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Arlene expected to be short-lived as rapid weakening is forecast over the weekend
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 210 (Nicole) , Major: 253 (Ian) Florida - Any: 210 (Nicole) Major: 253 (Ian)

News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: the system that Stephen King would be proud of.... [Re: MissBecky]
      #48659 - Tue Aug 23 2005 06:35 AM

Becky. No question is stupid. My Drill Sergent used to say that the only question that 'was' stupid. "Was the one you didn't ask".

That aside. Most of the NWS folks use the GFS consistantly...so when it throws a curve, like it did last night. They discount most of the other models and stick with the GFS. The NAM is progging a Tropical System in the Southern FL Peninsula area. So 1 out of 3 of the main models picks up the system.
There will probably be more than 1 Forecast Discussion throwing the NAM solution out the window today.

All of the models updated at 00Z last night.
Be sure and check out the CMC model!

Edited by danielw (Tue Aug 23 2005 06:39 AM)

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Random Chaos
Weather Analyst

Reged: Sat
Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
Re: the system that Stephen King would be proud of.... [Re: danielw]
      #48661 - Tue Aug 23 2005 07:03 AM

New thread

moved my post there.

Edited by Random Chaos (Tue Aug 23 2005 07:10 AM)

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