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Area off the Southeast US Coast has a 10% to develop, either way will be wet in parts of the Southeast/NC this weekend. Beryl gone but not forgotten in Houston area where power outages still are widespread.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 4 (Beryl) , Major: 317 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 317 (Idalia) Major: 317 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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Allison
Weather Guru


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Posts: 134
Loc: Laredo, Texas
Re: Cameron [Re: bobbutts]
      #57181 - Sat Sep 24 2005 02:15 AM

Quote:

Quote:


96.9 MPH gust reported at Calcasieu Pass.

This station updates frequently... ever 6 minutes or so...




That's 96.9 KT = 110 MPH




Maybe I need another nap...

--------------------
Allison


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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


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Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: rita delivers [Re: danielw]
      #57182 - Sat Sep 24 2005 02:16 AM

URNT12 KNHC 240602
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 24/05:49:50Z
B. 29 deg 23 min N
093 deg 32 min W
C. 700 mb 2539 m
D. NA kt
E. deg nm
F. 309 deg 075 kt
G. 214 deg 024 nm
H. 935 mb
I. 17 C/ 3063 m
J. 20 C/ 3047 m
K. 13 C/ NA
L. OPEN SOUTH
M. C30
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF309 2518A Rita OB 13
MAX FL WIND 117 KT NE QUAD 02:50:20 Z


can tell that with two different planes.... 935mb or 937mb.... hmm... who's right?

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


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Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: rita delivers [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #57183 - Sat Sep 24 2005 02:18 AM

URNT12 KNHC 240617
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 24/06:08:10Z
B. 29 deg 27 min N
093 deg 36 min W
C. 700 mb 2548 m
D. NA kt
E. deg nm
F. 055 deg 060 kt
G. 334 deg 011 nm
H. EXTRAP 937 mb
I. 0 C/ 0 m...0 Celcius, that looks very strange!
J. 17 C/ 3046 m
K. 16 C/ NA
L. OPEN SOUTH
M. C30
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF309 2518A Rita OB 18
MAX FL WIND 109 KT NE QUAD 05:59:30 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 700 MB

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



Edited by danielw (Sat Sep 24 2005 02:21 AM)


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


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Posts: 3526
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Cameron [Re: Allison]
      #57184 - Sat Sep 24 2005 02:25 AM

Allison. You can't nap yet. You and Storm Hunter are helping me with the data. LOL
Thank You both.


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nate77
Weather Hobbyist


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Posts: 80
Re: Cameron [Re: danielw]
      #57185 - Sat Sep 24 2005 02:28 AM

Just to let you guys know.. KHOU.COM out of Houston is streaming live coverage online.

They say this thing will weaken greatly when it hits land, TS by the afternoon, possible.

Anyone get any surge reports yet?

Thanks


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danielwAdministrator
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Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Cameron [Re: nate77]
      #57186 - Sat Sep 24 2005 02:31 AM

From the Lake Charles radar loop. I would say that the brunt of the storm and the surge has probably hit Cameron and Holly Beach. Head On!
With the eye being off to the west of Cameron. I would suspect that a huge surge will spread up into Calcasieu Lake.


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Storm Hunter
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Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: rita delivers [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #57187 - Sat Sep 24 2005 02:32 AM

yeah thats weird..... i am seeing some strange things on landfall.....it's like the main eyewall in northern part at higher levels (alt.) threw its self towards the coast and as it hit spreaded out... thats normal (friction casues the eyewall to collapse and winds shoot out as they hit the surface... but now appears there is another eyewall about to come ashore just west of cameron... much smaller and maybe weaker than first... the offical landfall is nearing soon.... looks like to me the center is contracting and is smaller....

landfall works out works out pretty good, cuz the center is really close to lake charles radar... including base veloctiy 32nm... (level III).... i would expect that level II datat is just amazing... alomst as good as Katrina going over the NHC and miami radar. and i would think maybe two more vortex reports.

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



Edited by Storm Hunter (Sat Sep 24 2005 02:39 AM)


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BabyCat
Weather Guru


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Posts: 150
Loc: New Orleans, La.
Re: rita delivers [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #57189 - Sat Sep 24 2005 02:35 AM

The surge reports should start coming in soon, I would think.

A gas well just blew in Montegut, LA. Reports that you can smell the gas parish-wide (Terrebonne)


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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


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Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: rita delivers [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #57190 - Sat Sep 24 2005 02:36 AM

here's a pic of what i was talking about
the "first intense eywall" is already shore above cameron


http://stormhunter7.tripod.com/landfall.png

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



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Thunderbird12
Meteorologist


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Posts: 644
Loc: Oklahoma
Re: rita delivers [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #57191 - Sat Sep 24 2005 02:40 AM

Seems like that has been happening most of the evening... the eyewall will try to develop around to the E and SE side of the center, but it doesn't "stick" and the eastern part of the eyewall fragment gets tossed to the north, with a new one developing in its place. It's not really a steady-state eyewall, but rather a continually regenerating feature, at least on the eastern side. The NW side of the eyewall has been pretty steady.

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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


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Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: rita delivers [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #57192 - Sat Sep 24 2005 02:42 AM

fox dude on top of parking deck (lake charles) just showed a boat or ship out in the river... i hear there is a missing "casino boat"... but i bet that ship is coming in with the strom surge...from the south... had a light on.

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



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Storm Hunter
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Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: rita delivers [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #57193 - Sat Sep 24 2005 02:43 AM

URNT12 KNHC 240617 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 24/06:08:10Z
B. 29 deg 27 min N
093 deg 36 min W
C. 700 mb 2548 m
D. NA kt
E. 000 deg 000 nm
F. 055 deg 060 kt
G. 334 deg 011 nm
H. EXTRAP 937 mb
I. 10 C/ 3046 m....this has been changed. It was 0.
J. 17 C/ 3046 m
K. 16 C/ NA
L. OPEN SOUTH
M. C30
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF309 2518A Rita OB 18 CCA what's this?
MAX FL WIND 109 KT NE QUAD 05:59:30 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 700 MB

CCA-means the observation has been corrected...to some degree~danielw

Edited by danielw (Sat Sep 24 2005 02:48 AM)


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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


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Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: rita delivers [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #57194 - Sat Sep 24 2005 02:46 AM

URNT12 KNHC 240624 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 24/06:15:30Z
B. 29 deg 30 min N
093 deg 34 min W
C. NA mb NA m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg 000 nm
F. 037 deg 076 kt
G. 294 deg 015 nm
H. EXTRAP 938 mb
I. 11 C/ 3665 m
J. 17 C/ 3650 m
K. 9 C/ NA
L. OPEN SE-SW
M. C24
N. 12345/NA
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF306 WX18A Rita02 OB 14 CCA
MAX FL WIND 113 KT E QUAD 04:48:10 Z

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


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Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: rita delivers [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #57195 - Sat Sep 24 2005 02:47 AM

fox dude sayes its a barge..... just broke from the port and heading towards the 1-10 bridge... uh oh...

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



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BabyCat
Weather Guru


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Posts: 150
Loc: New Orleans, La.
Re: rita delivers [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #57196 - Sat Sep 24 2005 02:49 AM

I think it's at the 210 by-pass.

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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


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Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: rita delivers [Re: BabyCat]
      #57197 - Sat Sep 24 2005 02:54 AM

yeah i just did a google on that area.... its looks like the 1-210 bypass would be near that area....

aslo center of Rita... center of eye... about 3-6 miles off coast...

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



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Allison
Weather Guru


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Posts: 134
Loc: Laredo, Texas
Re: rita delivers [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #57198 - Sat Sep 24 2005 02:57 AM

It looks like the station at Calcasieu Pass is out... no report for more than an hour now...

Various news reports:

-- power outages all over the area

-- 2 fires reported on Galveston Island, including one in the historic Strand district... one person seriously burned

-- also on Galveston, trees down, windows blown out, etc.

-- no water service in Freeport

-- in Beaumont, water in street and some debris (unsure whether water is from rain or storm surge)

-- WWL in New Orleans reports that 95% of Lake Charles evacuated earlier today (hopefully Cameron did the same)

-- container ship adrift on Lake Charles and there are concerns that it could hit the IH-10 bridge

-- no storm surge reported in Lake Charles (yet)

--------------------
Allison


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HanKFranK
User


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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
Re: rita delivers [Re: BabyCat]
      #57200 - Sat Sep 24 2005 03:02 AM

looks like landfall is now 60-75 mins away. pressure is slowly rising so it may come in closer to 942mb. that'll put it way up on the rank list of storms by minimum pressure at landfall, but the winds are low-end cat 3 now. recon data is now only supporting cat 2, but i doubt NHC will let that ride as it would be kinda stupid to have a hurricane with a cat 4 pressure and cat 2 winds. the center of the hurricane is unleashing its full fury on cameron parish. it looks like final landfall will be a few miles east of the sabine pass, then over sabine lake. the impact at port arthur should resemble what pensacola got from Dennis, only with a stronger surge factor. orange should get raked pretty hard too. with the eye track beaumont should get some hurricane force winds, but the weaker western eyewall and not quite as much damage as if the storm were 10-20 miles west. Rita already appears to be slowing down a little, and should keep steadily slowing as it plows inland tomorrow... by sunday it should just be drifting northward. some kind of cyclonic loop should ensue near the tx/la border west of shreveport sunday-monday... steering currents will be weak so it's hard to say where the storm will track from there (range of possibilities include almost every direction except for north and northwest. most likely it will begin to drift more to the south. the red and sabine river valleys are likely to face a significant flood threat during the coming week.
HF 0701z24september


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Storm Hunter
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Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: rita delivers [Re: Allison]
      #57201 - Sat Sep 24 2005 03:03 AM

new tornado warning for eyewall until 400cdt

landfall within next 30-45 mins for eye

hang on, you're right on the timeframe. i needed to refresh that radar loop... -HF

Edited by HanKFranK (Sat Sep 24 2005 03:13 AM)


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danielwAdministrator
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Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: rita delivers [Re: HanKFranK]
      #57203 - Sat Sep 24 2005 03:08 AM

Hank, All of the New Orleans evacuees, that were staying in the Lake Charles Shelter, were evecuated to Shreveport.
I hope they have them on high ground!


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