Rad
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 173
Loc: St. Pete Fl. {27.8N 82.7W}
|
|
Hey Buddy hunker down and save me some crawfish,this has been years in the makin' and to steve in nawlins , good luck bro hope you guys are allright . Still have them cold budweisers here for yas in florida . BE SAFE !!!! ST. Pete
-------------------- RIDE 2 LIVE 2 RIDE
|
LI Phil
User
Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
|
|
please turn right...
no offense to the good folks in Mobile and eastward...
i just hope those who were asked to evac (or told) to did so...
otherwise...
(crying )
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
|
Rick on boat in Mobile
Weather Drama Guru
Reged:
Posts: 161
|
|
I have been looking at wobbles and getting nervous...it is still NNW.....
New Orleans
|
ralphfl
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 435
|
|
Yes nnw still has not made the north turn and at this rate it will (the center) miss N.O. if no turn north happends and mobile even better so waitging on the turn or no turn.I think best case is if there is no turn there would be less devastation.
Edited by ralphfl (Sun Aug 28 2005 10:10 PM)
|
LI Phil
User
Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
|
|
Quote:
Yes nnw still has not made the north turn and at this rate it will (the center) miss N.O. if no turn north happends and mobile even better so waitging on the turn or no turn.I think best case is if there is no turn there would be less devastation.
where ralph?
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
|
Lisa NC
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 102
Loc: North Carolina
|
|
On the radar loop there is yellow starting to show more around the eye. Is this just because she is getting closer to the radar or possible strenghtening? Sorry about the spelling errors.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/lix_N0Z_lp.shtml
-------------------- <img src="/hahn/images/graemlins/wink.gif" alt="" />
Edited by Lisa NC (Sun Aug 28 2005 10:13 PM)
|
ralphfl
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 435
|
|
If it does not turn the local TV guy said there would not be as much since N.O is big.Sure wherever it hits is going to get nailed but there is a lot less pop west of N.O then if it went over N.O.
|
Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
|
|
I didn't want to say this, but I am seeing the same thing. The eyewall looks like it's strengthening, although the did predict it could strengthen just before landfall.
I don't think it matters where it hits, it's going to be devastating no matter where it goes, however, if N.O. takes a direct hit it will be something that we have never seen before.
Just keep praying.
-------------------- You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
|
lunkerhunter
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 248
Loc: Saint Augustine, FL
|
|
currently looks like COC is 89.3W 27.5N
West eyewall is 89.55W.
NO is 89.9W 30.1N
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/lix_long.shtml
|
ralphfl
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 435
|
|
This post was sent to the Hurricane Graveyard
|
ralphfl
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 435
|
|
Winds down to 140 might make my prediction of cat 3 yet
|
Steve H1
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 309
Loc: Palm Bay FL USA
|
|
I am a bit ignorant on this topic so would like some insight. Where is this former FEMA guy saying thousands may die if this storm sustains its winds. I thought only 267 people were killed when Camille hit?? Hasn't the city been completely evacuated> This former FEMA guy seems like an alarmist. I hope the city is pretty much empty now.
|
Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
|
|
Mayor of Biloxi just said on FNC that winds have come down to 140mph. Could that have something to do with the feeder bands interacting with land?
-------------------- You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
|
wulrich
Verified CFHC User
Reged:
Posts: 11
Loc: Melbourne, FL
|
|
Change in the strength?
I don't know if I just heard correctly, but accroding to the Mayor of New Orleans, winds are down to 140MPH. He said he just had a conference call with the National Hurricane Center.
Should be interesting to see if this comes to fruition.
That's about the only glimmer of hope I've heard today.
-------------------- Don't diss the weather. If the weather didn't change every once in a while, 9/10ths of the people in this world couldn't start a conversation.
|
ralphfl
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 435
|
|
Quote:
Mayor of Biloxi just said on FNC that winds have come down to 140mph. Could that have something to do with the feeder bands interacting with land?
Has to do with a lot of things as i stated yesterday.
#1 cooler (not much) water befoire landfall.
#2 storms cannot keep the 175 that long
#3 the little bit of shear that was forcasted the other day is getting to it some.
Edited by ralphfl (Sun Aug 28 2005 10:21 PM)
|
nate77
Weather Hobbyist
Reged:
Posts: 80
|
|
Where did you see a CAT 4 at?
Also latest NO Radar shows strong bands not reachcing the se coast and I wouldnt be surpised if Hurricane force winds isnt felt soon.
|
LI Phil
User
Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
|
|
ya'll might as well say it...hell...i'm done with any more edits tonight...post away about gas prices...
how in the hell did the storm everyone has been talking about/planning for/doing storm surge maps on/lecturing college students on...
how the hell did it happen THIS WAY?
especially after 2004...
is not NO always listed as one of the top 3 most vulnerable cities? after Miami & Hattaras???
i didn't see this (not that i'm a met) but did anyone see a cat I-II scraping FL in the end of August striking NO (or even if not somewhere close to there) as a CAT V???or at best a CAT IV?
good luck & godspeed...to all
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
|
jr928
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 101
|
|
WOW, so we could see cat 2 by land? if it dropped 20 in 2 hours and has several more to go? is this a silver lining.? wow that's good news.
|
ralphfl
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 435
|
|
Nate the new update in a few mins will have the winds down to 140 mph per a few different people who were talking to the .
140 is cat 4.
|
StormHound
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 187
Loc: Orlando, FL
|
|
Steve H1, if you are talking about New Orleans, there are an estimated 100,000+ people still in the city. About a quarter of them are in the Superdome. The mayor of NO was offering some advice to those still in the French Quarter. He said try to get the 3rd floor of a 3 story building, and take something to break through the roof in case the water gets that high. I'd say there's a good chance an awful lot of people could die.
Also, some of the parishes around New Orleans are reporting that only about 80% of the people evacuated. Some of those parishes aren't in much better shape to weather a Cat 5.
-------------------- Storm Hound
Computer Geek
|