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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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Lisa NC
Weather Guru


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Posts: 102
Loc: North Carolina
Re: Is everyone [Re: Lysis]
      #42412 - Tue Jul 12 2005 10:08 AM

I don't know what JB's outlook, but most of the models aren't doing to much with Emily. The CMC is really forecasting Franklin to be big and strong and headed toward the northern east coast. watching the MM5, it has 3 Atlantic storms and a epac in 5 days. It looks to stay busy.

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<img src="/hahn/images/graemlins/wink.gif" alt="" />


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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
Re: jb's tropical theatrics...anyone got a link? [Re: NewWatcher]
      #42413 - Tue Jul 12 2005 10:09 AM

http://weather.yahoo.com/vidindex/index.html

i think this is it

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Pam in Volusia County

According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6


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AgentB
Weather Guru


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Posts: 188
Loc: Winter Park, FL
Re: jb's tropical theatrics...anyone got a link? [Re: Rick on boat in Mobile]
      #42414 - Tue Jul 12 2005 10:12 AM

Quote:

can ya'll post a link to him....all I can find...ya hafta pay for...and I don't pay to listen to someone's weather forecasts...that's like paying for someone to tell me about God...




Third video down.

http://weather.yahoo.com/vidindex/index.html

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Check the Surf


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HanKFranK
User


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Posts: 1841
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Re: jb's tropical theatrics...anyone got a link? [Re: NewWatcher]
      #42416 - Tue Jul 12 2005 10:17 AM

well.. if joe is right this morning, i'm going to miss my call on emily getting the big islands. lots of the globals still smearing emily into a surface trough... running it into the yucatan. of course emily is staying south of the guidance envelope, too... put it all together and the forecast track may keep shifting south and put the storm on a more climatological track to the yucatan. i'm thinking it might be a little overdone and will hold on the storm making it into the gulf around sun/mon.
situation behind emily is complex. the small low to emily's southeast at 8/35 is slowing down.. while the impressive wave nearing 30w behind it is gaining on it. these two may combine to form the next system... none of the models are really showing this, though. it'll be hard to pinpoint exactly where franklin will try to form.. only consideration i have about it's track will track north of emily's path and slowly deepen. there's a chance it catches a trough near 65w over the weekend (not like the GFS shows... silly thing tries to recurve everything).... bastardi says it misses the trough connection and goes west... that's what i'm looking for too. if it doesn't then we'll get our first recurving fish spinner of the season.
this will take the rest of the week to unfold. emily seems to be speeding up, so watches ought to start popping in the lesser antilles soon.
oh yeah... watching the tail of that trough off the east coast. there's a kink in the trades approaching, and that trough should lift out and leave it be in day or two.
HF 1517z12july

Edited by HanKFranK (Tue Jul 12 2005 10:19 AM)


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MikeCAdministrator
Admin


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Re: jb's tropical theatrics...anyone got a link? [Re: NewWatcher]
      #42417 - Tue Jul 12 2005 10:20 AM

Quote:

http://weather.yahoo.com/vidindex/index.html

i think this is it




It's also at the bottom of the main page in the links section. There is so much it's easy to miss. Those are my lazy bookmarks there, the links page is more comprehensive (although needs to be reorganized and checked.. Christine will be shortly there.)


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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


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Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
Re: jb's tropical theatrics...anyone got a link? [Re: Rick on boat in Mobile]
      #42418 - Tue Jul 12 2005 10:20 AM

Let me know if this gets you there http://weather.yahoo.com/streams/index.html

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Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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MadDog
Weather Hobbyist


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Posts: 51
Loc: DeBary, Florida
Re: jb's tropical theatrics...anyone got a link? [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #42419 - Tue Jul 12 2005 10:28 AM

I had to watch it twice, what a hoot. Is he always like that?

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nl
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 207
Loc: nsb,fl
Re: jb's tropical theatrics...anyone got a link? [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #42420 - Tue Jul 12 2005 10:29 AM

so u think hes right? so it looks like franklin will get us and not emily?

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drcrazibob
Weather Watcher


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Posts: 30
Loc: Daytona Beach, Fl
Re: jb's tropical theatrics...anyone got a link? [Re: MadDog]
      #42421 - Tue Jul 12 2005 10:32 AM

Quote:

I had to watch it twice, what a hoot. Is he always like that?




Anyone else have a hard time watching him (JB)?


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doug
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: jb's tropical theatrics...anyone got a link? [Re: HanKFranK]
      #42422 - Tue Jul 12 2005 10:32 AM

The 06Z models are beginning to feel the second wave. One( I forget which...CMC?) really blow it up...JB is big on his teleconnections and sees the typhoone moving west missing the trough to its north and is looking for a similar pattern in the west ATL. If it is not Emily, then his interest is on the second wave..
Certainly the dynamic of having a bigger storm following to the NE will reshape the guidance on Emily. As presented by the one model that developed it, the second wave weakened the western extremity of the ridge and allowed Emily to get into the GOM at the end of the run period...

This much activity is more common for Sept. 12 not July. Are we looking at more than 21 storms?

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doug

Edited by doug (Tue Jul 12 2005 10:34 AM)


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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
Re: jb's tropical theatrics...anyone got a link? [Re: drcrazibob]
      #42423 - Tue Jul 12 2005 10:32 AM

Quote:

Quote:

I had to watch it twice, what a hoot. Is he always like that?




Anyone else have a hard time watching him (JB)?




I always enjoy watching it for humor value



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Pam in Volusia County

According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6


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Shalafi
Weather Guru


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Posts: 123
Loc: Altamonte Springs
Re: jb's tropical theatrics...anyone got a link? [Re: drcrazibob]
      #42424 - Tue Jul 12 2005 10:38 AM

Quote:

Anyone else have a hard time watching him (JB)?




I wanted to throw something at my monitor several times. I can't believe people pay for that. If I want to be entertained I'll turn on the radio or TV or go to another website. I want information and if I was in a hurry for info that guy would seriously piss me off.

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Bryan
What doesn't kill us only makes us stronger.
God bless
I know very litte about weather. I'm here to learn mostly but will post friendly replies now and then. So if you don't want to see non-weather comments ignore me now. Thanx!



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D3m3NT3DVoRT3X
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 48
Loc: The Burg < FL
3 storms !? [Re: doug]
      #42425 - Tue Jul 12 2005 10:39 AM

the latest MM5fsu is showing 3 storms two in the atl and one just off the coast of mexico 120h http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/mm5fsutc2...;hour=Animation

Edited by D3m3NT3DVoRT3X (Tue Jul 12 2005 10:39 AM)


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Katie
Weather Guru


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Posts: 167
Loc: Winter Haven, FL
Emily's track [Re: MikeC]
      #42426 - Tue Jul 12 2005 10:39 AM

All I have to say is, she better stay far away from the EC of Florida, I will finally have a weekend to myself and I plan on taking some girl friends to the beach the weekend of the 23rd.

But, from last night's track to today's track she is going farther South so, it may look better for those of us here in FL...but, I guess only time will tell with her.

A typical woman, doesn't know where she wants to go just yet.


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bn765
Weather Hobbyist


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Posts: 60
Re: Emily's track [Re: Katie]
      #42427 - Tue Jul 12 2005 10:40 AM

Does all this mean we could have 3 tropical storms by the end of this week?

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DJINFLA
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 28
Loc: Sebastian, FL
Re: jb's tropical theatrics...anyone got a link? [Re: drcrazibob]
      #42428 - Tue Jul 12 2005 10:40 AM

First time watching J.B. Hard to handle him. Had a hard time not clicking the stop button. How often is he right? Is he more for entertainment value or is he pretty much accurate?


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D3m3NT3DVoRT3X
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 48
Loc: The Burg < FL
Re: jb's tropical theatrics...anyone got a link? [Re: DJINFLA]
      #42429 - Tue Jul 12 2005 10:42 AM

Quote:

First time watching J.B. Hard to handle him. Had a hard time not clicking the stop button. How often is he right? Is he more for entertainment value or is he pretty much accurate?




umm no that guy deff. as a couple of screws loose .. lol


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tpratch
Moderator


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Posts: 341
Loc: Maryland
Re: Emily's track [Re: Katie]
      #42430 - Tue Jul 12 2005 10:42 AM

I have to admit that watching JB gives me hope. Hope that even the slower, less socially-adept folks in this world can gain meaningful employment...

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MadDog
Weather Hobbyist


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Posts: 51
Loc: DeBary, Florida
Re: Emily's track [Re: tpratch]
      #42431 - Tue Jul 12 2005 10:43 AM

Amen to that.

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kissy
Verified CFHC User


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Posts: 20
Loc: Pascagoula, MS
Re: jb's tropical theatrics...anyone got a link? [Re: DJINFLA]
      #42432 - Tue Jul 12 2005 10:43 AM

Geez! I had to click the stop button! I couldn't sit through all of it. It was so drawn out!

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Nothing like fishing in the middle of a hurricane! Katrina '06!


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