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No visible eye on the last frame of the IR loop - 0045Z.

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Or is there one a little farther north??This one is driving me nuts!Eye,no eye,eye,no eye.

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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .

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I've checked both the WV and IR imagery. I appears to me that the eye may be displaced to the NW. I see a tight curl in the last hour NW of where the ERC was taking place.
I'm using http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/goes

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Looks like the eye may come ashore around Tancah. If so, I really doubt if Cancun will see much of anything as far as wind. Forgot for the moment they'd still get storm surge.

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That is only about 10 miles north of Tulum,I can not see it hitting that far south.Now the eye in not looking great,I give up.For 3 years I was up and down this coast,I do know it well.It is one of the coolest places on earth.

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Actually I just heard TWC say Tulim...which I had considered but thought a little too far south.

Also they just said pressure up to 955...so they must have access to more of the recon data we haven't seen yet, and the storm is still weakening.

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Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp

Edited by Margie (Sun Jul 17 2005 10:17 PM)

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Thanks for your view, Clark. I did think Merida was in a direct path, and was confused as to what would take the force down with the lack of any elevation. I know it is not that close to the coast, but did not think there was enough real estate in between landfall and Merida to take it down much.

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