Miami Beach, FLA USA
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Loc: Miami Beach, FLA
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I agree...I have a bad feeling about this thing really blowing up, especially if it moves slightly slower than expected....anyone have any information from models or otherwise in agreement?
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Beach
Weather Guru
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Loc: Cocoa Beach/Banana River
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Hey HF,
Please look at:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-wv-loop.html
click on the Trpical Frcast points, Isn't the center already North of the Forcast Points?
Will we see the models show landfall a bit more North @ 11?
I do agree with your thoughts of Boca, or maybe a bit more North.
well, it's supposed to turn back wnw at some point. soon i'm thinking. it's rounding that upper low just a little more... the degree of ridging isn't changing a whole lot. -HF
Edited by HanKFranK (Wed Aug 24 2005 01:16 PM)
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naples
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Loc: Naples, FL
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HF, do you think even if were to form into a Cat 1 that those of us on the west coast probably won't see much more than a lot of rain and a little wind.
that sounds about right. -HF
Edited by HanKFranK (Wed Aug 24 2005 01:16 PM)
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Beaumont, TX
Storm Tracker
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Is there any possibility this storm could track as far as Louisiana/Texas if it gets into the Gulf? I will be out of town so just for planning purposes was wondering about that. Right now it looks like it might be a threat down the line to the central/eastern gulf coast. Is that track pretty certain? Just wondering what you guys think.
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VolusiaMike
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Loc: Ormond Beach, FL
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According to the 8 am position update, the center is approximately 10 miles northeast of the forecast position. Very little difference overall, unless it is a trend that continues.
(Information based on positions plotted through Hurtrack program).
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Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser
Weather Hobbyist
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Loc: Deltona, FL
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Now they got one named after me, . Wish it was out to see though......... 
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I survived Jeanne, Charley, and Frances
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nl
Storm Tracker
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Loc: nsb,fl
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yeah my wives name is . stay away from volusia county lol please. 
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Ron Basso
Storm Tracker
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Loc: hernando beach, FL
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Looks like the 06Z run has now backed off the "up the east coast" scenario and is now very similar to the 00Z . Both models now take the storm across S FL and then just offshore the GOM and run it parallel to the coast with a second landfall between Tampa and Cedar Key. I hope this isn't a trend we're seeing once it gets into the GOM.
http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi-...;hour=Animation
http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi-...;hour=Animation
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RJB
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nl
Storm Tracker
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Loc: nsb,fl
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so what does blue mean on a animation?
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emackl
Storm Tracker
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Loc: Indianapolis
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I was taking my son to school and listening to a treasure coast radio station. He said literally "there is nothing to worry about with this storm. It will be strictly a rain maker." Sounds borderline irresponsible to me. Even a level 1 is something to pay attention to. When Erin hit us at a level 1 we lost power for quite a long time. If it wasn't for stocking up on batteries and what not it would have been miserable.
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Beaumont, TX
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Allison was a "rainmaker" also. And she caused so much trouble. This storm looks much better organized this morning. People should be prepared just in case.
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nl
Storm Tracker
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Loc: nsb,fl
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what is that behind se of her? looks like its trying too push it more towards the nnw. and where the heck has jb been?
Edited by nl (Wed Aug 24 2005 01:23 PM)
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HanKFranK
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Loc: Graniteville, SC
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just an aside, but was the name i picked off the list back when we had the poll on which named looked scariest. i picked one that looked like it would come about in later august.
noticed that my forecast intensity is the highest i've heard anywhere. now i look like chicken little. want to applaud everybody for not cat 5'ing the situation.
HF 1322z24august
Edited by MikeC (Wed Aug 24 2005 01:23 PM)
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Ed in Va
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I think we'll see a significant shift to the right at 11. Just my hunch.
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Survived Carol and Edna '54 in Maine. Guess this kind of dates me!
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Ron Basso
Storm Tracker
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Loc: hernando beach, FL
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Quote:
so what does blue mean on a animation?
There's a color scale on the bottom that relates it to predicted pressure. The more blue, the deeper the storm.
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RJB
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Hootowl
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Loc: New Port Richey, Fl
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HF
It's the name I picked too.
Go back a few posts and read Ron Basso's post. I saw a model a few days ago that hinted at the same thing. Cross SE Fl, up the coast and back in again north of Tampa. Wish I could remember which model it was.
Is there a chance this could happen??? I am not good at reading the set up for what will/won't "direct" this storm.
Help please. 
Thanks!
Dotty
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MikeC
Admin
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Loc: Orlando, FL
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Folks who want to take a shot with gut feelings or forecasts without much reason to back them up can use this topic here that I created. We're going to start moving posts without any reasoning off otherwise.
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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
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Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
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If there is a lunge to the right than my thought is that will make landfall further north than Boca Raton area.
But it will be equllay interesteing to see if its speed has changed as well. We do not want it going slower-
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________2023 Forecast: 20/10/5________
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
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Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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The and the weather channel as well as local tv,say landfall will be near Ft. Lauderdale.So I have to plan on that,only question now is how strong it will be.I think there will be many people here caught with there pants down.This area where she is now,is known to cause rapid intensification.
bob, i'm sure you'll be fine. and people will wear their pants correctly. -HF
Edited by HanKFranK (Wed Aug 24 2005 01:43 PM)
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The Force 2005
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 299
Loc: Philadelphia
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Has everyone forgotton already!! Today is the anniversary of Andrew. Hmmmm
Looking at and the rapid developement, could be interesting.
Edited by The Force 2005 (Wed Aug 24 2005 01:40 PM)
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