Tazmanian93
Weather Master
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Loc: Tampa
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I believe this is current http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mfl/
-------------------- Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.
Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!
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Ed
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Beaumont, TX
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 318
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So, experts, what is your thinking on this storm once it gets into the Gulf? Our local meteorologist said last night we should be okay
because of the high over us but this morning looks like the track has shifted some. Having evacuated before (with lots of pets)
I know to have a plan ready early. I know it is way too early to tell what the storm will do by the end of the week but was wondering
what ya'll's thinking was at this point. Also, any ideal on the intensity?
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
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Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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Quote:
I believe this is current http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mfl/
No that is not updated.Hurricane Warning from Golden Beach on south.
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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Lee-Delray
Weather Master
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TS warnings were issued for Palm Beach County up to Jupiter Inlet, which was pretty much expected. At least its moving quickly.
Edited by Lee-Delray (Mon Sep 19 2005 11:10 AM)
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VolusiaMike
Weather Hobbyist
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Loc: Ormond Beach, FL
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Forecast Discussion seems to be a bit late with this advisory. Wonder if they are having trouble figuring out what to say about possible impacts on South Florida area, and/or intensity forecast?
Its out... looks like they are hedging on the intensity forecast, and to a lesser extend, on the track forecast. Nice comment regarding avoidance of focusing in the exact forecast track (skinny black line...)
Edited by VolusiaMike (Mon Sep 19 2005 11:15 AM)
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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker
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Loc: Port Orange, FL
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Discussion is up at wundergrond
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at200518.disc.html
-------------------- Pam in Volusia County
According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6
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nl
Storm Tracker
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Loc: nsb,fl
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does the pacific ocean storms have any connection with our storms cause they have 3 now? 2 canes and a ts. :?:
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Lee-Delray
Weather Master
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Lately all discussions have been late
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doug
Weather Analyst
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Loc: parrish,fl
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I don't think that was updated...the statement said tropical storm watches up the west coast to Englewood now and that graphic did not say that.
What I saw on the WV suggests that the push to the west is indeed over SE Florida and may get up that far before she moves into the West mode. However that is a dynamic and will no doubt change...she is trudging right up into the weakness between the two highs...12 mph is a pretty good pace.
-------------------- doug
Edited by doug (Mon Sep 19 2005 11:23 AM)
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Lee-Delray
Weather Master
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At 11 am EDT...a Tropical Storm Warning is issued along the Florida East Coast from north of Deerfield Beach northward to Jupiter Inlet.
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Lee-Delray
Weather Master
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Heavy rain & wind now in Boca; could it be from ?
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scottsvb
Weather Master
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Loc: fl
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Ritas path will be close to the keys over the next 24-36 hrs. S florida should recieve...
Edit ..let's let the Mets and the do the forecasting please. Untrained comments can get folks hurt or killed. Thanks!
Edited by RedingtonBeachGuy (Mon Sep 19 2005 11:58 AM)
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tpratch
Moderator
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Loc: Maryland
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Doug, sometimes the graphics are delayed behind the delays of the discussions. This appears to be the case here, as the most recent graphics do in fact appear to show Hurricane Watches up the west coast to Englewood.
YMMV SPSFD
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Loc: Florida
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I would imagine that what you are experiencing in Boca is from . You can always check that, however, by going to WEATHER.GOV and putting in your location and look at the radar.
-------------------- You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
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Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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This post was sent to the Hurricane Graveyard
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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Shawn M
Verified CFHC User
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Loc: Clear Lake,Tx
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Hi everyone. It's Shawn, formally ShawnS, from Houston. I haven't posted in quite a while but and her projected path have me a bit concerned. The newest path have her coming inland pretty much right on top of us. The thing that worries me is that this may be a little more clear cut on her path than others in the past that they said would come towards us. Another thing is that we still have alot of people here from New Orleans and the last thing they want to see is another major hurricane.
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scottsvb
Weather Master
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Loc: fl
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What S florida is getting now isnt directly associated from , just the flow from the eastern extent of the ridge over S florida pushing the winds onshore from the NE.
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Brad in Miami
Storm Tracker
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Bob:
Can you provide a link to the imagery on which you've based your suggestion that an eye is forming somewhere that would require a quick northward adjustment of the forecast path? I've poked around at a few radar links, and I don't see the center anywhere other than just WNW of the 11am advisory position.
Probably a good idea to back up that kind of statement with a link to what you're basing it on. (And I assume Max Mayfield did not suggest an eye was forming somewhere that would require a quick northward adjustment. If so, let us know.)
Thanks,
Brad
Edited by Brad in Miami (Mon Sep 19 2005 11:52 AM)
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bigpapi
Weather Watcher
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Loc: Myrtle Beach, SC
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I mentioned this last night. Storms in this area can intensify rapidly. The labor day Hurricane of 35 formed in the same general area, went throught the Keys and then up the West Coast of Florida. However it went from Depression to Cat 5 pretty quickly. I wouldn't be surprised to see this make it to Cat 3 by Key West. I still expect a Special Tropical Cyclone Update before 2pm to announce Hurricane . Recon goes back in at 1pm.
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native
Weather Guru
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Loc: SE Florida
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Scottsvb.....you are right again! Weather here today is associated with the high pressure system...at least that's what the mets here on the news were saying this morning...that any rain today was from the HP not .
FYI - Broward schools will be CLOSED tomorrow and BEEMA is holding their press conference at noon today.
Does anyone know about what time we can expect the recon info back from the run early this afternoon?? I hedging a bet that she's a cane come 5 or 8pm updates today.
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