amonty
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 66
Loc: Clearwater, Fl
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looks pretty healthy!
http://www.nnvl.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/index.cgi?page=items&ser=109562&large=1
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Ryan
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 281
Loc: Long Island, NY / Stuart, FL
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hey everyone i'm back from montauk
i was expecting there to be at least one named storm out there..well at least harvey isn't a threat to the US...
gray's new forecast is gettin worse..im not feeling it
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2006 Atlantic Season Summary:
Bad, But Not AS Bad.
Life's a Storm, Watch Your Back
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AgentB
Weather Guru
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Posts: 188
Loc: Winter Park, FL
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Quote:
If this comes to fruition than the future Irene may very well become a fish spinner, right?
Still a bit too early to tell. Have to see how Harvey impacts the surrounding environment, and just how strong 95L gets as it crosses the Atlantic.
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Check the Surf
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Keith234
Storm Chaser
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Posts: 921
Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
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From what I have been seeing over the past 8 frames of the visible loop over 95L, it is rapidly intensifying and consolidating. It should be classified by 5 P.M as our 9 Tropical Depression of the season shattering the previous record for the earliest 9th system. There are three possible tracks for this storm, the most unlikely one is for it to miss the weakness between the Bermuda ridge and continue eastward. The next one would be for it to continue westward and miss the weakness once again but still recurve before hitting the united states as a large surface trof/ULH dominates the SE. The most likely track, and the track that I think will occur will be for it to recurve between the two ridge's and be pulled out to sea. This agree's with the typhoon in the west pacific teleconnection rule. The track will be dependent on how fast the storm organizes, and the strength of the upper level features, but these can only be determined with time.
Harvey is under some moderate to strong shear, and is pulling ENE at 10 kts. A track similar to Georges seems to be the case. Bermuda was and is the only area of land affected by the storm, and at best had minor damage. Harvey should continue to pull out to see with the longwave trof, and transition to by 96 hours.
I agree with NOAA and Dr. Gray’s increase in numbers as they agree with the overall decade pattern and analogs. will be a big factor in determining the quantity and severity of the storms in August as overall basin shear is low, and SSTS are anamously warm throughout (except some minor upwelling over the CV region). has also become trackable, and it’s affects are seen in the recurving typhoon in the west pacific and the disturbance in the central pacific. The track of these storms at this time seem like they will recurve, but all these precursor’s seem to be lining up at the right time for development and affect on the U.S.
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"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe
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Rich B
British Meteorologist
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Posts: 498
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK
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NRL / FNMOC now lists 95L as 09L.Noname... looks like we have our ninth system of the season guys,
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Rich B
SkyWarn UK
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zmdz01
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 31
Loc: Simi Valley, CA
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The site now has 95L as 09L.
http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi
looks like I was slow in posting, sorry for the double post
Marcus
Edited by zmdz01 (Thu Aug 04 2005 04:27 PM)
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CaneTrackerInSoFl
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 395
Loc: Israel
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And the Cape Verde season is officially open for business...
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Andrew 1992, Irene 1999, Katrina 2005, Wilma 2005
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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
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Posts: 428
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
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Well, the boards will be abuzz again as the 9th depression makes its way to the western atlantic region. We have a few days to watch this thing with awe before looking at the stats to tell us where it may impact. Until than I intend to enjoy this formation (and the one to its SE).
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________2024 Forecast: 24/14/7________
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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Wingman51
Weather Guru
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Posts: 126
Loc: Orlando, FL
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New Thred up - - TD 9 LIVES 
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BillD
User
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Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU AUG 04 2005
..AND YET ANOTHER TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE ATLANTIC...
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CaneTrackerInSoFl
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 395
Loc: Israel
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Forecast to become a hurricane in 72 hours.
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Andrew 1992, Irene 1999, Katrina 2005, Wilma 2005
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