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Continuing nudges west in Philippe's track prolonging heavy rains and tropical storm force winds in the Leewards
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 33 (Idalia) , Major: 33 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 33 (Idalia) Major: 33 (Idalia)
18.5N 62.9W
Wind: 50MPH
Pres: 1001mb
Nw at 8 mph
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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2002 Storm Forum

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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser

Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
2002 forecast
      #506 - Thu May 30 2002 02:06 PM

12 named storms
7 hurricanes
3 Cat 3+ storms
2 US landfall hurricanes
1 US landfall Cat 3+ hurricane
1 Hybrid (wanna be that NHC does not classify as tropical)

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Weather Master

Reged: Fri
Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida
Re: 2002 forecast (Here's mine!)
      #558 - Sat Jun 01 2002 11:34 AM

12 Named Storms
6 Hurricanes
2/3 Major Hurricanes
A fairly gusty season with a high landfall to named storm ratio.
What I expect:
2 tropical storms (1 moderate, 1 strong)
2 hurricanes (1 a strong cat.1, the other a strong 3)

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Senior Storm Chaser

Reged: Wed
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
Re: 2002 forecast (Here's mine!)
      #573 - Sun Jun 02 2002 12:21 AM

I posted this on the main thread, but here's my prediction:

I'm sticking with 13/8/3. Analog years do not bear out this many storms so if I am wrong, I am likely on the high side. I'm putting the bullseye on the entire SE US with a special emphasis on Mobile to Cedar Key and Miami up to Hatteras. A late season hybrid may threaten the VA-NJ coast but get kicked out. I am calling for 3 named storms - 2 hurricanes in the Gulf this year. Overall, the US gets hit with at least 3 landfalls classified at least as TD's.


MF'n Super Bowl Champions

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      #1584 - Sat Aug 03 2002 09:37 AM


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