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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 21 (Milton) , Major: 21 (Milton) Florida - Any: 21 (Milton) Major: 21 (Milton)
 


News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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Fletch
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 121
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
Re: superstition [Re: Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser]
      #49027 - Wed Aug 24 2005 10:39 AM

11 Am is out

at 11 am EDT...1500z...a Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch have been issued for the Southeast Florida coast from Vero Beach southward to Florida City. This replaces the tropical storm watch. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

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Irwin M. Fletcher


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susieq
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 49
Loc: Panhandle
update [Re: Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser]
      #49029 - Wed Aug 24 2005 10:42 AM

Underground has their 11:00 - http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200512_5day.html

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Gulf Breeze girl still not over Ivan


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ralphfl
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 435
Re: update [Re: susieq]
      #49036 - Wed Aug 24 2005 11:14 AM

got to love these posts that come and wack they gone anyway it will be IMO when this turns west that we will know where it is going to go.I dont think they are going to get it right on the button as most storms like to be different.

Anyway i dont like those model runs from GFS and BAM would not be good to cross the state and go right up the coast anyway its going to be till the turn IMO when we will have a ideas where its going.

And like the NHC i don't see this getting more then a low cat 1 before it hits.


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native
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 148
Loc: SE Florida
Re: update [Re: susieq]
      #49049 - Wed Aug 24 2005 11:32 AM

Hey all...

My house is totally under the gun! I live in Deerfield Beach...northern most city in Broward Co. less than 2mi from the beach...and I 'm stuck at a damn convention in Orlando. Told my partner I'm leaving Thurs.afternoon (6-7pm) after the show to go batten down the hatches (again).

It'll be real interesting to see the 5pm report as far as the intensity goes. Lotta "high octane" fuel out there....thank goodness she's a slow mover & waters are shallow...should help to keep her in check.

Riddle me this mets/mods: what's your take on this
www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/wcaribvis.html

Looks like dry air to the north being drawn in...could this stimulate an eye wall replacement down the road? If so, would this also help to keep her check?


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Clark
Meteorologist


Reged:
Posts: 1710
Loc:
New Thread [Re: ralphfl]
      #49056 - Wed Aug 24 2005 11:50 AM

There's a new thread on the main board, everyone. Please post any future comments or unanswered questions there -- thanks!
-Clark

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Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)


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