naples
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 10
Loc: Naples, FL
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It is right below us here in Naples, any chance this thing could go north soon, or are we pretty safe. To close for comfort right now.
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jth
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 275
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It appears that Kat is really starting to crank already. I think the next runs and the next forecast from the will reflect a very strong storm and may shift a little farther west.
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1299
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I feel your pain Sircane.... I just can't believe that P'cola would have to experience another storm.... this one could be as bad as , and that's really scary.... still early, models are not as clustered as I'd like to see them, and lacking some consistancy from run to run... as it heads north eventually every one will be focusing on the NE turn, people need to be prepared once a cane warning is issued for their area to expect it to hit them, I sure the folks in Punta Gorta will tell you the same... and regardless of where the exact landfalling point is... because you certainly don't want to get fooled by a major cane...
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Guitarman
Registered User
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Posts: 2
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Uh oh. I live in Panama City Beach. My worst fear has come true. The official track is right on top of us. And it seems that the strength the is predicting is very conservative. Does anyone else fear we could have a very big cat 3 or 4 bearing down on PCB not a just a cat 2? She's over that 90 degree Gulf water and is already looking very healthy. Starting to wonder if we will be asked to evacuate... It will definitely be a nervous weekend here...
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amonty
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 66
Loc: Clearwater, Fl
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It looks like she's stopped to think which way to go!!
 
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firestar_1
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 64
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL, 26.98N 82....
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Quote:
I feel your pain Sircane.... I just can't believe that P'cola would have to experience another storm.... this one could be as bad as , and that's really scary.... still early, models are not as clustered as I'd like to see them, and lacking some consistancy from run to run... as it heads north eventually every one will be focusing on the NE turn, people need to be prepared once a cane warning is issued for their area to expect it to hit them, I sure the folks in Punta Gorta will tell you the same... and regardless of where the exact landfalling point is... because you certainly don't want to get fooled by a major cane...
Take a look at this link: http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_98qwbg.gif
Tried to bring up a possibility of an earlier move to the north last night.....sure do wish she would just go away...but that is not going to happen.... 
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Stay Aware...Stay Alert....Stay Alive.....
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dkpcb
Registered User
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Posts: 6
Loc: Panama City Beach Florida
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Hi to everyone !
We are located close to the coast here in Panama City Beach,
and have to pack up and wrap plastic over everything, we always
have our hurricane prep ready now. We reserved our hotel room
in town yesterday. My husband is on his way to Home Depot
to get a new chain saw and gas.
We just finish laying ceramic tile in the house. Blue
Tarp still on the roof, we know that is not going to hold.
We just took the plywood down, because of fire hazard.
Everybody is getting tired of all this hurricanes coming our
way, if it comes here or not, it interferes in our life’s so much,
lost jobs, can’t make a living, no tourist.
Paying for supplies and hotel rooms, children out of school,
no power, for I don’t know how long. Not knowing if we have
a home after the storm past is very difficult to deal with.
I know these sounds like whining, but we are just sick of it,
I want to move inland.
I hope this hurricane is not coming directly at us.
We want to thank everybody on this site, this is a lot better
info then the media.
Thanks Again
DK
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drcrazibob
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 30
Loc: Daytona Beach, Fl
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I have to fly to Portland on Monday. I leave from Daytona 11am, then to Atlanta and leave there at 2pm. So should I be stuffing my carry-on for 24 hour delay?
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Katie
Weather Guru
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Posts: 167
Loc: Winter Haven, FL
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Your flight will probably be delayed if she comes through at that time, but she may stall out, take longer to make her way or rush through things too. Sit tight and don't worry just yet about a flight next week.
I stand corrected. I said that there were three deaths from . It is four.
She also brought down an overpass in South Florida. I have seen the pictures on TV just can't remember where exactly it was.
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SirCane
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 249
Loc: Pensacola, FL
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There just seems to be something about the weather patterns right now that keep turning these things up to this area. It is unbelieveable. To think we could have 3 Hurricanes in less than a year is mind boggling. Gas stations are already running out of gas.....
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Direct Hits:
Hurricane Erin (1995) 100 mph
Hurricane Opal (1995) 115 mph
Hurricane Ivan (2004) 130 mph
Hurricane Dennis (2005) 120 mph
http://www.hardcoreweather.com
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Ed G
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 77
Loc: Clermont, Fl
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we in the central Florida area had four last year.
being inland didn't help much.
We feel your pain. best of luck to you.
Edited by Ed G (Fri Aug 26 2005 09:22 AM)
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wxman007
Meteorologist
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Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
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Well, I know of one local media outlet that is trying to give you as much info as possible!
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Jason Kelley
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doug
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
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Radar show the storm is indeed moving and still a little south of due west...the water vapor suggests nothing will pull this north until it goes out to about 90 west...and at 5-7 mph that could be late tomorrow...If it strengthens considerably quickly it could begin to dig a little north before that...the trough that was to pick this up may not carry the amplitude and is still over the midwest to influence the storm in the near future. Those are my observations and opinions.
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doug
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Katie
Weather Guru
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Posts: 167
Loc: Winter Haven, FL
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Sircane - I honestly feel so badly for you all up there in P'cola. I lived there for a few years and couldn't even begin to imagine the stress you all are feeling. I can honestly say, I am glad I am not up there any more for that same reason!!!
Just looked out side - completely clear not a cloud in sight. Beautiful and breezy.
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MadDog
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 51
Loc: DeBary, Florida
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Jason, do you have a website that you will be manning during the upcoming few days? We are looking forward to your analysis.
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bn765
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 60
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Did anyone expect to still be a hurricane after leaving Florida?
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MikeC
Admin
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Posts: 4636
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Quote:
Did anyone expect to still be a hurricane after leaving Florida?
No, at least I didn't at least. However, it did drop to Tropical storm strength before leaving the coast last night, but just to 70MPH/Borderlien. That southerly motion that the model suggested was the reason why. I can say it wasn't really expected, but isn't too surprising. (Expect the unexpected with some storms)
The Everglades softened a lot of the usual weakening factors of land (not all, the everglades couldn't sustain or strengthen a system, there still is friction and the water is shallow) but it's much less so than a forest or metro area over dry land.
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Jeffmidtown
Weather Guru
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Posts: 132
Loc: Atlanta, Ga
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The bridge you were thinking about was at the Dolphin Parkway going into Miami International Airport...Evidently the thing just crumbled.....
Also, was listening to the radio met from WSB-AM here in Atlanta and he said that this storm could be like Opal was in 1995(iirc).....
AS far as flying into Atlanta this weekend, it looks like Sunday night and Monday during the day will probably be the worst days to even trying to go through the airport, not only are those the two busiest days of travel anyway, but once there is a storm, delays can reach into the 2-3 hour stage if not longer....
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You know it's a bad day.....when you wake up and see Jim Cantore and Geraldo Rivera broadcasting from your backyard....literally!
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slick1
Registered User
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Posts: 2
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Quote:
Well, I know of one local media outlet that is trying to give you as much info as possible!
Where have you been? I always tune in to you.
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Black Pearl
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 32
Loc: Mobile Bay
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Looks like the BAM models shifted west on the 12Z run. Model Plotter
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