Good luck to all...

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CentralFlorida
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 27
Loc: Port Richey FL
Re: See you soon... [Re: wxman007]
      #41157 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:13 AM

be safe wxman praying for you and all others under the gun

--------------------
Survived Charley, Jeanne, Frances, Ivan and my Wife


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 944
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Re: See you soon... [Re: wxman007]
      #41158 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:13 AM

Quote:

Folks, this will likely be my last post for a while...thing are starting to really get tense here in PC, and we are looking more and more under the gun.

If you are a religious person, pray for all the residents of coastal FL, AL, and MS tonght...it looks more and more dangerous with each passing hour. I'll post as soon as I get a chance, but it's almost go-time here.


By all means - bail now! Prayers are with you and everyone else.

--------------------
Michael

PWS


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CitadelPilot
Registered User


Reged:
Posts: 4
Loc: Ft. Rucker, AL
Re: See you soon... [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #41159 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:14 AM

I saw on the local news here that hotels are 100% full in the Dothan, AL area as well

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