meto
Weather Guru
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mike anderson says ridge over fla. is weakining tonight, i said this the other day.
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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latest IR had it going due west... I have it at approximately 22.31N and 86.87W
during the past 90 minutes Izzy has gone due west .27 degrees... quite evident on the GOES IR...
there has been NO northerly component in its track in the past 90 minutes
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joepub1
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 240
Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
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It looks like the eye wall is getting it's act back together, appearing much more defined in the last couple of frames, with a slight lean to wnw. He's in no hurry.
On another note, BAMD,BAMM,A98E and LBAR seem to be trying to set up Kyle and Lile on a blind date in the near future, bringing them close enough to each other to prob. interact in some way. Gee, I don't think that sounded quite right, but you know what I mean.
That didn't sound right either. I'll give up on that line for awhile.
Joe in JAX
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MikeC
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I put together a 3 frame animation from the frames I have from the cancun radar.
I'll add more as I get them (one about every 15 minutes or so)
Cancun Loop made by MikeC
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BillD
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Loc: Miami
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Frank there isn't one that I know of. I was capturing the still images and comparing them side by side. I've figured out how to animate them, but it doesn't look like there's any way to post a graphic on the board.
Bill
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MikeC
Admin
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Loc: Orlando, FL
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Bill email me it and I'll post it mike@flhurricane.com
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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thanks anyway Bill
Looks like Mike's got a link to a loop he pulled together... after reviewing Mike's loop I still say the system is drifting off to the west or just north of west..
thanks Mike for the link
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Anonymous
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mike said on his report that the high to the north was going away that had blocking north move as we done his report and izzy was going to move north tonight the weater channel mr stuw said h moving in will block it from gulf coast so is there a open slot to move north like mike said look at his update please respond looks like izzy moving west again
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Anonymous
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look at w/v loop another pulse coming could this do anything
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Londovir
Weather Guru
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Loc: Lakeland, FL
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Mike:
I took (borrowed, stole, whichever  ) your radar loop, trimmed the frames will they are lined up over each other, added in the most recent 2 images, and posted it to my home website. This makes it easier to see that the storm is shooting almost straight west right now.
Cancun Radar Loop
(I notice when I tried to click to this link to test it in preview, it throws a 403 Forbidden error, but if you hit refresh, it loads fine. Bizarre anti-referral link at Roadrunner? Dunno, sorry....)
Dunno how much I'll be updating this, or how frequently, but figured I'd toss it on the list to help everyone out.
Jay
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Londovir
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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I have Issy at 22.25 N and 87.0 W... that's basically due west from the past hour or so... I estimate it has gone only approximately 30 miles in the past 4.5 hours ...
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MikeC
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Thanks for the fix. Looks like the cancun radar was overloaded, it's not updating anymore. So I'm going to bed. Thanks all!
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joepub1
Storm Tracker
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Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
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NHC puts it at 22.2N,86.7W
Your getting pretty good at this!
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Frank P
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Per the 11:00 discussion from the
<<IF THE HURRICANE MOVES TOO FAR SOUTH INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...I DOUBT IT WILL EVER MOVE NORTHWARD. IT IS NECESSARY TO HAVE VERY STRONG STEERING FLOW FROM THE SOUTH TO PULL HURRICANES OUT OF THAT AREA. >>
Hopefully this will be the scenario... last IR loop actually showed a wobble to the wsw... lets get it to the BOC and keep it there... bad for Mexico, good for the Gulf Coast..
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Frank P
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Thanks Joe, but I think its a little farther west than what they are posting but they are the experts.. unless the GOES lat and long system is off, but I alway validate it with my own location in Biloxi, so if thats right it should be right everywhere else..
I guess it will continue to slowly drift west with maybe a wobble to the south and then north every now and then...
I think even the is questioning whether or not this thing will ever get pulled north... I certainly am...
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Anonymous
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cnn had the guy from hurr center on they think west till tuesday then n/w turn maybe thret to east of miss dont seem to br one now grwet news looks more like north mex
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
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Loc: Metairie, LA
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Kind of ecohes what I said on Page 1 or 2 about the European. When in doubt, he almost always goes with the European in tropical matters. I don't know. Some of the low lying areas and bayous could be in for some serious trouble. People look at a map of the US and think they see Louisiana. But it looks nothing like it used to. We lose 3 football fields every day. If I can find a link to a map of what the state really looks like, I'll post it. You don't really notice it until you're flying overhead, but little by little, we're sinking away. There's a fairly good chance that the southern levee protection on the West Bank will be prime beachfront property in another 60 years.
>>After looking things over, I dont have any changes. Option 2 is re-enforced by the European tonight, and that is a major hurricane hit then a rapid northeast moving storm with heavy rains. Pressures with the storm on Saturday are still near 20.00 over Pennsylvania, after the landfall late Thursday in southeast Louisiana. Basically no changes. The UKMET holds on to its west path, but now has a landfall much closer to Brownsville. I continue to favor what was option 2, back on Thursday, which is basically what the European has.
Steve
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MF'n Super Bowl Champions
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troy2
Storm Tracker
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Loc: cocoa beach
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http://www.disastercenter.com/convert.htm
a cool conversion chart
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Tha's your prediction? that this thing is going to end up in SE LA coast... Morgan City?
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
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Loc: Metairie, LA
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http://www.lwrri.lsu.edu/cia/html/sefall.html
That's the link to what the state actually looks like now. Below are just some links of lost land since 1950. It's pretty sad because as a state, I don't think there is another one with the unique culture that we have. We used to be the only state gaining land, but now we're losing it faster than anywhere else on the planet.
http://www.lacoast.gov/maps/LandLoss/pontchartrain.htm
http://www.lacoast.gov/maps/LandLoss/Breton.htm
http://www.lacoast.gov/maps/LandLoss/mississippi.htm
http://www.lacoast.gov/maps/LandLoss/Terrebonne.htm
Steve 
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MF'n Super Bowl Champions
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